“Made in México”, antídoto contra Trump

February 4th, 2017 by Ansa Latina

El gobierno mexicano lanzó una ambiciosa estrategia para apoyar a los productos elaborados en ese país, que incluye estímulos a empresarios y a los consumidores a fin de enfrentar las amenazas proteccionistas del nuevo presidente de Estados Unidos Donald Trump.

La cruzada llega cuando está en curso una campaña, principalmente a través de las redes sociales, para boicotear a las empresas estadounidenses en represalia por el discurso xenófobo de Trump y sus acusaciones a México de que “ha abusado” del Tratado de Libre Comercio (TLCAN), que pretende renegociar.

Con apoyo de empresarios, el gobierno mexicano dio a conocer el plan “Hecho en México”, que pretende “fortalecer el mercado interno” e incluye entre otras cosas medidas para “facilitar la competitividad, como acelerar la simplificación de procesos para los inversionistas”.

El presidente Enrique Peña y el ministro de Economía, Ildefonso Guajardo, arropados por los principales capitanes de empresa, llamaron a “consumir lo mexicano” porque sus productos “son de calidad y la mejor opción”.

Guajardo recordó que México es el primer exportador mundial de televisiones de pantallas plana y refrigeradores. Se espera como parte de esta cruzada la automatización del 100% en los trámites del comercio exterior, lo que también permitirá a las empresas exportadoras obtener facilidades para vender sus productos en el exterior.

Asimismo, se contempla el lanzamiento del “sistema de las normas oficiales mexicanas” lo que evitará varios traslados o visitas directas de los interesados para conocer las disposiciones de certificación de calidad de los productos.

“Las normas oficiales y normas mexicanas, son elementos que garantizan calidad, seguridad y protección del medio ambiente y era un proceso que tenía muchos procesos presenciales, con elementos extenso y no había un punto de concentración del sistema de uso de norma”, afirmó.

Guajardo señaló que se facilitará también el arribo de capitales extranjeros al país, eliminando la autorización requerida por la Comisión Nacional de Inversiones Extranjera para la adquisición de empresas nacionales cuyo valor esté por debajo de 16.800 millones de pesos (unos 800 millones de dólares).

Además, se ha simplificado la tarifa de comercio exterior, eliminando 5.000 fracciones arancelarias que no mantenían una actividad permanente.

Como parte de este plan, que revive otro lanzado hace décadas bajo el lema “lo hecho en México, está bien hecho”, en marzo próximo se habilitará un portal único para exportar e importar.

“Hemos hecho el compromiso para automatizar los trámites para el comercio exterior”, afirmó Guajardo.

Trump ha amenazado con cancelar el TLCAN si no le satisfacen las renegociaciones con México, pero Guajardo ha advertido que su país estaría dispuesto también a eliminar este acuerdo en caso de que se le impongan condiciones inaceptables.

México exporta el 85% de sus mercancías a Estados Unidos y el 3,5% a Canadá, y el resto a otras naciones.

El TLCAN permitió triplicar el comercio entre México y su poderoso vecino del norte hasta llegar a un volumen global de unos 550.000 millones de dólares, de los cuales México tiene un saldo a favor en la balanza comercial de unos 60.000 millones de dólares.

Trump se queja amargamente de ese déficit, pero el ministro Guajardo ha señalado que es seis veces más bajo que el saldo negativo que mantiene Estados Unidos en su comercio con China, de lo cual hasta ahora Trump no ha hablado.

Ansa Latina

  • Posted in Español
  • Comments Off on “Made in México”, antídoto contra Trump

China, el gran juego y el globalismo

February 4th, 2017 by Alexander Dugin

Trump se aleja de la geopolítica clásica fundada en la confrontación entre la Tierra y el Mar. Es en este marco que descansó el Gran Juego entre Rusia y Gran Bretaña en el siglo XIX, así como esencialmente toda la geopolítica del siglo XX, desde Mackinder a la Guerra Fría, hasta la globalización puramente atlantista y unipolar que la administración estadounidense ha venido desarrollando hasta el último minuto.

Esto significa que el factor China está cambiando su estatus geopolítico. El comienzo de la Perestroika china en la década de 1980 estuvo marcado por una visita a Pekín de una delegación de la Comisión Tripartita, que incluía a Brzezinski y Kissinger.

Su tarea consistía en separar a China de la URSS de una vez por todas, incluyéndola en el sistema capitalista global, rodeando a Eurasia, y cerrando el anillo de anaconda a lo largo de la zona costera. Posteriormente, según los planes de globalistas tales como Brzezinski y Kissinger, que formaron el Consejo de Relaciones Exteriores y el prototipo Trilateral de Gobierno Mundial, la URSS se disolvería pronto. De hecho, la rama rusa de la Comisión Trilateral, el Instituto Gvishiani de Análisis de Sistemas Aplicados, cuya tarea consistía en romper la URSS desde adentro, figuraba en los documentos de la Comisión Trilateral sobre la cuestión china. Chubais, Gaidar y Berezovsky vinieron todos de aquí, y cumplieron lo que tenían asignado. Pero todo comenzó con China.

¿Por qué? Porque China cayó bajo la tutela del Gobierno Mundial. Después del tiroteo contra los manifestantes democráticos en la plaza de Tiananmen, la respuesta de los Estados Unidos fue la indignación, que no fue seguida por ningún otro paso. China, como se suponía, estaba comprometida con el sistema de globalización, y éste era el objetivo principal. No es nada personal, diría Kissinger, sólo diplomacia. Los estándares dobles han sido aceptados desde hace mucho tiempo e incluso se han convertido en la norma obligatoria.

De ahí el milagro chino, la combinación de dos tipos de totalitarismo: el marxismo en la política y el liberalismo en la economía. Cero democratización, pero tanto capitalismo como se desee.

China aprovechó esto y creció sustancialmente. Pero como los globalistas actuaban estrictamente de acuerdo con los libros de texto clásicos de geopolítica, China seguía siendo nada más que una zona costera. El principal enemigo, la amenaza y el peligro se mantuvo en Rusia, el Heartland euroasiático. Así es como las cosas han continuado hasta Trump.

Pero en su campaña electoral, Trump esencialmente decidió abandonar la geopolítica. Tal vez no conozca la geopolítica, o tal vez no crea en ella. Pero esto no es tan importante, ya que la ha rechazado. Tiempo. Y esto, francamente hablando, es lo que tenemos entre manos.

El desmantelamiento de la China artificialmente apoyada por el Gobierno Mundial globalista se desprende lógicamente del anti-globalismo de Trump. Él mira las cosas claramente: un país comunista totalitario con una población masiva está desafiando los intereses estadounidenses en el Pacífico, amenaza con anexionar Taiwan, ha inundado los Estados Unidos con basura barata, roba la alta tecnología tan pronto como pone los ojos en ella, y está haciendo todo esto con éxito. El desafío de China es voluminoso y formidable, y las tasas de crecimiento económico de China representan un reto para los Estados Unidos. En este contexto, Rusia, con su pobre economía, es relegada a un problema de segunda fila. Esto no significa que vaya a haber políticas pro-rusas directas – no las habrá, porque Trump es un patriota y un realista. Pero esto significa que Trump va a ir seriamente a por China. Esto es suficiente para mantenerlo ocupado durante su presidencia.

Ciertamente tenemos que aprovechar esto. Esto no significa que debamos abandonar nuestra asociación con China y aferrarnos a Trump. Esto no es digno de una gran potencia. Pero el conflicto chino-americano simplemente no es nuestro negocio. Si la atención de Washington se centra en el Lejano Oriente, entonces tendremos la oportunidad de resolver rápidamente nuestros asuntos en el Medio Oriente y, lo que es más importante, en el espacio eurasiático. Si Trump ignora la geopolítica, entonces no prestará demasiada atención a esto. Por lo menos, eso espero.

Por cierto, sobre China: No creo que todo esté bien con la ideología en China. Hay claramente una crisis del Mandato del Cielo que Mao recibiera una vez. Detrás de la fachada de ostentoso éxito, la sociedad china se dirige hacia la crisis. Pero, una vez más, esto es sólo asunto chino.

Alexander Dugin

  • Posted in Español
  • Comments Off on China, el gran juego y el globalismo

In 1929, Edward Bernays, Sigmund Freud’s nephew, U.S./CIA war and coup propagandist, and the founder of public relations, conducted a successful mind-manipulation experiment for the tobacco industry. 

In those days there was a taboo against women smoking in public, and Bernays was hired to change that. 

He consulted a psychiatrist, A. A. Brill, who told him that cigarettes represented the penis and were a symbol of male power.  

If women could be tricked into smoking, then they would unconsciously think they “had” their own penises and feel more powerful. 

It was irrational, of course, but it worked. Bernays had, in his words, “engineered the consent” of women through symbolic prestidigitation. 

The age of the image was launched.

He did this by having a group of women hide cigarettes under their clothes at a Big Easter parade in New York.  At a signal from Bernays, they took out and lit up what he called “torches of freedom” (based on the Statue of Liberty).

The press had been notified in advance and dutifully photographed and reported the story.  The New York Times headline for April Fool’s Day 1929 was entitled “Group of Girls Puff at Cigarettes as a Gesture of Freedom.” 

This fake news story made cigarettes socially acceptable for women, and sales and advertising to them increased dramatically.

The institutional power structures smiled and continued on their merry way.  Women were no freer or more powerful, but they felt they were.

A symbolic taboo was breached as women were bamboozled.  Image triumphed over reality.

We have moved on from the symbol of the penis to that of the “pussy,” and now the symbol is displayed openly as an ironic postmodern spectacle in the form of a sea of pussyhats.

And the fake news stories continue apace; the mind manipulators labor on and are still successful.

Genitalia remain the rage.  In the 1920s there was no overt talk of the penis; the idea then was that there was an unconscious association that could sway women to smoke.  Today subtlety is gone.  “Pussy” power is out there, cutely symbolized by pink pussyhats (see image below), promoted by a group called the Pussyhat Project that on its website praises the Washington Post and the New York Times for their “high quality journalism” and “integrity.”  “In the midst of fake news sites,” the Pussyhat Project claims, “we need high quality journalism more than ever….newspapers that have integrity….[that] can continue reporting the truth” – i.e. the Times and the Post.

By “truth” and “integrity” do the women running the site mean that the Russians are behind Trump’s election, Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, and there are 200 or so alternative websites that repeat Russian propaganda, a few of the lies reported by these papers of “integrity”?  Or do the Pussyhat women have something else in mind?

Most women demonstrators who marched against Trump were no doubt well intentioned within their limited perspective.  At the call of organizers, they were roused from their long liberal naps.  Reacting to Trump’s gross comments about “grabbing pussy” – sick words, macho aggressive in their meaning – they donned their pink hats, made signs, and took their newly awakened outrage to the streets.  Rightly disgusted by being verbally assaulted and afraid that their reproductive rights and services were threatened, they pounced like tigers on their verbal attacker.  Massive, very well organized, media friendly marches and demonstrations followed.  It was a hit parade.

Yet as others have forcefully written, something is amiss here. During the Obama years of endless wars, drone killings, the jailing of whistleblowers, including Chelsea Manning, etc., these demonstrators were silent and off the streets.

A large number of the women (if not the vast majority) who marched against Donald Trump – and the recent women’s marches can only be described as anti-Trump marches – were Hilary Clinton supporters, whether they would describe their votes as “the lesser of two evils” or not.  Thus, opposition to Trump’s aggressive statements toward “pussy” was implicit support for Clinton’s and Obama’s “feminism.”  In other words, it was support for a man and a woman who didn’t publicly talk aggressively about women’s genitals, but committed misogynist and misandrist actions by killing  thousands of women (and men and children) all over the world, and doing it with phallic shaped weapons.  Trump will probably follow suit, but that possibility was not the impetus for the marches.  The marches centered on Trump’s misogynist, macho language, and his threats to limit women’s access to health services – i.e. family planning and abortion.

Since the women who recently marched didn’t march against Obama and his Secretary of State Clinton while they slaughtered foreigners (others) and Clinton exulted at the sodomized killing of Muammar Gaddafi, it is quite clear the focus of their anger was a sense of personal outrage at Trump’s insulting remarks.

Where were they these last eight years?

Mike Whitney recently said it perfectly.

“They were asleep. Weren’t they?  Because liberals always sleep when their man is in office, particularly if their man is a smooth-talking cosmopolitan snake-charmer like Obama who croons about personal freedom and democracy while unleashing the most unspeakable violence on civilians across the Middle East and Central Asia….No one seems to care when an articulate bi-racial mandarin kills most people of color, but when a brash and outspoken real estate magnate takes over the reigns of power, then ‘watch out’ because here comes the protesters, all three million of them!”

Obviously partisan politics, self-interest, hypocrisy, and incredible ethnocentrism are involved. Would women’s marches have occurred if Hillary Clinton had been elected?  Of course not.  She would have been applauded and regaled as the first woman president, and her war-mongering history against women and men would have been excused and supported into the future, just as Obama’s has been.

This is liberal war porn by default; complicity through silence.

“Hands off my pussy.”  “My pussy bites back.”  These are funny repartees to Trump’s comments, but they are totally ineffectual and harmless.  Trump’s objectives are larger, as were Obama’s and Clinton’s.  Symbolic protests attract attention, but result in the stasis of structural power arrangements, or worse.   Edward Bernays’  “torches of freedom” campaign resulted in more women smoking, more disease, and more profits for the tobacco companies.  He preyed on the gullible.  What was learned?

The Pussyhat Project resulted in a sea of pink adorned women and made for colorful images.  Images, Daniel Boorstin wrote in his prescient 1960 book, The Image , were the future.  That future is now.  The language of images is everywhere, and it is tied to what Boorstin termed “pseudo-events” and our “demand for the illusions with which we deceive ourselves.”

Symbolically wearing your genitals on your head is surely an arresting image, but it is misplaced and duplicitous when one has not opposed the systematic brutality of the American empire’s ravaging around the world under Obama and Clinton.

Boorstin argued that this world of images would displace our ability to think clearly and understand the ways we were being manipulated.  An image, he said, was “synthetic, believable, passive, vivid, simplified, and ambiguous.”  Contrived and appealing to the senses – there are no pink pussycats as far as I know – they side-step thought and cannot, strictly speaking, be unmasked.  “An image, like any other pseudo-event, becomes all the more interesting with our every effort to debunk it.”  The contrivance of the image and our knowledge of its ingenuity – e.g. pussyhats – convince us that we are smart to be taken in, even when we’re not.  It’s interesting to note that the word image (Latin, imago) is related to the word imitate (Latin, imatari).  It’s as though certain images can serve as mirrors (“to mirror” being cognate with “to imitate”) in which we can see and mimic ourselves, “though we like to pretend we are seeing someone else.”  And seeing our images in the images, we can imitate ourselves in an endless cycle of self-love and navel gazing.  Selfie culture has triumphed.  The society of the spectacle marches on.

