Russia About to Overrun Ukraine?
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Everywhere, Russia is breaking through Ukraine’s most hardened frontline defenses.
As Russia breaks Ukraine’s outer shell, what remains is a soft interior with an incomplete, haphazard archipelago of more or less improvised Ukrainian defense positions.
Even The New York Times recognizes that Ukraine is running out of defensive positions capable of even slowing down the Russian armed forces, which are constantly growing bigger through voluntaries, better training, more experienced leadership, and better equipment.
But there is more to it than what The New York Times reports.
Ukraine as a society is running out of capable soldiers.
For instance, Ukraine has only got two assault brigades left, the 3rd “Azov” (Neonazi) and the 5th assault brigades.
And in a desperate attempt to stave off Russia’s conquest of Avdeeka and subsequent further advances, Kiev threw the 3rd Azov assault brigade into unprepared positions just West of Avdeeka. Now, by all information, the 3rd Azov assault brigade has been just about destroyed by Russia in anything but name – leaving all of Ukraine with only one effective assault brigade, the 5th. Alone the training of a high quality brigade for advanced and powerful operations, assuming you have the right men, leaders, equipment, and facilities, takes more than a year.
As Ukraine’s last strong brigades get annihilated now in days rather than weeks, Ukraine doesn’t have the physically fit men, nor the time or the equipment to build new strong brigades. Even worse, Ukraine has virtually lost its stock of capable military leaders – leaders who take years (not months) to educate and train. And Ukraine and NATO are out of ammunition.
Hastening Ukraine’s breakdown everywhere is Russia’s immensely powerful use of devastating air bombing. With depleted Ukrainian air defenses and new powerful Russian 1500 pound precision guided air bombs, Russia is simply obliterating even Ukraine’s hardest positions one by one in days or weeks. This explains the surprising speed at which Avdeevka, fortified over 10 years, suddenly crumbled to the Russians.
Russia on the Eurasian continent is vastly superior to NATO in everything conventional and nuclear. Troops, leadership experience, material quantity, even material quality, logistics, morale.
Ukraine is about to be overrun. Soon, Russia can stand on the border to Poland, and NATO cannot prevent that in any way. The UK army is the smallest in 300 years. Germany and France are not better. Denmark has just given away its last artillery. The US population doesn’t want to fund Ukraine, and American people will resist dying for Ukraine. US and NATO stockpiles of weapons and basic ammunition are depleted and cannot be replenished for years. The US cannot knock Russia’s advanced nuclear forces out. And Russia’s economy is doing better than ever in its history, and with more friends backing Russia in the World.
Is this is game over for the US, NATO, EU, and Ukraine?
NATO is falling apart, the EU will be abandoned by the US, and the US itself emerges as a paper tiger.
No White House spin, fake US news, or propaganda about non-existent problems of others will change that. This is reality.
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Karsten Riise is a Master of Science (Econ) from Copenhagen Business School and has a university degree in Spanish Culture and Languages from Copenhagen University. He is the former Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (CFO) of Mercedes-Benz in Denmark and Sweden.
He is a regular contributor to Global Research.
Featured image: Russian President Vladimir Putin in June, during the St Petersburg International Economic Forum. (Ramil Sitdikov, RIA Novosti Host Photo Agency, Kremlin)