The focus on genital imagery is a reflection of American narcissism, an inward gazing, while out “there,” others are being slaughtered by our masters of war.  This is the start of a pink color revolution.

Edward Bernays would be proud.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Symbolic Seduction: Women’s Rights, Partisan Politics, Ethnocentrism and “American Narcissism”
chossudovsky

Video: US-NATO Supported Terrorism in Syria From Day One: Michel Chossudovsky

By Prof Michel Chossudovsky, February 03 2017

From Day One, the Islamist “freedom fighters” were supported, trained and equipped by NATO and Turkey’s High Command. This initiative, which was also supported by Saudi Arabia and Qatar, involved a process of organized recruitment of thousands of jihadist “freedom fighters”, reminiscent of  the enlistment of  Mujahideen to wage the CIA’s jihad (holy war) in the heyday of the Soviet-Afghan war: These mercenaries were subsequently integrated into US and allied sponsored terrorist organizations including Al Nusrah and ISIS.

isis2

Belgian Members of Parliament: EU Governments Supported Terrorists in Syria

By The Syria Times, February 03 2017

Instead of supporting the legitimate Syrian government the European countries supported Wahhabi terrorists who have sought destroying Syria and establishing a Wahhabi terrorist state, Member of Belgium’s Federal Parliament Filip Dewinter, leader of the Belgian parliamentary delegation visiting Syria, has stressed.

Ukraine

Trump’s Policy on Ukraine, Could Lead to War with Russia?

By Stephen Lendman, February 03 2017

It’s not encouraging based on Nikki Haley’s Thursday UN Security Council remarks – sounding like neocon Samantha Power never leftHer maiden voyage appearance as US envoy “condemn(ed) Russian actions” in Ukraine – ignoring flagrant Kiev aggression, including  shelling of Donetsk civilian areas.

australia usa

Trumping Australia’s Refugee Deal

By Dr. Binoy Kampmark, February 03 2017

It was a moment of delightful reflection. The indecently smug politicians of a distant island continent, wealthy, cruel in refugee policy and lazy in development, stunned by encountering a short fused US President who had little time for a “dumb” deal. That deal, prematurely hatched during the last stages of the Obama administration with the Turnbull government, would see 1,250 refugees on Australia’s questionable offshore centres on Manus Island and Nauru, settled in the United States.

Trump against NATO

Trump Favors Military Escalation: Washington’s War Threat Against Iran

By Bill Van Auken, February 03 2017

It is just two weeks since President Donald Trump was sworn into office after delivering an inaugural address proclaiming his policy of “America First” and vowing to defend the United States against “the ravages of other countries.” Any illusions that this policy spelled a turn away from the unending wars waged by the US over the past quarter of a century in favor of isolationism have been rapidly dispelled.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Selected Articles: US-NATO Supported Terrorism in Syria, Trump’s Policy on Iran and Ukraine Will Lead to War?

The Syrian army and the National Defense Forces (NDF) liberated the villages of Qasr Al-Hayr and Ba’er Fiddah east of the city of Al-Qaryatayn in the province of Homs on Wednesday. On Thursday, government forces continued offensive operations, targeting ISIS units near Al-Bardah. If the army and the NDF seize this town, they will likely further develop an advance in the direction of the al-Busairi crossroads in order to secure the eastern flank of Al-Qaryatayn.

Reports appear that the army was able to link up the Deir Ezzor Airbase and the government-held area north of the Panorama Army Base with a thin supply line after a series of successful clashes against ISIS units. However, the supply line remains vulnerable for ISIS attacks. So, if government forces want to stabilize the military situation in the pocket, they will need to epand a buffer zone around it.

 

The so-called Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), in other words the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG), announced Wednesday the 3rd phase of the Operation Wrath of Euphrates, aiming to liberate the ISIS self-proclaimed capital of al-Raqqah.

While the general goal of the Operation Wrath of Euphrates is to liberate al-Raqqah from ISIS terrorists, the aim of the 3rd stage is to further isolate the ISIS-held city.

YPG forces, backed by the US-led coalition, will most likely develop and advance east of al-Raqqah in order to flank the city from this direction. There are also speculations in pro-Kurdish sources that the YPG is going to cross the Euphrates and to retake the Tabqa Dam and the town of Tabqa from ISIS, further flanking al-Raqqah from the southwestern direction. However, this looks as more complicated task.

If you’re able, and if you like our content and approach, please support the project. Our work wouldn’t be possible without your help: PayPal: [email protected] or via: http://southfront.org/donate/ or via: https://www.patreon.com/southfront

 

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Syrian War Report: Government Forces Target ISIS, Recapture Areas West of Palmyra

Reported by the Syrian Times:

“Instead of supporting the legitimate Syrian government the European countries supported Wahhabi terrorists who have sought destroying Syria and establishing a Wahhabi terrorist state, Member of Belgium’s Federal Parliament Filip Dewinter, leader of the Belgian parliamentary delegation visiting Syria, has stressed.

Excerpts from this report:

Dewinter made the remarks during the delegation’s visit to Aleppo on Thursday and their meeting with Aleppo Governor Hussein Diyab.

The Belgian lawmaker said he visited Syria two years ago and warned that the danger of the terrorism currently hitting Syria will backfire on its supporters and will hit America and the European countries and this is what actually happened.

Dewinter hoped that the Syrian Army’s victory over terrorism in Aleppo will help open the eyes of the European politicians and change the way they deal with events in Syria. He pointed out that the European people have realized the danger of terrorism particularly after the terrorist attacks which targeted several European countries.

Leader of the Belgian delegation, went on to say that the delegation’s visit to Aleppo aims at getting acquainted with what is really happening in Syria away from the false news reported by some western media and at conveying a real image about Syria events to the Belgian people and the European public opinion in general.  ….

During its visit to Aleppo, the delegation also had the opportunity to meet a number of Islamic and Christian men of religion at “Shahba Halab” Hotel. Head of the delegation Filip Dewinter said that he can well understand the Syrian people’s anger over the wrong policies of the Belgian government as well as the governments of the rest of the European countries.

The delegation members pointed out that they will try to convey the Syrians’ message to the European people when they are back in their country.

To read the complete Syria Times article click here

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Belgian Members of Parliament: EU Governments Supported Terrorists in Syria

It was never “a civil war”. It was an undeclared  war of aggression using Al Qaeda affiliated terrorists as the foot-soldiers of US-NATO and their Middle East allies. 

From day one, terrorists were involved in the killing of civilians. 

It started in Daraa as an insurgency integrated by Salafist mercenaries. 

From Day One, the Islamist “freedom fighters” were supported, trained and equipped by NATO and Turkey’s High Command. This initiative, which was also supported by Saudi Arabia and Qatar, involved a process of organized recruitment of thousands of jihadist “freedom fighters”, reminiscent of  the enlistment of  Mujahideen to wage the CIA’s jihad (holy war) in the heyday of the Soviet-Afghan war:

These mercenaries were subsequently integrated into US and allied sponsored terrorist organizations including Al Nusrah and ISIS. (Michel Chossudovsky)

Video (Presentation in English and French)

Eva Bartlett, Michel Chossudovsky and Yves Engler at the Montreal, January 28, 2017 Event

 

Professor Chossudovsky’s latest book “The Globalization of War” describes America’s hegemonic project in the post 9/11 era whereby the U.S.-NATO military machine —coupled with covert intelligence operations, economic sanctions and the thrust of “regime change”— is deployed in all major regions of the world. The threat of pre-emptive nuclear war is also used to black-mail countries into submission.

This “Long War against Humanity” is carried out at the height of the most serious economic crisis in modern history. It is intimately related to a process of global financial restructuring, which has resulted in the collapse of national economies and the impoverishment of large sectors of the World population.

The ultimate objective is World conquest under the cloak of “human rights” and “Western democracy”.

150115 Long War Cover hi-res finalv2 copy3.jpg

The Globalization of War: America’s “Long War” against Humanity

Michel Chossudovsky

ISBN Number: 978-0-9737147-6-0

Year: 2015

Pages: 240 Pages

List Price: $22.95

 

Special Price: $15.00

Click to order

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Video: US-NATO Supported Terrorism in Syria From Day One: Michel Chossudovsky

The Trump Gang, hardly two weeks in the White House, is giving strong, petulant signals that it is hijacking the checks and balances of our democratic institutions. Coupling the Boss’s easily brusiable ego, marinated in infinite megalomania, with ideologues harboring objectives that would have frightened Nixonites and Reaganites alike, a runaway train is leaving the station.

After unexpectedly winning the Electoral College but decisively losing the popular vote, Trumpsters are wasting no time. They are undermining the efficacies of the civil service, the Congress, the media, organized labor, and soon the federal courts, while already betraying desperate Trump voters (many of whom cast a vote against Hillary Clinton) with their version of the imperial corporate state, led by corporatists and militarists.

Looking at the Trump regime clinically, there is a method to their madness. Striving to govern early by a stream of poorly written Executive Orders (dictates), their basic message to all is “get with the program or get out.” Building on past precedents of presidential lawlessness, Trump wants to rule by directives and tweeted dictates against any challengers. Temperamentally, he has little patience for governing in a democracy and thinks he can rely on showmanship, bluster and bullying.

Those latter traits, however, harbor a most dangerous vulnerability to outside provocations – foreign and domestic – which in turn could unleash furious, reckless, impulsive lashing out by Trump himself.

Start with stateless adversaries abroad engaged in long and violent struggles in their backyards with the US. They will capitalize on the perception that  the Trump administration’s recent travel ban is an attack against all Muslims. These dangerous actors will use Trump’s latest Executive Order as the ultimate recruitment tool. This will inevitably lead to a more dangerous world for Americans and refugees alike and could  provoke a vicious cycle without discernible restraints.

One terrorist attack in this country and Trump becomes a bellowing monster throwing rules of law, free speech and other serious protections of health and safety for the people to the winds.

It is questionable whether Donald Trump, so self-obsessed and without impulse control, realizes that our militarily powerful country has much more to lose than our suicidal opponents and that we should not be trapped and embroiled in such an escalating vortex of destruction. As a friend said, “He’s playing into their hands.”

Where will the restraints on him come from? Presumably from his Secretaries of Defense, State and Homeland Security backed by a vocal professional civil service with no ax to grind. Already a thousand U.S. diplomats at embassies abroad have signed a petition pointing to the dangers of his Executive Order.

Trump is constantly attacking the media, sometimes as a general institution, other times naming reporters in his disfavor. He’s gotten about as much juice out of that regular eruption as he can. The mass media made him with staggering amounts of free airtime and print space. He then turned on them, because for The Donald, “Enough is never Enough.” Bruised, some of the media will cower. But many will assert themselves with penetrating coverage.

He’ll give them plenty of material with his lawless Presidential actions and his conflicts of interest (plus violation of the Constitution’s Emoluments Clause). And his unyielding ownership of business assets in the U.S. and around the world present countless potential conflicts of interest.

What of the Congress –a place driven by fear, insecurity, constitutional abdication and suddenly rising protests? Trump has given high-level positions in his government to five major Republicans from the Congress and the wife of Senate Majority Leader, Mitch McConnell (Rep. KY). They all have their circles on Capitol Hill. Still, the Republicans will not borrow heavily for capital investments in infrastructure that Trump wants for jobs.

Should Trump’s already historically low level in the polls start sticking to the Republicans headed into the 2018 elections, look for pushback from members of the GOP to save their own skins.

The labor union leaders have gotten themselves in a quandary. Having supported either Hillary (mostly) or Bernie, they’re not getting tickets to the White House to watch the Super Bowl. Trump knows how to game unions from his real estate and gambling businesses. He is reminding them that 30 to 40 percent of their rank and file voted for him and he’s not reluctant to call out the leadership on this sensitive point. Furthermore, he knows they like his construction jobs proposal and his criticisms of job-destroying trade agreements.

Trump has the unions in a cross-fire for the time being. For their part, organized labor chiefs also know that he has appointed the most anti-labor cabinet in modern times. These people include Alan Puzder—a chain restaurateur, probably becoming Labor Secretary, who is blatantly anti-union and anti-higher minimum wage and fair labor standards—and billionaire Betsy DeVos, the Education Secretary bent on breaking the teacher unions. Also watch out for another anti-worker Supreme Court Justice.

Lunging from one eruption and outrage to the next, it seems that the Trumpsters are grabbing the country and racing together toward the cliff. The question is: Who goes over the cliff first?

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Looking at the “Trump Regime”: Flailing Trumpsters Upset a Hijacked Nation

Former Prime Minister Kjell Magne Bondevik, photographed here after attending the Nobel Peace Prize ceremony in Oslo in December, was stopped by US immigration officials when he landed in the US on Wednesday. They questioned him for an hour about a stamp in his diplomatic passport showing that he’d been in Iran. PHOTO: NRK screen grab

Norway’s national commercial television channel TV2 reported Thursday night that Bondevik had traveled to the US to attend the annual prayer breakfast involving various religions that’s traditionally held after the inauguration of a new US president. Bondevik is an ordained minister and former leader of the Christian Democrats party, and has served both as Norway’s foreign minister and prime minister.

He told TV2 he was stopped at the airport’s border control and questioned for around an hour.

“They began to ask me why I had been in Iran and what I was going to do in the US,” Bondevik told TV2. “They shouldn’t have had any reason to fear a former prime minister who has been on official visits to the US several times.”

Bondevik wound up a target, however, of the new ban ordered by US President Donald Trump on entry into the US for all citizens of Iran, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Sudan, Somalia and Libya. All refugees have also been banned from entering the US for the next four months, while Syrian citizens and refugees have been banned indefinitely.

As a former prime minister, Bondevik remains entitled to a diplomatic passport. That didn’t stop the US border agents from placing him under suspicion. Bondevik said he had also traveled to the US with the same passport containing the same stamp from Iran last year without being stopped or questioned.

“It seems as though when the name of one of the banned countries comes up, they now put up the barbed wire,” Bondevik said. “It was entirely unnecessary suspicion. I became quite provoked.”

Bondevik, who has worked for years on peace and reconciliation efforts around the world, said he can understand the fear of terror, “but you shouldn’t treat entire groups of people in this manner. I have to admit I fear the future (with Trump as president). There’s been a lot of progress in the world the last few decades, but this gives great cause for concern, along with the authoritarian leaders we see steering other large countries.”

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on International Travel to Banned Muslim Countries: US Immigration Halts Former Prime Minister of Norway at Airport

Trump Threatens to Punish Palestinians if They Sue Israel in ICC

February 3rd, 2017 by Palestine News Network

The Haaretz newspaper on its website on Wednesday said that the U.S. president, Donald Trump has threatened to punish Palestinians if they sue Israel in the international criminal court.

According to Haaretz, officials said that the new right-wing U.S. administration will take “severe punitive measures” that will damage the position of the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) if it goes to the ICC.

Haaretz pointed out that the administration would cut the aids to the PLO and close down the offices of the PLO in Washington.

Since Donald Trump became president, Israel has approved the construction of over 6,000 settlement units all over the West Bank and Jerusalem.
Trump has declared his approval of settlement expansion, and in turn received support from the Israeli PM on building a wall along the Mexico borders.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Trump Threatens to Punish Palestinians if They Sue Israel in ICC

How Obama Booby-Trapped Trump

February 3rd, 2017 by Washington's Blog

After doing virtually nothing to help underwater homeowners for 8 years, Obama acted to slightly reduce mortgage insurance payments.

But there’s a catch …

Obama made sure the program to reduce mortgage insurance wouldn’t start to happen until after Trump became president:

Then – when Trump said no to the program – the media trumpeted the fake news that Trump had killed an established and cherished Obama-era program.

Another example of Obama booby-trapping Trump is making the news today …

Specifically, Obama struck an agreement with the Prime Minister of Australia – days before presidential election – agreeing to swap refugees from Latin America held by the U.S. in exchange for Iranian and other refugees held by Australia.

CNN notes:

Under the arrangement, agreed by Obama and Turnbull in November within days of Trump’s election, Australia would transfer around 1,250 refugees currently held in offshore detention centers on the Pacific Island nation of Nauru and Papua New Guinea’s Manus Island to the US.

BBC reports:

In return, [Australia] greed to resettle refugees from Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador.

***

All of the occupants [which would be sent by Australia to the U.S.] are male. By far the largest number are from Iran, followed by Afghanistan and Iraq. There are also sizeable contingents from Bangladesh, Pakistan and Myanmar.

Today, much of the mainstream press is denouncing Trump for speaking harshly to the Australian Prime Minister about the refugee deal.

But again, this was a deal arranged by Obama as he was on the way out of office, and when he would pay no price at all.

And there are many other examples …

The Hill reported in December:

President Obama has taken a number of unilateral actions in the waning days of his tenure that appear designed to box in President-elect Donald Trump.

Obama’s decision Thursday to sanction Russian entities for election-related hacking is just the latest obstacle he has placed in Trump’s way.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on How Obama Booby-Trapped Trump

The Fake Outrage About Trump piece included a part on a U.S. special force attack in Yemen that had happened just hours before:

The rural home of a tribal leader’s family, friendly with some Yemeni al-Qaeda members, was raided by a special operations commando. A U.S. tiltrotor military aircraft was shot down during the raid. One soldier was killed and several were wounded. The U.S. commandos responded with their usual panic. They killed anyone in sight and bombed the shit out of any nearby structure. According to Yemeni sources between 30 and 57 Yemenis were killed including eight women and eight children (graphic pics). The U.S. military claimed, as it always does, that no civilians were hurt in the raid.

One of the killed kids was the 8 year old daughter of al-Qaeda propagandist Anwar al-Awlaki.

That early description holds up well against recent reporting by NBC, the Washington Post and the New York Times. The incident happened as described.

But an open question is still why the raid happen. The military and the administration claim it was to get intelligence, laptops, hard-drives and the like. But that is not a good explanation for an elaborate raid that needed lots of resources and backup. We had noted that “Yemeni sources say that at least two men were abducted by the U.S. military.” The U.S. Central Command claims that no prisoners were taken only intelligence material. But a few days ago it also claimed that no civilians were hurt which it now admits indeed happened. My gut tells me that we will hear more on this issue.

There are also some weir conspiracy theories around the raid.

Marcy Wheeler aka Emptywheel headlined: Trump Fulfills Another Campaign Promise: Kills 8-Year Old American Girl and asked “Was that the point?”

That is crazy and impossible theory. Trump had been in office for less than ten days. The “raid” included SEAL Team 6 forces, UAE special forces, attack helicopters, U.S. Marine MV-22 tiltrotor planes, various drones and intelligence assets, a ship off the coast that launched Harrier jets and who knows what else. An organization like the U.S. military can not possibly vet, arrange and coordinated such a collection of different units and assets without several weeks of intense preparations. It is impossible that Trump ordered this raid up within very few days and just to kill some girl. Also – the military hierarchy would have very likely rejected such an order.

One can file Marcy’s piece next to the dissection about the Liberals On the Edge of a Nervous Breakdown. Note: A loudmouth ruling in the White House does not make the sky fall down.

Another crazy piece was published by Reuters today:

U.S. military officials told Reuters that Trump approved his first covert counterterrorism operation without sufficient intelligence, ground support or adequate backup preparations.As a result, three officials said, the attacking SEAL team found itself dropping onto a reinforced al Qaeda base defended by landmines, snipers, and a larger than expected contingent of heavily armed Islamist extremists.

On wonders who these three “U.S. military officials” are who try to back-stab Trump and his advisors. The raiders surely had prior and current intelligence, they surely had enough forces on the ground and in the air. Lots of backup actually did come in when needed.

The “three military officials” are also lying about the “reinforced al-Qaeda base”. The pictures show a few normal houses in a small tribal village. All reports from Yemen speak of a few local families of which men were hired by the Saudis as anti-Houthi fighters. Such may at times align with local al-Qaeda groups who are also supported by the Saudis but that does not make them al-Qaeda terrorists.

The attack in Yemen must have been planned for months under the Obama administration for reason we likely do not yet know. It was then delayed and handed over “ready to go” to the Trump administration. That was my best guess days ago and it is also what the NYT now reports:

[O]ver dinner with his newly installed secretary of defense and the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, President Trump was presented with the first of what will be many life-or-death decisions [… ] Vice President Mike Pence and Michael T. Flynn, the national security adviser, also attended the dinner.

Mr. Obama did not act because the Pentagon wanted to launch the attack on a moonless night and the next one would come after his term had ended.

[M]onths of detailed planning that went into the operation during the Obama administration […] the Defense Department had conducted a legal review of the operation that Mr. Trump approved and that a Pentagon lawyer had signed off on it.

The “U.S. military officials” Reuters quotes must known this. Why do they try to plant their false story and thereby blame not only Trump but also Mattis, Dunford and Flynn – (former) generals who agreed on the mission? Is there some nonsense ongoing like an amateurish “military coup” attempt against Trump that Rosa Books fantasizes about?

The military attack in Yemen was a bad idea. Killing some local Yemenis who work the U.S. “ally” Saudi Arabia for what? To be hated by their families, clansmen and tribal allies for the next decades?

Then there is the operational failure. According to the NYT and others the SEALs were detected early on, recognized they had been detected and still proceeded. The surprise effect was gone and they ran into an ambush. The operation should have been stopped as soon as they noticed that it was not going as planned. They screwed up just as their command screwed up –  up to the strategic level of Obama and Trump.

Just think about the background fight between the local “allies” in the war on Yemen. From my comment at Mary’s site:

Take the bigger view. The Saudis want a united Yemen under their full control. The UAE (while said to be allied with Saudis) supports the southern separation movement in Yemen. Dubai Port (DPWorld) wants exclusive rights to Aden and the south Yemeni oil terminals. (These to avoid the strategic problems of the street of Hormuz passages.)After UAE forces took Aden they were attacked by Saudi supported al-Qaeda (and ISIS) groups. The U.S. military supports the UAE in this family strife because it dislikes the Saudi support for al-Qaeda.

The U.S./UAE hit against that “al-Qaeda aligned” Saudi mercenary gang was as much against the Saudis themselves as it was against al-Qaeda.

Unless there is a really big secret about it yet to unveil, the raid was planned and done for little effect and more out of (Obama typical) pettiness than out of sound strategic necessity. That Trump agree to it was a stupid mistake he by now probably regrets.

That all can and should be criticized. But that does not require unfounded conspiracy theories about some spontaneous raid Trump ordered out of malice or incompetence.

There are plenty of reasons to attack him for what he does. Inventing “bad Trump” stories will only help him along.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on The U.S. Attack “against Al Qaeda” In Yemen, “They Killed Anyone in Sight”

Trumping Australia’s Refugee Deal

February 3rd, 2017 by Dr. Binoy Kampmark

“This is the worst deal ever.” President Donald J. Trump, The Washington Post, Feb 2, 2017

It was a moment of delightful reflection. The indecently smug politicians of a distant island continent, wealthy, cruel in refugee policy and lazy in development, stunned by encountering a short fused US President who had little time for a “dumb” deal.

That deal, prematurely hatched during the last stages of the Obama administration with the Turnbull government, would see 1,250 refugees on Australia’s questionable offshore centres on Manus Island and Nauru, settled in the United States.

Australia’s fanatical insistence on not processing refugees and asylum seekers arriving by sea lanes has produced a flawed and unsustainable gulag system in the Pacific, along with deals of mind scratching eccentricity.

Poorer countries such as Cambodia and Nauru are deemed appropriate processing centres and places of re-settlement, despite local hostilities and incompatibilities.  Wealthier countries such as New Zealand tend to be ignored as optional points since resettlement there, should it happen, would be embolden new arrivals.  The one exception – the United States – was largely premised on both its distance from Australia and daftness of mind amongst Canberra’s policy fraternity.

In its desperation to find customers in the global supermarket of refugee shopping, Washington offered a tentative hand to feed the Australian habit.  That hand was rapidly withdrawn on Donald Trump’s signing of the Executive Order banning travel from seven mainly Muslim states.  Many of these nationals feature in the 1,250 total, with Iranians making up the largest cohort.  (It was a deal that Turnbull, incidentally, refused to condemn: Australia, he realises, knows what bans and bars to immigrants and refuges look like.)

According to the Washington Post, Trump explained in exasperated fashion to Australia’s Malcolm Turnbull by phone that the agreement was “the worst deal ever” and made it clear he was “going to get killed” politically if it was implemented.[1]  In his pointed assertion, Turnbull was effectively attempting to export the “next Boston bombers” to the United States.  Australia, usually painfully supine before the wishes of the United States, had surprised Trump with “the worst call by far.”

Caught by the icy fury of the Trump blast, the conversation between the two leaders was cut short: what was slated for an hour became a 25 minute heckle and boast.  The size of Trump’s electoral college win was reputedly mentioned, while the number of refugees was inflated.

Did The Donald hang up on the stunned Turnbull?  The meek response followed: “I’m not going to comment on the conversation.” The official record from Washington made the school boy encounter dully deceptive: “Both leaders emphasized the enduring strength and closeness of the US-Australia relationship that is critical for peace, stability, and prosperity in the Asia-Pacific region and globally.”[2]

Taking to his preferred medium of announcement and expression, he tweeted in disbelief that he could be bound by a previous undertaking: “Do you believe it?  The Obama Administration agreed to take thousands of illegal immigrants from Australia.  Why?  I will study this dumb deal!”[3]

Turnbull preferred an Alice in Wonderland approach to Trump’s tongue lashing, beating a hasty retreat down the rabbit hole in confused hope. Citing what seemed to be a distinctly different, mutated conversation, a brow beaten Turnbull preferred to refer to the president’s official spokesman who confirmed that “the president … would continue with, honour the agreement we entered into with the Obama administration, with respect to refugee settlement.”

This parallel diplomacy approach was also adopted before the National Press Club: “The Trump administration has committed to progress with the arrangements to honour the deal… that was entered into with the Obama administration, and that was the assurance the president gave me when we spoke on the weekend.”

To be fair to the confused Turnbull, the Trump administration is proving to be quite a tease.  Volcanic contradictions are fizzling out of the White House on a daily basis, the toddler, as he has been accused of being, ever erratic with his tempers.  Trump pours cold water on the deal; the White House spokesman Sean Spicer, probably informed by a different set of whispers, comes up with another statement that Washington would, in fact, follow through:

“The deal specifically deals with 1,250 people,” explained Spicer to the White House press corps, “they’re mostly in Papua New Guinea, being held… there will be extreme vetting applied to all of them as part and parcel of the deal that was made.”[4]

Even if this near aborted deal were to revive in spectacular confusion, it would only apply to refugees who “express an interest” in being settled in the US, and who satisfied an “extreme vetting” regime.  Numbers matter less than process, or, in the words of secretary of the immigration department Mike Pezzullo from November, this was “a process-driven arrangement rather than a numerical arrangement.”  What price humanity.

This entire incident is being taken as a litmus test of Trump’s relations with his allies.  Will the man boy behave or berate? Towards Mexico and Australia, his approach is one of irritable businessman rather than sober statesman.Nor should the other side be neglected in this farcical cut of entertainment.  Canberra could have embraced the other option, one unacceptable for the Turnbull government: abide by the Refugee Convention and duly settle the refugees in Australia. Can the cant; observe international law.  Trump’s fumes of indignation would be avoided and Canberra would be doing something near unprecedented: implementing an approach of independence and obligation.

Dr. Binoy Kampmark was a Commonwealth Scholar at Selwyn College, Cambridge.  He lectures at RMIT University, Melbourne.  Email: [email protected]

Notes

 [1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/no-gday-mate-on-call-with-australian-pm-trump-badgers-and-brags/2017/02/01/88a3bfb0-e8bf-11e6-80c2-30e57e57e05d_story.html

[2] https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/01/28/readout-presidents-call-australian-prime-minister-malcolm-turnbull

[3] https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/827002559122567168

[4] https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/feb/01/white-house-australian-refugees-deal-resettle-extreme-vetting

  • Posted in Uncategorized
  • Comments Off on Trumping Australia’s Refugee Deal

Trumping Australia’s Refugee Deal

February 3rd, 2017 by Dr. Binoy Kampmark

“This is the worst deal ever.” President Donald J. Trump, The Washington Post, Feb 2, 2017

It was a moment of delightful reflection. The indecently smug politicians of a distant island continent, wealthy, cruel in refugee policy and lazy in development, stunned by encountering a short fused US President who had little time for a “dumb” deal.

That deal, prematurely hatched during the last stages of the Obama administration with the Turnbull government, would see 1,250 refugees on Australia’s questionable offshore centres on Manus Island and Nauru, settled in the United States.

Australia’s fanatical insistence on not processing refugees and asylum seekers arriving by sea lanes has produced a flawed and unsustainable gulag system in the Pacific, along with deals of mind scratching eccentricity.

Poorer countries such as Cambodia and Nauru are deemed appropriate processing centres and places of re-settlement, despite local hostilities and incompatibilities.  Wealthier countries such as New Zealand tend to be ignored as optional points since resettlement there, should it happen, would be embolden new arrivals.  The one exception – the United States – was largely premised on both its distance from Australia and daftness of mind amongst Canberra’s policy fraternity.

In its desperation to find customers in the global supermarket of refugee shopping, Washington offered a tentative hand to feed the Australian habit.  That hand was rapidly withdrawn on Donald Trump’s signing of the Executive Order banning travel from seven mainly Muslim states.  Many of these nationals feature in the 1,250 total, with Iranians making up the largest cohort.  (It was a deal that Turnbull, incidentally, refused to condemn: Australia, he realises, knows what bans and bars to immigrants and refuges look like.)

According to the Washington Post, Trump explained in exasperated fashion to Australia’s Malcolm Turnbull by phone that the agreement was “the worst deal ever” and made it clear he was “going to get killed” politically if it was implemented.[1]  In his pointed assertion, Turnbull was effectively attempting to export the “next Boston bombers” to the United States.  Australia, usually painfully supine before the wishes of the United States, had surprised Trump with “the worst call by far.”

Caught by the icy fury of the Trump blast, the conversation between the two leaders was cut short: what was slated for an hour became a 25 minute heckle and boast.  The size of Trump’s electoral college win was reputedly mentioned, while the number of refugees was inflated.

Did The Donald hang up on the stunned Turnbull?  The meek response followed: “I’m not going to comment on the conversation.” The official record from Washington made the school boy encounter dully deceptive: “Both leaders emphasized the enduring strength and closeness of the US-Australia relationship that is critical for peace, stability, and prosperity in the Asia-Pacific region and globally.”[2]

Taking to his preferred medium of announcement and expression, he tweeted in disbelief that he could be bound by a previous undertaking: “Do you believe it?  The Obama Administration agreed to take thousands of illegal immigrants from Australia.  Why?  I will study this dumb deal!”[3]

Turnbull preferred an Alice in Wonderland approach to Trump’s tongue lashing, beating a hasty retreat down the rabbit hole in confused hope. Citing what seemed to be a distinctly different, mutated conversation, a brow beaten Turnbull preferred to refer to the president’s official spokesman who confirmed that “the president … would continue with, honour the agreement we entered into with the Obama administration, with respect to refugee settlement.”

This parallel diplomacy approach was also adopted before the National Press Club: “The Trump administration has committed to progress with the arrangements to honour the deal… that was entered into with the Obama administration, and that was the assurance the president gave me when we spoke on the weekend.”

To be fair to the confused Turnbull, the Trump administration is proving to be quite a tease.  Volcanic contradictions are fizzling out of the White House on a daily basis, the toddler, as he has been accused of being, ever erratic with his tempers.  Trump pours cold water on the deal; the White House spokesman Sean Spicer, probably informed by a different set of whispers, comes up with another statement that Washington would, in fact, follow through:

“The deal specifically deals with 1,250 people,” explained Spicer to the White House press corps, “they’re mostly in Papua New Guinea, being held… there will be extreme vetting applied to all of them as part and parcel of the deal that was made.”[4]

Even if this near aborted deal were to revive in spectacular confusion, it would only apply to refugees who “express an interest” in being settled in the US, and who satisfied an “extreme vetting” regime.  Numbers matter less than process, or, in the words of secretary of the immigration department Mike Pezzullo from November, this was “a process-driven arrangement rather than a numerical arrangement.”  What price humanity.

This entire incident is being taken as a litmus test of Trump’s relations with his allies.  Will the man boy behave or berate? Towards Mexico and Australia, his approach is one of irritable businessman rather than sober statesman.Nor should the other side be neglected in this farcical cut of entertainment.  Canberra could have embraced the other option, one unacceptable for the Turnbull government: abide by the Refugee Convention and duly settle the refugees in Australia. Can the cant; observe international law.  Trump’s fumes of indignation would be avoided and Canberra would be doing something near unprecedented: implementing an approach of independence and obligation.

Dr. Binoy Kampmark was a Commonwealth Scholar at Selwyn College, Cambridge.  He lectures at RMIT University, Melbourne.  Email: [email protected]

Notes

 [1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/no-gday-mate-on-call-with-australian-pm-trump-badgers-and-brags/2017/02/01/88a3bfb0-e8bf-11e6-80c2-30e57e57e05d_story.html

[2] https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/01/28/readout-presidents-call-australian-prime-minister-malcolm-turnbull

[3] https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/827002559122567168

[4] https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/feb/01/white-house-australian-refugees-deal-resettle-extreme-vetting

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Trumping Australia’s Refugee Deal

It is just two weeks since President Donald Trump was sworn into office after delivering an inaugural address proclaiming his policy of “America First” and vowing to defend the United States against “the ravages of other countries.”

Any illusions that this policy spelled a turn away from the unending wars waged by the US over the past quarter of a century in favor of isolationism have been rapidly dispelled. Trump and his advisors have staged one bellicose provocation after another in a sharp escalation of the longstanding militarist policy of American imperialism.

This has taken its starkest form in the ultimatum delivered Wednesday by Trump’s national security advisor, Gen. Michael Flynn. The former chief of military intelligence marched unannounced into a White House press briefing to declare that “… we are officially putting Iran on notice” over its ballistic missile test last Saturday and an unsubstantiated charge that it was somehow responsible for an attack on a Saudi Arabian warship by Houthi rebels in Yemen three days later.

Both, Flynn declared, were examples of “Iran’s destabilizing behavior across the entire Middle East,” as well as the failure of the Obama administration “to respond adequately to Tehran’s malign actions.”

After delivering his ultimatum, Flynn turned on his heels and left the briefing without taking a single question.

At Thursday’s White House press briefing, only one reporter asked whether placing Iran “on notice” included the threat of military action. White House spokesman Sean Spicer responded by falsely charging that Iran’s missile test violated a UN resolution and citing “Iran’s additional hostile actions that it took against our Navy vessel,” apparently referring to the Houthi attack on a Saudi ship. These were actions, he said, that Washington would not “sit by and take,” and they would not be “going un-responded to.”

While the corporate media has criticized Trump on other issues, its response to the war threat against Iran is notably subdued. This is no accident. While it takes a more extreme form under Trump, the threat of war against Iran is hardly an innovation by the new president. Such threats date back to the 1979 overthrow of the Shah’s US-backed dictatorship, through to George W. Bush’s “Axis of Evil” and repeated US-Israeli threats of air strikes under Obama. Planning for such a war of aggression has a long bipartisan pedigree.

What is Iran to make of these latest extraordinary statements? Given Trump’s repeated statements that there should be no talk about military action before it is initiated, Iran has every reason to believe that Tomahawk cruise missiles could be flying toward Tehran within days. Or that the Trump administration is attempting by means of provocation to tear up the nuclear treaty, goading Tehran into resuming its nuclear program and preparing the way for a US-Israeli attack.

The motives for such a war are clear, and they have nothing to do with ballistic missile tests or attacks on Saudi warships. Nearly a decade and a half after US imperialism launched its war of imperialist aggression against Iraq, followed by subsequent wars for regime-change initiated by the Obama administration in Libya and Syria, US policy throughout the region lies in shambles. In both Iraq and Syria, where Washington sought to bring to power a puppet regime in preparation for war against Iran, Tehran has substantially increased its influence and status as a regional power, posing an obstacle to the US drive for hegemony over the oil-rich region.

In one of his crude tweets Wednesday, Trump gave expression to the exasperation of the US ruling establishment over this course of events: “Iran is rapidly taking over more and more of Iraq even after the US has squandered three trillion dollars there. Obvious long ago!”

Last week, Trump spoke at CIA headquarters, repeating his thuggish assertion that the US should have “taken Iraq’s oil” after the 2003 invasion, while casually adding, “maybe you’ll have another chance.” These remarks appear more and more to represent a direct threat of a far wider and bloodier war that could engulf the entire Middle East and beyond. The consequences of a war with Iran would be catastrophic not only in the region, but internationally and in the US itself.

In a worried article titled “A new era in foreign policy,” the Washington Postcommented Thursday that “President Trump is advancing a combative and iconoclastic foreign policy that appears to sideline traditional diplomacy and concentrate decision-making among a small group of aides who are quickly projecting their new ‘America First’ approach to the world.”

It would be a dangerous mistake, however, to believe that the actions of the Trump White House are the result of mere improvisation or impulse. Rather, they are part of a definite plan.

According to the Wall Street Journal, Trump’s aides refer to their policy as one of “shock and awe,” directed this time around not at smashing and subjugating just Iraq, but rather the entire planet, including the working class within the United States itself.

The shape of the foreign policy agenda being pursued by the Trump White House becomes clearer every day. It is focusing today on Iran while pursuing an increasingly confrontational policy toward China. Stephen Bannon, Trump’s fascistic chief strategist, predicted in a radio broadcast in the run-up to the 2016 election that the US will be “going to war in the South China Sea in five to 10 years.”

To the extent that the Trump administration has adopted a conciliatory attitude toward Russia—the focus of bitter disputes within the ruling establishment that played out in the election—it is only a temporary and tactical postponement, meant to facilitate war elsewhere. Should Moscow fail to comply with US interests, its turn will come sooner rather than later.

The way the Trump White House conducts foreign policy, its threats and insults to nominal allies and adversaries alike, does not have a real precedent in the history of American governments. Rather, his treatment of foreign governments and heads of state recalls the thuggish bluster and intimidation of an Adolf Hitler or Benito Mussolini.

But Trump, like them, did not fall from the sky or rise out of hell. He is the personification of the criminality of the financial oligarchy that rules America. The policies he is pursuing may be unprecedented, but they have been prepared over decades.

Particularly since the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, the US capitalist class, acting through both Democratic and Republican administrations, has sought, for the most part unsuccessfully, to offset its crises and the erosion of its domination of world markets through the threat and use of military force.

With the advent of the Trump presidency, and in the aftermath of a series of disasters resulting from this protracted policy of global militarism, the policy has taken a more extreme and reckless form in the headlong rush toward world war.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Trump Favors Military Escalation: Washington’s War Threat Against Iran

War and Islamophobia: The Attack on the Islamic Cultural Centre in Quebec City

February 3rd, 2017 by Hamilton Coalition to Stop the War

The tragic Jan. 30th attack on worshippers at a Quebec City mosque has gripped all of Canada. Thousands of decent Canadians, from all walks of life, have taken it upon themselves to demonstrate their outrage at this heinous crime, and to show solidarity with muslim Canadians. We congratulate the organizers of the well-attended and quickly-organized Hamilton demonstration, and hope that we can work together as a community to end the islamophobia that led to the criminal attack in Quebec.

We wish that we could say we are surprised at the Jan. 30 incident. However, like many other organizations, the Hamilton Coalition to Stop the War has been warning, for the past fifteen years, about the dangers posed to our society by the permanent condition of the “War on Terror.”

The military interventions, waged by George Bush Sr., Bill Clinton, Bush Jr. and Obama in predominantly muslim countries such as Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Lebanon, Somalia, Sudan, Yemen, and Syria have all required the demonization of entire governments, and by extension, the peoples of those countries. Some U.S. and Canadian political figures and commentators who helped to destabilize entire regions (the Middle East and North Africa), have at the same time cynically capitalized on the resulting violence and refugee crises by raising fears about an entire religion, namely, Islam.

It’s time to recognize that successive Canadian governments and the corporate media apparatus have consistently promoted war and violence as an acceptable tool for remaking whole regions. It is in these conditions that ‘lone-wolf’ attacks occur. The powerful state and corporate media, through their blanket slander of whole countries and religions, help to put hostile islamophobic ideas inside vulnerable minds.

In a time where social stability and institutions are fraying apart, when the march of progress has seemingly ended, when people have nothing to look forward to other than war, cutbacks, and joblessness, misguided individuals will use the ideas that the powerful have handed them – that muslims are dangerous, that killing is acceptable, that violence will be rewarded – and try to turn them into practice. In doing so, they are following a template that has been created for them from above.

It is possible to build a better world. First, we need to throw off the idea that the U.S., through NATO and various other bodies, should be managing the affairs of Europe, Africa or the Middle East. Those governments have to give up their ambition of empire. They need to respect international law and sovereignty. They have to recognize the principle of national self-determination and respect people’s democratic rights to determine their own country’s destinies.

The abandonment of these concepts has led to a culture of lawlessness, violence, and impunity that we now see reflected in this tragic vigilante action in Quebec. If our governments act like gangsters, than our citizens will too. Canada can tag alongside the U.S. like the goons in a Mad Max movie, or it can follow an independent, peaceful, and humane foreign policy.

In order to build a foreign policy that reflects the vision among many Canadians for a more just and peaceful world, many of our elected representatives will have to reawaken the concept of a “political opposition” to this war agenda. When will the opposition political parties in Canada take a stand against the war agenda?

We call for the Canadian government to:

– re-establish diplomatic relations with Syria and Iran;

– end its punishing economic sanctions against Syria, Iran, and Russia;

– bring home all Canadian troops and military equipment from Syria and Iraq, Ukraine and all other frontier states bordering Russia;

– terminate the arms deal with Saudi Arabia;

– withdraw from the “Friends of Syria” Group of Countries (which organized the proxy war against Syria);

– quit NATO and join the Non-Aligned Movement instead;

– develop an independent, peaceful, and humane Canadian foreign policy.

For more info: Ken Stone at 905-383-7693 or at [email protected]

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on War and Islamophobia: The Attack on the Islamic Cultural Centre in Quebec City

Trump’s Policy on Ukraine, Could Lead to War with Russia?

February 3rd, 2017 by Stephen Lendman

It’s not encouraging based on Nikki Haley’s Thursday UN Security Council remarks – sounding like neocon Samantha Power never left.

Her maiden voyage appearance as US envoy “condemn(ed) Russian actions” in Ukraine – ignoring flagrant Kiev aggression, including  shelling of Donetsk civilian areas.

“The United States stands with the people of Ukraine, who have suffered for nearly three years under Russian occupation and military intervention,” Haley ranted.

“Until Russia and the separatists (sic) it supports respect Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, this crisis will continue.”

Shocking stuff! Haley speaks for Trump. Her disgraceful misrepresentation of hard facts didn’t go down well in Moscow.

Russia’s lower house State Duma International Affairs Committee chairman Alexey Pushkov blasted her, saying “(i)t looks like the new US representative at the UN came with remarks…written by (Samantha) Power.”

“How can Russia be blamed when (Ukrainian forces) are firing at Donbass?” Moscow’s UN envoy Vitaly Churkin condemned Kiev’s escalation, saying its regime “desperately, frantically” needs money so it provoked conflict to “swindle (it from) the European Union, certain European countries and from the United States and from international financial institutions by pretending to be the victims of aggression.”

He accused Kiev of trying to use the armed clashes that it provoked as a pretext for a complete rejection of the February 12, 2015” Minsk II agreement.

He called for deescalation “to prevent disaster and to return the situation to the political track (so) the situation in (Donbass won’t) develop (into a) worse-case scenario.”

Kiev’s UN ambassador Volodymyr Yelchenko turned truth on its head blaming “the Russian army and Russian-backed separatists (sic)” of starting the latest escalation.

Militantly anti-Russia European Council president Donald Tusk issued a statement, saying “we are reminded again of the continued challenge from Russia’s aggression in eastern Ukraine.”

In her remarks, Haley continued her anti-Russia rant, saying “Eastern Ukraine…is not the only part of the country suffering because of Russia’s aggressive actions.”

“The United States continues to condemn and call for an immediate end to the Russian occupation of Crimea. Crimea is a part of Ukraine. Our Crimea-related sanctions will remain in place until Russia returns control over the peninsula to Ukraine.”

Fact: Crimeans voted overwhelmingly to return to Russia, wanting no part of Kiev’s putschist regime. Putin accommodated them. The Republic of Crimea is Russia’s Southern Federal District. That won’t change!

Fact: Haley’s remarks suggest improving Russia/US ties won’t come easily at best, perhaps wishful thinking at worst.

Fact: Donbass freedom fighters decisively smashed Kiev’s earlier aggression, why its forces resort to shelling alone so far this time around.

They can’t win militarily. Aggression was launched for political and economic reasons. The regime wrecked the country. It’s a financial deadbeat, in default on its debt, unable to function without foreign aid.

Conditions are deplorable. Waging war on Donbass distracts attention from state-inflicted misery. How long it can work is uncertain.

In 2004 and 2014, US-instigated color revolutions replaced sitting governments with illegitimate pro-Western puppet regimes.

Will another uprising follow, this time internally generated, replacing US-installed putschists with leadership looking east, not west? It’s unlikely soon, maybe longer-term.

Stephen Lendman lives in Chicago. He can be reached at [email protected].
His new book as editor and contributor is titled “Flashpoint in Ukraine: How the US Drive for Hegemony Risks WW III.” http://www.claritypress.com/LendmanIII.html
Visit his blog site at sjlendman.blogspot.com.
Listen to cutting-edge discussions with distinguished guests on the Progressive Radio News Hour on the Progressive Radio Network.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Trump’s Policy on Ukraine, Could Lead to War with Russia?

It wasn’t hard to see this coming. President Trump’s National Security Advisor, Gen. Michael Flynn, delivered a clear threat to the government of Iran today, ominously stating that “as of this day, we are officially putting Iran on notice.” What is less clear is the the General’s rationale for issuing the threat.

Flynn cites two justifications for bringing the US on war footing against Iran. Both are dubious. First, he blames Iran for a recent attack on a Saudi naval vessel carried out by Houthi forces in Yemen. According to Flynn, because the Houthis are backed by Iran — itself a specious claim — it is Iran that is actually responsible for the attack.

Even if it were true that the Houthis are Iranian proxies, this kind of guilt-by-association reasoning gets quite awkward when considering what some US-backed rebels in Syria have done with US-provided weapons and training. Like beheading young boys.

What Flynn fails to mention is that Saudi Arabia has been attacking neighboring Yemen since 2015, with US assistance, leaving tens of thousands killed and injured and the Middle East’s poorest country in the midst of devastating famine. Saudi Arabia’s war on Yemen was unprovoked, initiated only to force Riyadh’s preferred leader onto its southern neighbor. Under Flynn’s logic, it is perfectly fine for Saudi Arabia to initiate a genocidal war of aggression against another country. But the victim of the attack had better not fight back or the United States will blame yet a third country that has nothing to do with it.

And these are the experts?

The second reason for putting Iran at the top of Flynn’s hit list: Over the weekend Iran tested a medium-range ballistic missile which Flynn claims violates the P5+1 negotiated and UN-backed Iran nuclear deal. UN Security Council Resolution 2231 “calls on” Iran to not undertake any activity related to ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons, but this section has been interpreted as a request rather than a prohibition. There are no specific provisions in the nuclear deal that explicitly prevent Iran from testing a missile.

In fact, Iran has tested several ballistic missiles since the nuclear agreement was signed but this time the US reaction is far different. Iran has been “emboldened,” said General Flynn, by an Obama Administration that was “weak and ineffective” in its dealings with Iran. He went on to lament that Iran has not been “thankful to the United States for these agreements.”

Flynn’s subordinates have long complained of his aggressive style, including a demand after the 2012 Benghazi attack on a CIA facility that analysts find some link to Iran. This pressure to “stove-pipe” intelligence to suit a pre-determined policy is eerily reminiscent of the methods used to push the 2003 Iraq war. He was fired from his previous job as Defense Intelligence Agency chief for, reportedly, his extremely hostile views toward Iran.

Adding together President Trump’s call to the Saudi king, where they discussed Iran’s “destabilizing” actions, and a pre-emptive war authorization bill languishing in the US House, the current danger of a US strike on Iran is just an accident — or a false flag — away.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on War Drums: Trump’s National Security Advisor Threatens Iran. “Bringing the US on a War Footing”

The Obamas Prepare to Cash In

February 3rd, 2017 by David Walsh

Barack Obama certainly did his part. Corporate profits soared during his eight years in office. The wealth of the richest 400 Americans grew from $1.57 trillion to $2.4 trillion. Social inequality increased at an accelerating rate.

With Obama in the White House, the stock market enjoyed one of its most successful runs in history (the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 148 percent, a greater percentage increase than under Ronald Reagan).

Concretely, according to CNN Money, “Dow components JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs have skyrocketed since the [2008-2009] bailout and are not far from their record highs. … Apple’s shares have surged more than 415% since he [Obama] took office. Amazon’s are up an astonishing 900%. And Facebook, which went public during the last few months of Obama’s first term in 2012, is up 230% from its offering price.”

The New York Times gloated last year,

“The facts are inescapable: The Obama years have been among the best of times to be a stock investor, going all the way back to the dawn of the 20th century. Consider that had you been prescient enough to buy shares of a low-cost stock index fund on Mr. Obama’s first inauguration day, on Jan. 20, 2009, you would now have tripled your money. Stock market performance of this level has rarely been surpassed.”

Supplementing that, Time magazine pointed out that while under Obama, “U.S. stocks more than tripled investors’ money, generating total returns (which include the value of reinvested dividends) of 235%…shares of companies based in Europe, Japan, and other developed economies gained just 96% in total.”

So it only seems fair that having made the already immensely rich a great deal richer, at the expense of the working class, Obama should reap the appropriate reward. He and his wife certainly seem to be of that opinion.

One recent startling headline reads,

“Obama could make up to $242 million after leaving Washington, D.C.” It is based on data collected by Analytics@American, the online business analytics degree from American University. The study itself, a little less sensationally headlined, “How Presidents Make Their Millions,” indeed argues that “the Obamas could earn as much as $242.5 million from speeches, book deals and pensions. (Assuming a retirement age of 70.) Not bad for a couple that entered office with $1.3 million in total net worth.”

The great question the study addresses is whether the Obamas will outdo the Clintons in amassing wealth after leaving the White House. “Could the Obamas equal or even exceed the Clintons’ $75 million in their 15th year out of office? That seems likely. President Obama leaves office with two best-sellers already to his name to add to the estimated $40 million in book fees he and Michelle will receive. Add $3 million in pension income and about 50 speeches a year at a conservative $200,000 apiece and you’re already close to $200 million before taxes. Enough to put the Obamas high up on the list of wealthiest former first families.”

The Washington Post suggests other options. “Any corporate board would probably be happy to have a former president at the table. Corporate boards pay well, with many offering healthy six-figure fees and private jet travel to and from the meetings. Obama has said he does not want to travel by commercial air in the future.”

The Obamas are already wealthy. Columnist Andrew Lisa notes, “Barack Obama earned $400,000 a year throughout his entire eight-year term. … The president also receives a $50,000 annual expense account, a $100,000 nontaxable travel account and a $19,000 entertainment budget.

“On April 15, 2016, President Obama released his 2015 tax returns, which showed that he and first lady Michelle Obama filed jointly and reported an adjusted gross income of $436,065. They paid $81,472 in taxes according to their 18.7 percent tax rate. … According to CelebrityNetWorth.com, Obama has a net worth of $12.2 million and Michelle Obama is not far behind with a net worth of $11.8 million.” Obama’s pension payment for 2017 will be $207,800.

Upon leaving the White House January 20, and following a vacation in Palm Springs, California, Obama and his family were scheduled to move into a quasi-mansion in the Kalorama section of northwest Washington, D.C. The house, with nine bedrooms “and eight-and-a-half bathrooms spanning three stories (not including a lower level)” ( Forbes ), is a “lavish residence in a desirable neighborhood. It was built in 1928, and it has 8,200 square feet” ( Business Insider ).

Business Insider adds, “Both Amazon founder Jeff Bezos and the family of Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner can be counted as the Obamas’ new neighbors in Kalorama, as both have also recently purchased homes in the neighborhood. The Obamas will lease the home from Joe Lockhart, who served as press secretary in President Bill Clinton’s White House, until their younger daughter, Sasha, finishes high school. It was listed for sale at $5.3 million before going off the market in May.” Forbes suggests the property is worth $7 million, “a figure expected to increase by over $300,000 in the coming year.”

The Obamas will be paying $22,000 a month in rent for their residence. In addition, they own a $1.5 million home in Chicago, and, if the Washington Postis to be believed, “Obama, an avid golfer, is also reportedly noodling around for a home in Rancho Mirage [in the Palm Springs area], where golf is akin to a religion.” The Palm Desert Patch indicates that, according “to the rumor mill, the Obama family is looking to buy a home in Rancho Mirage, possibly in the [exclusive] Thunderbird Heights neighborhood.” The area is known “as the ‘Playground of the Presidents.’”

Karl Marx and Frederick Engels argued more than a century and a half ago that the “executive of the modern state” was nothing more than “a committee for managing the common affairs” of the entire ruling class. That is more transparently and obscenely true and the officials of this “executive” are more highly compensated than ever.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on The Obamas Prepare to Cash In

President Donald Trump‘s newly sworn-in Secretary of State, recently retired ExxonMobil CEO Rex Tillerson, turned heads when he expressed support for an aggressive military stance against China’s actions in the disputed South China Sea during his Senate committee hearing and in response to questions from Democratic Party Committee members.

Tillerson’s views on China and the South China Sea territory appear even more concerning against the backdrop of recently aired comments made by Trump’s increasingly powerful chief strategist, Steve Bannon, that the two nations were headed toward war in the next five to 10 years, as reported by the Independent (UK). However, what Tillerson did not reveal in his answers is that Exxon, as well as Russian state-owned companies Gazprom and Rosneft, have been angling to tap into the South China Sea’s offshore oil and gas bounty.

“We’re going to have to send China a clear signal that, first, the island-building stops,” Tillerson said at his hearing, speaking of the man-made islands China’s military has created in the South China Sea and uses as a military base. “And second, your access to those islands also is not going to be allowed.”

Tillerson, who came under fire during his hearing for maintaining close business ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin, was asked for further clarification on what he thinks the U.S. posture toward China should be in one of dozens of questionssent to him by Sen. Ben Cardin (D-MD). In responding, Tillerson spelled out the bellicose stance he believes the U.S. should take toward China, a country Trump has often said should be handled with a metaphorical iron fist.

Image Credit: U.S. Senate Committee on Foreign Relations

Sean Spicer, White House Press Secretary and Communications Director, echoed this in a recent press briefing, stating that, “The U.S. is going to make sure that we protect our interests there.”

“It’s a question of if those islands are in fact in international waters and not part of China proper, then yeah, we’re going to make sure that we defend international territories from being taken over by one country,” said Spicer.

While President Barack Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton took a rather hawkish U.S. foreign policy stance toward China known as the Pacific “pivot,” these developments under the new administration appear to take tensions with China to a new level.

The Chinese government sees the Trump White House and Tillerson’s recent statements, if carried out, as an act of “war” toward the country, which Beijing says would not be allowed to stand unchallenged.

A DeSmog investigation shows that “our interests” (to quote Spicer) overlap suspiciously often with those of ExxonMobil, Gazprom, and Rosneft.

South China Sea, Exxon, Gazprom

Exxon’s offshore oil and gas ties in the region circle the South China Sea from Vietnam and the Philippines to Indonesia and Malaysia. Gazprom also maintains business ties with Vietnam. While most western oil majors have veered away from tapping into this oil and gas, Exxon has not shied away.

“Unlike other Western oil majors, which have usually taken a wait-and-see approach when drilling in the disputed waters, ExxonMobil appeared unfazed by the political uncertainty in the region and maintained extensive business links with almost every Southeast Asian country,” wrote the South China Morning Post.

A leaked 2006 U.S. State Department cable published by Wikileaks shows that “China began to warn oil majors against conducting oil exploration activities in the disputed South China Sea in 2006, the year Tillerson became ExxonMobil’s chairman and chief executive,” the Morning Post further detailed.

According to U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data from 2013, the South China Sea contains 11 billion barrels of oil and 190 trillion cubic feet of natural gas.

Image Credit: U.S. Energy Information Administration

As Lee Fang and I recently revealed for The Intercept, while Tillerson served as CEO of Exxon, the U.S. Department of State directly intervened on the company’s behalf to help the company win favorable financial terms to tap into that offshore oil and gas in countries which own offshore oil and gas in the South China Sea in both Vietnam and Indonesia.

Vietnam

On January 12, the New York Times became the first news outlet to dig into Exxon’s bounty of South China Sea offshore oil and gas and how it could possibly relate to Tillerson’s hardline views on the disputed territory there.

“What is also not clear is the extent to which Mr. Tillerson’s tough stance on the South China Sea springs from his extensive experience in the region during his time as chief executive of Exxon Mobil, when his company became embroiled in bitter territorial disputes over the extensive oil and gas reserves beneath the seafloor,” wrote the Times. “During his tenure, the company forged close ties to the Vietnamese government, signing an agreement in 2009 with a state-owned firm to drill for oil and gas in two areas in the South China Sea.”

That agreement was completed with a “quiet signing given sensitivities with China,” according to a State Department cable published by Wikileaks. ExxonMobil Vietnam’s then-President Russ Berkoben told the State Department that “although EM is uncertain of China’s reaction, it is ready if China reacts,” according to the cable. The deal made Exxon the largest offshore acreage holder in Vietnam, with 14 million acres to explore and tap into.

In 2008, the South China Morning Post reported that Exxon had “been approached by Chinese envoys and told to pull out of preliminary oil deals with Vietnam.” Vietnam stood its ground, telling China that Exxon and other companies had a right to drill in its territorial sea under its laws.

Three years later in 2011, Exxon said it had “encountered hydrocarbons” in the area during its exploratory drilling in a company statement. China reacted with fury, moving its own state-owned oil platform, belonging to China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CONOC), to the same area in 2014.

U.S. Secretary of State at the time John Kerry called CONOC’s move “aggressive” and “provocative,” with the Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi telling Kerry to “speak and act cautiously” on the issue.

On January 13, PetroVietnam and Exxon announced a $10 billion deal to build a natural gas power plant in the country, set to be sourced with the gas Exxon will tap from the South China Sea via the Ca Voi Xanh offshore field. Exxon will also ship the gas to Vietnam via one of its underwater pipelines.

VietGazprom, Rosneft Vietnam

PetroVietnam also has a joint venture with the Russian state-owned company Gazprom; it goes by the name VietGazprom. Together, they operate five offshore blocks in the South China Sea.

Gazprom began negotiations to buy a 49 percent stake in Vietnam’s sole oil refinery, the Dung Quat refinery, in April 2015 but walked away from the potential deal in January 2016.

Rosneft, the Russian state-owned company which maintains close business ties with Exxon, also has skin in the game for offshore drilling in Vietnam through its subsidiary Rosneft Vietnam. The project is Rosneft’s first international offshore project.

“The implementation of projects in Vietnam is one of the priority [sic] of Rosneft’s international strategy,” said Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin, a close ally of Putin, of the project in a March 2016 press release. “The development of offshore fields in one of the most dynamically growing Asia-Pacific region country is a remarkable example of high-tech cooperation with our partners … We appreciate not only the current progress of joint projects implementation in Vietnam, but also the future prospects for their development.”

Rosneft and PetroVietnam signed a joint cooperation agreement in May 2016, which includes but is not limited to offshore drilling, that will further bolster the ties between Rosneft and Vietnam in the South China Sea.

“The agreement provides for the expansion of cooperation between the parties in Russia, Vietnam and third countries in the area of hydrocarbon exploration and production (including offshore), processing, commerce and logistics, as well as staff training,” reads a Rosneft press release. “The parties agreed to consider potential options for joint projects and define the basic terms of cooperation as well as establish a working group for each of the areas of cooperation.”

Rosneft also co-owns the underwater Nam Con Son Pipeline on a 32.7 percent basis through its subsidiary Rosneft Vietnam Pipelines, which is also owned on a 51 percent basis by PetroVietnam.

Indonesia

Exxon is a co-owner of the production sharing agreement between Indonesian state-owned company Pertamina and Thailand state-owned company PTT Public Company Limited, the three of which produce offshore gas from the East Natuna field.

In recent months, as with Vietnam, tensions have ratcheted up between Indonesia and China over the disputed territory in the South China Sea.

Philippines

Exxon previously had a stake in offshore wells in the Philippines in the South China Sea, which it sold in 2011 to Mitra Energy (now Jadestone Energy). Exxon decided to sell off the wells after it failed to produce commercial-scale levels of oil and gas.

“ExxonMobil drilled the four wells to test a new exploration play concept,” Exxon said in a statement in 2011. “While it encountered gas in three of the four wells drilled, non-commercial quantities of gas were found and ExxonMobil will withdraw from [the project] and resign as the operator.”

In 2014, Exxon expressed interest in the Philippines’ offshore reserves up for offer once again, according to an official statement made by the Philippines Department of Energy (DOE). But that bid did not go anywhere, with the DOE suspending all oil and gas exploration in the area due to the territorial dispute with China.

Malaysia

In 1997 Exxon signed a production sharing agreement with Malaysian state-owned company PETRONAS. Six years later, the two companies began their first major drilling project in the South China Sea at the Bintang natural gas field.

A decade later in March 2013, Exxon began production in Malaysia’s South China Sea-based Telok offshore gas basin, a project it co-owns on a 50-50 basis with PETRONAS.

Exxon began phase two of Telok with PETRONAS in 2014, with the two projects together making up 15 percent of the country’s oil production and half its natural gas output. That same year, Exxon signed another $2.6 billion 50-50 ownership stake dealwith PETRONAS for an enhanced oil recovery project in the South China Sea.

“Exxon’s Malaysian subsidiary operates 34 platforms in 12 fields and has an interest in another 10 platforms in five fields in the South China Sea,” reported the Houston Chronicle, putting the enhanced oil recovery project deal into context. “Those fields supply about 20 percent of Malaysia’s crude oil output and condensate and 50 percent of Peninsular Malaysia’s natural gas needs.”

“Oil-Coated Glasses”

Today, Tillerson has sold all of his Exxon stock, which normally would have been deferred to him over a period of time post-retirement. Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA) recently said he worries Tillerson will see the world through “oil-coated glasses,” given Exxon’s multicontinental reach to every continent on the planet besides Antarctica.

But as the South China Sea shows, even if not dealing directly with oil and gas reserves, “black gold” can still loom large when considering geopolitical and foreign policy negotiations. Some believe Tillerson, from that vantage point, is a fatally flawed choice.

“The proportion of Tillerson’s job that would have the appearance of conflict is just enormous,” David Arkush, managing director for Public Citizen’s climate program, recently told Bloomberg. “If someone has to recuse himself from that many matters, he has no business being in that role.”

  • Posted in Uncategorized
  • Comments Off on Rex Tillerson Backs Aggressive Policy in Disputed South China Sea as Exxon, Russia Eye Region’s Oil and Gas

President Donald Trump‘s newly sworn-in Secretary of State, recently retired ExxonMobil CEO Rex Tillerson, turned heads when he expressed support for an aggressive military stance against China’s actions in the disputed South China Sea during his Senate committee hearing and in response to questions from Democratic Party Committee members.

Tillerson’s views on China and the South China Sea territory appear even more concerning against the backdrop of recently aired comments made by Trump’s increasingly powerful chief strategist, Steve Bannon, that the two nations were headed toward war in the next five to 10 years, as reported by the Independent (UK). However, what Tillerson did not reveal in his answers is that Exxon, as well as Russian state-owned companies Gazprom and Rosneft, have been angling to tap into the South China Sea’s offshore oil and gas bounty.

“We’re going to have to send China a clear signal that, first, the island-building stops,” Tillerson said at his hearing, speaking of the man-made islands China’s military has created in the South China Sea and uses as a military base. “And second, your access to those islands also is not going to be allowed.”

Tillerson, who came under fire during his hearing for maintaining close business ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin, was asked for further clarification on what he thinks the U.S. posture toward China should be in one of dozens of questionssent to him by Sen. Ben Cardin (D-MD). In responding, Tillerson spelled out the bellicose stance he believes the U.S. should take toward China, a country Trump has often said should be handled with a metaphorical iron fist.

Image Credit: U.S. Senate Committee on Foreign Relations

Sean Spicer, White House Press Secretary and Communications Director, echoed this in a recent press briefing, stating that, “The U.S. is going to make sure that we protect our interests there.”

“It’s a question of if those islands are in fact in international waters and not part of China proper, then yeah, we’re going to make sure that we defend international territories from being taken over by one country,” said Spicer.

While President Barack Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton took a rather hawkish U.S. foreign policy stance toward China known as the Pacific “pivot,” these developments under the new administration appear to take tensions with China to a new level.

The Chinese government sees the Trump White House and Tillerson’s recent statements, if carried out, as an act of “war” toward the country, which Beijing says would not be allowed to stand unchallenged.

A DeSmog investigation shows that “our interests” (to quote Spicer) overlap suspiciously often with those of ExxonMobil, Gazprom, and Rosneft.

South China Sea, Exxon, Gazprom

Exxon’s offshore oil and gas ties in the region circle the South China Sea from Vietnam and the Philippines to Indonesia and Malaysia. Gazprom also maintains business ties with Vietnam. While most western oil majors have veered away from tapping into this oil and gas, Exxon has not shied away.

“Unlike other Western oil majors, which have usually taken a wait-and-see approach when drilling in the disputed waters, ExxonMobil appeared unfazed by the political uncertainty in the region and maintained extensive business links with almost every Southeast Asian country,” wrote the South China Morning Post.

A leaked 2006 U.S. State Department cable published by Wikileaks shows that “China began to warn oil majors against conducting oil exploration activities in the disputed South China Sea in 2006, the year Tillerson became ExxonMobil’s chairman and chief executive,” the Morning Post further detailed.

According to U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data from 2013, the South China Sea contains 11 billion barrels of oil and 190 trillion cubic feet of natural gas.

Image Credit: U.S. Energy Information Administration

As Lee Fang and I recently revealed for The Intercept, while Tillerson served as CEO of Exxon, the U.S. Department of State directly intervened on the company’s behalf to help the company win favorable financial terms to tap into that offshore oil and gas in countries which own offshore oil and gas in the South China Sea in both Vietnam and Indonesia.

Vietnam

On January 12, the New York Times became the first news outlet to dig into Exxon’s bounty of South China Sea offshore oil and gas and how it could possibly relate to Tillerson’s hardline views on the disputed territory there.

“What is also not clear is the extent to which Mr. Tillerson’s tough stance on the South China Sea springs from his extensive experience in the region during his time as chief executive of Exxon Mobil, when his company became embroiled in bitter territorial disputes over the extensive oil and gas reserves beneath the seafloor,” wrote the Times. “During his tenure, the company forged close ties to the Vietnamese government, signing an agreement in 2009 with a state-owned firm to drill for oil and gas in two areas in the South China Sea.”

That agreement was completed with a “quiet signing given sensitivities with China,” according to a State Department cable published by Wikileaks. ExxonMobil Vietnam’s then-President Russ Berkoben told the State Department that “although EM is uncertain of China’s reaction, it is ready if China reacts,” according to the cable. The deal made Exxon the largest offshore acreage holder in Vietnam, with 14 million acres to explore and tap into.

In 2008, the South China Morning Post reported that Exxon had “been approached by Chinese envoys and told to pull out of preliminary oil deals with Vietnam.” Vietnam stood its ground, telling China that Exxon and other companies had a right to drill in its territorial sea under its laws.

Three years later in 2011, Exxon said it had “encountered hydrocarbons” in the area during its exploratory drilling in a company statement. China reacted with fury, moving its own state-owned oil platform, belonging to China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CONOC), to the same area in 2014.

U.S. Secretary of State at the time John Kerry called CONOC’s move “aggressive” and “provocative,” with the Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi telling Kerry to “speak and act cautiously” on the issue.

On January 13, PetroVietnam and Exxon announced a $10 billion deal to build a natural gas power plant in the country, set to be sourced with the gas Exxon will tap from the South China Sea via the Ca Voi Xanh offshore field. Exxon will also ship the gas to Vietnam via one of its underwater pipelines.

VietGazprom, Rosneft Vietnam

PetroVietnam also has a joint venture with the Russian state-owned company Gazprom; it goes by the name VietGazprom. Together, they operate five offshore blocks in the South China Sea.

Gazprom began negotiations to buy a 49 percent stake in Vietnam’s sole oil refinery, the Dung Quat refinery, in April 2015 but walked away from the potential deal in January 2016.

Rosneft, the Russian state-owned company which maintains close business ties with Exxon, also has skin in the game for offshore drilling in Vietnam through its subsidiary Rosneft Vietnam. The project is Rosneft’s first international offshore project.

“The implementation of projects in Vietnam is one of the priority [sic] of Rosneft’s international strategy,” said Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin, a close ally of Putin, of the project in a March 2016 press release. “The development of offshore fields in one of the most dynamically growing Asia-Pacific region country is a remarkable example of high-tech cooperation with our partners … We appreciate not only the current progress of joint projects implementation in Vietnam, but also the future prospects for their development.”

Rosneft and PetroVietnam signed a joint cooperation agreement in May 2016, which includes but is not limited to offshore drilling, that will further bolster the ties between Rosneft and Vietnam in the South China Sea.

“The agreement provides for the expansion of cooperation between the parties in Russia, Vietnam and third countries in the area of hydrocarbon exploration and production (including offshore), processing, commerce and logistics, as well as staff training,” reads a Rosneft press release. “The parties agreed to consider potential options for joint projects and define the basic terms of cooperation as well as establish a working group for each of the areas of cooperation.”

Rosneft also co-owns the underwater Nam Con Son Pipeline on a 32.7 percent basis through its subsidiary Rosneft Vietnam Pipelines, which is also owned on a 51 percent basis by PetroVietnam.

Indonesia

Exxon is a co-owner of the production sharing agreement between Indonesian state-owned company Pertamina and Thailand state-owned company PTT Public Company Limited, the three of which produce offshore gas from the East Natuna field.

In recent months, as with Vietnam, tensions have ratcheted up between Indonesia and China over the disputed territory in the South China Sea.

Philippines

Exxon previously had a stake in offshore wells in the Philippines in the South China Sea, which it sold in 2011 to Mitra Energy (now Jadestone Energy). Exxon decided to sell off the wells after it failed to produce commercial-scale levels of oil and gas.

“ExxonMobil drilled the four wells to test a new exploration play concept,” Exxon said in a statement in 2011. “While it encountered gas in three of the four wells drilled, non-commercial quantities of gas were found and ExxonMobil will withdraw from [the project] and resign as the operator.”

In 2014, Exxon expressed interest in the Philippines’ offshore reserves up for offer once again, according to an official statement made by the Philippines Department of Energy (DOE). But that bid did not go anywhere, with the DOE suspending all oil and gas exploration in the area due to the territorial dispute with China.

Malaysia

In 1997 Exxon signed a production sharing agreement with Malaysian state-owned company PETRONAS. Six years later, the two companies began their first major drilling project in the South China Sea at the Bintang natural gas field.

A decade later in March 2013, Exxon began production in Malaysia’s South China Sea-based Telok offshore gas basin, a project it co-owns on a 50-50 basis with PETRONAS.

Exxon began phase two of Telok with PETRONAS in 2014, with the two projects together making up 15 percent of the country’s oil production and half its natural gas output. That same year, Exxon signed another $2.6 billion 50-50 ownership stake dealwith PETRONAS for an enhanced oil recovery project in the South China Sea.

“Exxon’s Malaysian subsidiary operates 34 platforms in 12 fields and has an interest in another 10 platforms in five fields in the South China Sea,” reported the Houston Chronicle, putting the enhanced oil recovery project deal into context. “Those fields supply about 20 percent of Malaysia’s crude oil output and condensate and 50 percent of Peninsular Malaysia’s natural gas needs.”

“Oil-Coated Glasses”

Today, Tillerson has sold all of his Exxon stock, which normally would have been deferred to him over a period of time post-retirement. Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA) recently said he worries Tillerson will see the world through “oil-coated glasses,” given Exxon’s multicontinental reach to every continent on the planet besides Antarctica.

But as the South China Sea shows, even if not dealing directly with oil and gas reserves, “black gold” can still loom large when considering geopolitical and foreign policy negotiations. Some believe Tillerson, from that vantage point, is a fatally flawed choice.

“The proportion of Tillerson’s job that would have the appearance of conflict is just enormous,” David Arkush, managing director for Public Citizen’s climate program, recently told Bloomberg. “If someone has to recuse himself from that many matters, he has no business being in that role.”

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Rex Tillerson Backs Aggressive Policy in Disputed South China Sea as Exxon, Russia Eye Region’s Oil and Gas

I hope that readers won’t find this post excessively long. It is the basis of some talks that I have been asked to give to social workers in England in February 2017 reflecting on some of our key experiences of being involved with refugees on Samos. I am especially pleased that I will be speaking at Liverpool Hope University as students and staff there have been amongst our long term major supporters. This is an open lecture on Wednesday Feb 22nd starting at 5.30pm in the Senate Room of the University.

Our work with refugees on Samos has been rooted in our common humanity and informed by mutual respect, solidarity and empathy. In Samos we have come to recognise that these human qualities are shaped by where you stand with the refugees. If you stand shoulder to shoulder as brothers and sisters it nearly always followed that relationships formed where people connected, despite massive differences in background and experience. Even 2015 when the average stay of the refugees on Samos was between 2 to 3 days it was astonishing to see so many friendships made between the refugees and the local activists who met them on the beaches and helped provide clothes and food. Even 2 years later many of these connections have endured.

On the other hand we also saw many ‘helpers’ who did not stand with and alongside the refugees.

These people could talk the talk of their concern for the refugees but they saw themselves as both different and superior. Such an attitude prevented meaningful contact with the refugees and often led to ‘help’ being given in ways which were humiliating and disrespectful. This was evident in many ways. Refugees for example were and are viewed as supplicants with almost no rights to even choose the clothes they were given. If a young male refugee refused a needed pair of jeans for example they were immediately seen as ungrateful. The very idea that they should care about how they looked or comment on the labels/brands on offer was seen as outrageous. Yet in so many ways the young adult refugees are just like their European counterparts in that they do obsess about labels and brands and do care greatly about their appearance; one of the very few parts of their lives they now have any sort of control over. Virtually every other aspect from what they eat to where they sleep and when they can move are under the complete control of others.

Since the EU/Turkey pact in March 2016 refugees have been detained for months on Samos and it is possible to see more clearly how refugees fight to hold on to some control. At the cricket matches organised by the Pakistani refugees the hair styles of many of the players are stunningly fashionable. These are all done within the camp and those with the skills and equipment are in high demand. Their clothes and shoes are not up to much – they never get to choose the clothes that are handed out in the camp -but their hairstyles are top drawer. And this is true for the majority of young male refugees on Samos. Control over their hair style is about all they have!

Here They Come!

The summer of 2015 marked the beginning of a new period in Samos’ long history of being a gateway into Europe for undocumented migrants. The massive increase in arrivals with over 90,000 coming to Samos – three times the population of the island – precipitated by the devastating war in Syria simply overwhelmed the already feeble capacity of the authorities. It was an experience which was repeated again and again as the tidal waves of refugees swept northwards out of Greece during that summer.

On Samos, the previous practice of detaining refugees in a camp that looked like Guantanamo Bay surrounded by a double fence topped with coiled razor wire had to be abandoned. The camp built in 2007 (replacing an equally horrendous ex-police station) had a capacity for 240 detainees and despite the warnings of the impending increase of refugees about to cross the Aegean from nearby Turkey, no additional provision (such as opening closed military camps and empty hotels) had been made.

The decision was taken that the only way to manage was to move the refugees off the island as quickly as possible. Of course, there were other options, but on Samos at least those with power and authority were firmly of the view that anything which made Samos look positive to the refugees would result in even more arrivals. This they wanted to avoid at all costs. So from early summer 2015 all the daily arrivals were no longer taken to the camp but were immediately directed either to the port in Karlovassi or in Samos Town where they could get a ferry to Pireaus/Athens. At the outset the authorities privileged the refugees fleeing from Syria, who were considered to be the most vulnerable. Whilst constituting around 80% of the arrivals there were also significant numbers of refugees from Afghanistan, Iraq, Somalia, north Africa and Iran. The plan was that Syrians would be ‘fast tracked’ at the port and on to Athens within 72 hours of arrival. All other nationalities were to be detained in the camp where a more intense processing would take place.

But it was not to be so simple and it was only ever partially implemented. For a start the refugees are not stupid. Most of them knew that the Samos authorities had implemented the Syria first approach. So unless your skin colour (e.g. black) indicated that you were unlikely to be Syrian all other refugees quickly realised that it was best to declare yourself as Syrian if you wanted to avoid being delayed. (Just as in 2006 most of the refugees coming then declared that they were Palestinian because they knew that to be Palestinian meant you wouldn’t be deported.)

Most of the police at the ports clearly knew what was going on and often encouraged refugees from elsewhere (Iraq and Afghanistan) to declare themselves as Syrian because it meant that they avoided the hassle of detaining them in the camp and they could rapidly move them on. For some however this was taken as further illustration of the widely held assumption by the authorities that refugees lie; they are never to be believed. It is an assumption which can have fatal consequences as our friend Wasim discovered when the police refused to believe him in 2013 when he told them that his wife and 2 young children were trapped in the forest in a remote part of Samos. Not only did the police take no action they handcuffed Wasim to a chair for over 24 hours as he protested in vain. His wife and children died in the forest.

Refugees rarely travel ‘alone’. Most of the refugees are with others, either friends or families and these are vital forms of support. But through their smart phones they are also in contact with a much wider network of others including those who have have gone before them. These networks were and remain extremely important and valuable to the refugees. It provides information about routes, about smugglers and other contacts necessary to their onward journeys. It alerted them to what they could expect from the authorities they would be forced to deal with en route. It did not take long for some of the mainstream media to suggest that owning a smart phone indicated that the refugees were not having such a hard time if they could afford such a gadget. They wilfully ignored how vital they were to the refugees’ survival. We met many refugees who told us how their family had all chipped in to buy the phone before they left home and many we discovered were paid for by their mothers. The phones were life lines. This is why one of the most pressing needs expressed by the refugees shortly after arriving here was phone charging and access to free wi fi. The phones and networks created by the refugees became crucial ‘intelligence’ resources in their hands.

In the summer of 2015 the two ports on Samos and not the camp became the focus of the islanders’ efforts to help the refugees. It was here that the refugees were corralled waiting to be photographed and have their basic details (name, birth, country etc.) recorded before being given a ‘white paper’ which allowed them to move on to Athens. Once there they were expected to continue with their applications for asylum. Very few wanted to stay in Greece so there was no question of lingering in Athens for further processing. They were not interested in seeking asylum in Greece. They could see that the Greek economy was in ruins and that there was little or no chance of decent work. They wanted to move on and join the wave of refugees pushing northwards. In any event the Greek asylum service had collapsed and through a newly introduced application system operated through Skype it was virtually impossible to obtain even an initial interview to kick start the procedure.

The Boat Groups

The scenes at the two Samian ports for much of this summer were extraordinary with hundreds of refugees milling around waiting to be dealt with by the police. Every available fence was used for drying the clothes that had been soaked during their crossing and every place that offered some shade was occupied. The great majority of refugees stayed together with those they had travelled with, especially during the sea crossing from Turkey. Some of the groups were mixed and included a variety of nationalities but mostly they were from the same countries – Syrians with Syrians for example. Within each group, of usually around 40 to 60 people, there would be sub groups of friends and families. But the solidarities that formed as a result of the sea crossing which threw people together who were often meeting for the first time were exceptionally strong and significant.

At this time the ‘boat groups’ became the most important survival resource for the refugees. With the authorities offering nothing in terms of food, shelter, clothing and comfort of any kind, the well being of the refugees depended largely on themselves. There were no NGOs on the island, and not only did the authorities do nothing neither did other significant local actors such as the army and the ubiquitous Greek Orthodox Church which turned their back on the refugees It was in the boat groups that money was shared so food could be bought, or hotel rooms could be booked for those who were most in need of a proper bed and toilets – young children, those with disabilities, and those with the greatest trauma. It was from within the boat groups that money was raised to pay for the ferry tickets for those who had lost everything. And it was in these groups that compassion and support was offered. Many times boat groups refused to leave on the ferries until all their group had been issued with the necessary authorisation to leave Samos. Nobody was to be left behind.

Representatives/spokespeople always emerged from the boat groups, usually selected on their ability to speak English. In Karlovassi port we had the enormous advantage of having an Arabic speaker who had come to Samos as a refugee in 2006. Creating effective communication systems with the boat groups was crucial. They were able to identify those within their groups who needed special attention, usually medical but also financial. It was important that our involvement needed to be fully engaged with the boat groups and directed to supporting and deepening their solidarities. For example, it was evident from the beginning that in order to avoid chaos and mobbing over food and clothing distributions that the refugees themselves had to be involved and given responsibilities. The boat groups became vital in this effort and they created effective systems for ensuring that food was shared and distributed with dignity and respect. They also organised the lunches setting up lines of sandwich makers. And they were especially important in terms of maintaining some semblance of hygiene in a very difficult situation.

The negligence of the authorities seemed to have no limits and this extended to a complete disregard for the hygiene and cleanliness of the ports. In Karlovassi for example, apart from the quayside bars some of which allowed the refugees to use their toilets there was a single broken w.c. in an abandoned port police building at the harbour. Yet there were often 200 to 300 refugees staying there. Within days this single toilet and the empty rooms in the building were a public health disaster area. Under pressure from the locals the local authority announced that it would install portaloos in the harbour. They promised immediate action. But as ever nothing materialised. No portaloos ever came. To do nothing quickly became impossible. The health risks from this stinking excrement filled building in the very centre of where the refugees stayed at the port were extreme. With nothing forthcoming from the system the activists at the port took over the abandoned police building, cleaned it out, painted the rooms and got the single w.c. working again. In the meantime another local group had managed to raise enough money to install additional toilets and outside washing sinks. No permission was sought. Direct action was taken.

Although driven by the immediate health needs of the refugees, both they and the activists were well aware of the broader context where refugees are routinely demonised as being dirty and diseased. The disgusting state of the port police building was taken as yet further proof of this stereotype. In Karlovassi, the importance of keeping the area free of garbage and keeping the restored building and toilets clean became a daily drum beat. It was not only about keeping themselves as healthy as possible but it was also a conscious fightback against one aspect of their demonisation.

This was the broad context in which islanders responded to the needs of the refugees. It took various forms and was spontaneous. There was no overall co-ordination although a web of relationships formed between the various groups which helped with effectiveness. Neither was there any time when any individual or group attempted to take control. This in part might be explained by the absence of the organised left parties such as the communist party (KKE) and Syriza in these initiatives. As anyone with any familiarity of the Greek Left knows, their thirst to manage and control is (in)famous. Their absence was justified largely on the grounds that these popular interventions allowed the authorities both in Greece and the EU to evade their responsibilities for the refugees. And with some justification they argued that the explosion of popular action across Europe in response to the refugees deflected attention from the machinations of imperialism and neo liberalism which were at the root of the refugee crisis. But for the islanders who were at the ports the all too evident suffering of the refugees demanded immediate action. And for many it was never a question of either helping the refugees or criticising the neglect of the authorities or the evils of imperialism and global capital; both were seen as necessary. There was also some hope that their example would shame the authorities into doing something humane for the refugees. This never materialised.

Criminalising Help

Help for the refugees came from a range of quarters on Samos. For example, before the NGOs arrived at the end of the summer, a collection of tourists and regular summer visitors to Samos (between 15-40 at any one time) made a crucial contribution in meeting the refugees when they landed on the beaches. A phone rota was created so that when refugee boats were spotted coming into land, usually between 4am and 7am they could be called on to drive down to the beaches and help both with the landing and above all to take them to the nearest port. Despite the high summer temperatures the authorities made no provision for either the landings (need for water and dry clothes) or transport to the ports. Without the drivers and their vehicles the already exhausted refugees faced a walk of up to 20 kms to get to the nearest port. Furthermore public transport was not an option as the bus company refused to carry refugees. The same applied to the taxis, although that changed later in the summer as it became evident that they were missing out on a highly lucrative source of income. But worse still was a long standing law in Greece which criminalised giving any lifts to refugees either by car, boat or even donkey. Even though this restriction was lifted in the early summer of 2015 (although you were still expected to inform the police every time you took a refugee) the police took a great deal longer to accept that the law had changed. So drivers were often stopped and told that they were breaking the law; they had to report to police stations with their documents and were generally harassed.

The tourists and holiday visitors were not so fearful of this law nor of the Greek police and saw it as an outrageous attempt to curb their humanity. Not only did they continue to drive in the face of police harassment but they often came down to the ports with food once the refugees had settled in. Moreover, many of those continued to offer valuable financial support once they returned home by fund-raising for refugees on Samos and some have linked up with refugees who they first met on Samos and who successfully made it to northern Europe.

As always it was the refugees who suffered most from these laws. Countless cars and pick-ups with room for passengers never stopped to pick up refugees tramping to the ports. Many islanders reported of being afraid of the consequences if they stopped to help. As recounted in detail in Samos Chronicles for some refugees the consequences have been fatal as in the case of Wasim who was not helped by the local fishermen as he swam along the coast looking for help for his wife and 2 young children trapped on the shore. Boats would approach him but turn away once they saw he was a refugee. They feared if they helped they would be arrested as smugglers and lose their boat. It was not an idle threat as confiscations had happened and been widely reported. But for Wasim it was a contributory factor in the death of his family. Similarly when a motor launch capsized in 2014 and led to the deaths of over 22 refugees locked in the cabin, none of the small fishing boats in the nearby fishing village were prepared to go out and take part in the search and rescue of survivors. When pressed they all expressed fear that they would be arrested and risk the loss of their boats. We watched in mounting horror from the vantage of our home this drama unfold when for over 2 hours we could see no attempt at rescue.

Laws criminalising refugee help, seeing it as an aspect of smuggling, are widespread in Europe and not confined to Greece. But there can be no doubt that here on Samos it has been a contributory factor in making locals fearful of helping refugees. The islanders live under an unrelenting drizzle of propaganda which demonises refugees. They are dirty, they are diseased and a threat to our health, they are violent, they are selfish, they are sexual predators, they are terrorists and not least they are mainly Muslim. The list is endless and changes depending on the latest ‘outrage’ and moral panic. It has many consequences and generating fear amongst the people is one. It was evident in the small numbers of islanders who offer lifts to the refugees which was not just the consequence of the law. It was evident in some of the ways in which much needed clothes, food, and water were distributed at the ports. Cars would arrive and simply leave a pile of clothes or fruit with no attempt to make direct contact with the refugees and help ensure its fair distribution. Similarly, very few refugees were ever invited to stay or visit the homes of islanders. The lack of a common language did not help but the fear element also played a role.

The nervousness of many local people wanting to help the refugees was in fact easily overcome. Those who crossed the line and sat and talked with the refugees soon found themselves in conversations like those they would have amongst themselves. Again and again islanders exclaimed that the refugees “are just like us” after spending time with them at the ports. For so many this was a life changing revelation especially given the intensity in which refugees are portrayed as being not like us; as different and often dangerous. It was a revelation which energised activists who flourished as friendships with the refugees deepened. It was just as well for with hundreds arriving every day and with the rapid turn over as the refugees moved on to Athens, systems had to be re-created almost on a daily basis.

Help from ‘Below’

Scores of islanders came to help the refugees in whatever ways they could. It was all the more impressive given that Samos as throughout Greece was in its sixth year of devastating austerity which had seen wages and pensions slashed and jobs evaporate. Poverty on Samos is acute and widespread and if it were not for the gardens that so many islanders cultivate and the high level of home ownership the situation here would be utterly desperate. With many having given up their cars and pick ups and a bus service which (poorly) connects the main towns leaving the smaller villages isolated meant that going to the ports to offer direct support to the refugees was not an option for many. But even so many organised clothing collections in their villages, others collected fruits and tomatoes from their gardens and some became involved in cooking groups and clothes washing and drying. In other words they ‘dug where they stood’ and contributed with great generosity and with love. It was exemplified by one older woman in one of the villages who after going through her few possessions came up with a pair of women’s shoes. They were leather, in good condition but there were some scuff marks on the heels. So she had her friend re-dye the shoes before giving them. As far as she was concerned giving scuffed shoes would be an insult. This concern with the dignity of the refugees was common and reflected in the quality of the clothing donated. It was very rare to find rubbish.

Those who came down to the ports represented only a fraction of the local people who helped the refugees. Those who were there distributing food, especially cooked meals commonly had behind them a network of women who in their homes and villages were preparing meals and who had organised rotas which allowed their efforts to be sustained over the summer months. Others spent hours washing, drying and recycling clothes. Family relationships and friendships with those in local businesses were also activated with great effect. Some pharmacies either donated or massively discounted essential medicines and first aid materials. The same was true for some of the locally owned (not the big, national/multinational chains) supermarkets and fruit sellers and one businessman gave rent free a large modern warehouse to be used as a refugee clothing and equipment store.

So much was learnt during these days. We learnt about the importance of working together with the refugees; of the myriad ways in which to communicate when there is no common language; of the power of humour; of the bonds which unite us despite our differences and of the importance of working in ways which strengthened refugee solidarities. It was during that summer that it became clear that personal contacts with the refugees were as important as providing meals and shoes. Landing on the beaches of Samos in the early hours of the morning is a tumultuous experience for the refugees. There is the relief at surviving an often terrifying journey through the night. Low in the water, packed in small underpowered rubber dinghies, being steered by another refugee who might have had 5 minutes practice with the engine before leaving the Turkish coast most of the refugees pray their way through the 4 – 8 hours it takes. Not surprisingly they are overwhelmed when they arrive with some just sitting sobbing whilst others who have got a signal on their phones are shouting with joy to friends and family as they tell them that they are alive and now in Europe. Not knowing what reception to expect it meant so much when they were met by those who gave them a hug which is such a powerful act of fellowship and solidarity and was just as important as the dry clothes and snacks provided. The arrivals often had no idea who we were. Many had endured months of being scared of strangers as they made their way to the Turkish coast. Some had been attacked and robbed. In this context an embrace, a hug and a smile can almost instantaneously vaporise their anxieties. They were at least for the moment with people who cared for them and who didn’t see them as garbage.

Abusive Authority

The contrast with the state authorities could not be greater. Newly arriving refugees were and still are met by police and other officers wearing masks and rubber gloves and in lieu of a common language revert to shouting at the refugees. ‘Malaka’ is one of the first Greek words many refugees learn. It is a vulgar term of abuse and is widely used by the police when talking to refugees. It resonates disrespect, of refugees ‘counting for nothing’. Surgical gloves and masks are also powerful symbols. The police on Samos never tire to tell us and our friends that we should not take refugees in our cars because of the health risks. In this context then an embrace and simply being with and amongst the refugees is a powerful and necessary act of solidarity as well as a repudiation of the state’s propaganda..

Abusive behaviour towards refugees is not unique to the police, who in any event should have never been given such a key role in the management of refugees coming to Samos in the first place. The Greek police has its own particular history which includes a significant long standing connection with fascism and is reflected in such facts that over 50% of the police in Athens voted for the openly fascistic Golden Dawn party in the last General Election. Given a long and well documented history of endemic racism within much of the Greek police which includes deaths, severe injuries, torture and routine neglect of refugees and migrants, it is astonishing that the police were given such a crucial role in the management of refugees. But with no papers, refugees are still considered to be illegal arrivals to be managed by police and so placed within a penal rather than welfare framework. That they are refugees traumatised and frightened leaving everything behind as they fled to safety is not the starting point.

The Arrival of the NGOs

The humanitarian NGOs which began to arrive in numbers from late 2015, including Medecin Sans Frontieres (MSF), Red Cross, Save the Children in addition to a number of Greek based NGOs. During the same period UNCHR greatly expanded its involvement especially in the provision of tents and temporary structures which made up the so named ‘Hotspot’ which was initially constructed in the port area of Samos Town. The arrival of the NGOs took the major burden of care off the shoulders of the locals as they took over trying to meet the basic needs of the refugees. Whilst the NGOs have benefited the refugees, their impact has also been problematic in a number of ways for both the refugees and the local activists.

For many of the big international NGOs such as MSF this was the first time they had ever operated in western Europe as it was widely believed that this part of the world was more than capable of dealing with such humanitarian challenges. That it was in fact incapable was not just a matter of politics but also a reflection of the extent to which neo-liberalism had hollowed out the social capacity of many European governments. They no longer had the agencies or the personnel to respond and were already over-committed to providing what shredded social services survived to their own vulnerable populations. This is spectacularly true for Greece where austerity has almost done away with state public services. Into this vacuum stepped the NGOs acting in much the same way as privatised contracted out companies which have taken over and richly profited from the vanishing social state. They may not be motivated by generating profits, but it was evident on Samos that not only are the international NGOs big business but they have come to form one part of the ‘system’s’ response to the ‘refugee crisis’ which was reflected in their ambiguous stance to the refugees, to the local activists and also in their relationships to the Greek authorities.

Obsessed by their concern to stay in control, the authorities both in Samos and Athens have placed all kinds of limits on the NGOs. Basically every NGO action needs official permission which in Samos means endless delays, countless meetings and unimaginable amounts of paper work. Obey us or leave was basically the Greek state’s message to the big NGOs. Despite their size and influence the extent to which the NGOs submitted to the control of the Greek authorities was surprising. It was exemplified in the contracts issued to their staff which required them to comply without comment, to the demands of the authorities and on no account to speak or disclose anything of their work. In short gagging contracts. We witnessed many examples where the NGOs failed to speak out so as not to upset the Greek authorities. Even though some did make an eventual stand over the EU/Turkey pact in March 2016 and declared that they could not countenance working in locked camps this should not be allowed to blind us to their temerity and concern not ‘to rock the boat’. To many on Samos, the NGOs showed a remarkable lack of political ‘nous’ and courage.

But it was in their failure to stand full square, shoulder to shoulder with refugees which represented one of the most serious flaws in the NGO interventions. Refugees are routinely excluded from any involvement in setting the priorities and then the planning and implementation of NGO operations. Whilst the NGOs never hesitate to claim that they speak for the refugees they seem incapable of engaging with or even listening to them. Since the EU/Turkey pact of March 2016 refugees on Samos no longer move on to Athens after 48 -72 hours which was common throughout 2015. Instead they are stuck here for months. Many have been here for 9 months which is more than enough time to build relationships directly with refugees and to get them actively involved. This has not happened.

The arrival of the NGOs significantly changed the nature of the refugee experience, both for the refugees and the islanders. Help has been professionalised with all that entails. Despite the presence of some truly inspirational workers it was surprising to see how many NGO staff kept their distance from refugees. It is unusual on Samos to see an NGO worker sitting with refugees offering them a coffee or juice in a café or in the squares. Groups of 10 -20 NGO workers can be seen every day in the summer months meeting up for a drink and a meal (on expenses in many cases). Never a refugee in sight. There was one notable occasion when the refugees forced open the gates to the camp in Samos town. It was a carnival atmosphere as the refugees flooded out of the open gates. Families with young children filled the streets as they made their way down to the sea front where they sat and enjoyed their freedom. In reality only a small victory but much enjoyed. However what stood out was that whilst the refugees and their friends sat on the sea wall all the NGO workers who came down were standing apart on the pavement and looking over to where we sat. None of them came over. That so few of the NGOs get close to the refugees and stay desk bound in their offices has led them to being nicknamed Never Go Out by the refugees.

In addition, top down social work has long been infected by infantilising those it seeks to help. Clients, in all shapes and form are often viewed as children (often insulting children in the process); immature, lacking in judgement and prone to unreasonable and irresponsible behaviour and so on. There is more than a hint of these perspectives thriving in Samos where refugees are not valued and their voices are rarely heard. This in turn contributes to an almost total disdain which sees refugees as having nothing to offer. For months the clothing store managed by ‘volunteers’ (mainly short stay visitors from the USA and Europe who come to ‘help’ the refugees) refused to allow refugees to either help in or even visit the store. What made this worse was refugees are clamouring with frustration and want to do something. The store offered one such opportunity for meaningful activity. The reasons given for this refusal was that the refugees could not be trusted not to thieve and/or to take more than they needed. Reasons that had added irony given that everything in the store was donated for the refugees. It was their stuff! And this was not an isolated example. Workers in one of the more respected NGOs even ran a ‘book’ betting on how long another smaller clothing store would stay open because it was managed by one of their workers who believed in working with the refugees. It was a joint initiative in which she gave refugees control over its organisation, access and distribution. In fact the store flourished and was more effective precisely because the refugees were involved.

The disdain of the refugees also characterised the NGOs’ relationships with the activists on the island whose core work they now took over. Of course this was an enormous relief but it also led to a significant withdrawal of islanders from working with refugees. In the main the NGOs referred to the local activists as volunteers and through their behaviour indicated that the time had come for the ‘experts’ to run the show. It was a process which not only discarded a valuable resource for the refugees but had profound consequences in widening the distance between the islanders and the refugees which is currently being exploited by the authorities on Samos. Diminishing numbers of islanders are now involved with the refugees and like them they are not routinely included in determining the activities of the NGOs. That wide web of relationships which had emerged in 2015 which connected so many local people to the realities of the refugees has largely disappeared. This disconnection between the locals and the refugees is now being relentlessly exploited by the island authorities. In the past six months for example, the authorities have found it easier to claim that the island has to be rid of all refugees because they have made life almost intolerable for the locals. Although tourism on Samos was declining long before the numbers of refugee arrivals exploded in 2015, it is now the common sense here that refugees are exclusively to blame for its current dire state. But as a consequence of the arrival of the NGOs and their style of expertise they have marginalised an important countervailing voice. All kinds of resentments are now being actively promoted as islanders read about resources supposedly being devoted to refugees whilst they get nothing. At the same time nothing is heard of the refugees resentment that these very same resources rarely get to them and simply support an ever growing number of people who do nothing for them.

A Different Way of Working

Again and again the interventions most valued by the refugees were the ones in which they had involvement and shared responsibility. And none of these came from the official system whether an NGO or state agency. There were two outstanding examples and both involved anarchist groups, one from Germany and the other from Switzerland who set up kitchens on the island and provided the best food that Samos refugees have had in their history here. The key to their success was linked with what they did and how they did it. It is never a matter of just what you do but how you do it.

The 2 Open kitchens were brilliant for the refugees and it was a sad time in early 2016 when the army took control of food provision for the camp. Understandably the kitchens decided to leave and go on to where they were most needed. These kitchens were much more than just about providing fresh cooked nutritious meals. From the outset they involved the refugees in shopping, storage, cooking, food preparation and menus. The volunteer workers stood side by side with the refugees in all these activities, working and talking, laughing and joking. Unlike so many of the NGO workers as well as many of the newly arriving ‘volunteers’ the core staff did not stand apart from the refugees.

The kitchens were happy places. A characteristic that can be rarely applied to the NGOs and state agencies here on Samos, or even within many if any contemporary organised social work settings. It was in the refugee camps of the West Bank in Palestine that I first understood the importance of jokes and laughter as one of the means of surviving the intolerable oppression of the Israeli occupation. Alongside deep hurts the Palestinians had great jokes. I still don’t fully understand how this all hangs together but I do know that laughter draws people together in a myriad of ways and is a source of great strength.

Both kitchens created seating areas around an ever ready supply of tea. Noticeboards were created for sharing information and the kitchens rapidly became the most important centres for the refugees to meet, relax and to do something. The importance of activity cannot be under-estimated and it is no exaggeration to say that the enforced idleness of being detained on Samos for months, with no idea when they will have their asylum claims assessed drives them crazy with frustration. And guess what? The refugees had talent. Refugees came forward who had worked in kitchens and restaurants, who knew how and what to cook to satisfy their compatriots; others had skills in IT and were experts at trawling the net for information especially concerning the routes to follow once released from the island, others organised backgammon competitions, all of which made the kitchens places where you wanted to spend time.

The ‘politics’ of the Open kitchens were critical to their success which saturated everything they did. They knew that the ‘system’ was inhumane and had no care for the well being of the refugees. They were explicit in seeing borders and papers as cruel and unnecessary. They knew much about the ways in which our world creates refugees through wars and exploitation. They were angry at the hurts and injustices and the pain of the refugees. They felt this pain. They did not pity but were full of empathy and rage at the inhumanities before their eyes. They stood shoulder to shoulder with refugees as human beings.

And Then Came the Volunteers 

The media spotlight on the Greek frontier islands such as Samos in 2015 drew individuals who wanted ‘to help’ the refugees. They have come to be termed the volunteers. At any one time there can be up to 50 volunteers here. They are overwhelming middle class and tend to be either young people from Europe or the USA and Australia with many having just completed a university course, or newly retired. They stay from anything from 2 or 3 days to a month, and a few even longer. They are a mixed group with different motivations for their interventions.

The volunteers do not come here as part of an organised intervention. They travel often on their own or as a couple. Few if any questions are asked of their competence. The very fact that they have volunteered seems to be enough to allow them to intervene. Some are excellent and stand full square with the refugees. Others are not. Some for example seem to be trophy hunters such as the young German couple who spent just under one hour with refugee children getting them to paint pictures of their experiences which were then gathered together to be taken back to Germany to show to their friends. Fortunately these volunteers were prevented by activists who asked whether they had sought the permission of the kids to keep their paintings. Of course they hadn’t. For most however it was their endless photographs/selfies of posing with refugees as they handed out bottles of water or snacks which are then posted on their Facebook pages which were most prized. Not only did these photographs elicit effusive responses as to their heroic actions but they also helped the volunteers raise funds for their stay.

Driven by their desire to do something, anything when they arrive also led to the volunteers falling into the embrace of the authorities on the island. For the system, the volunteers were rapidly seized upon as being useful as form of bottom tier labour that could undertake some of the dirty work such as cleaning rubbish in and around the camp. As the numbers increased the authorities made available a warehouse and entrusted the distribution of clothes, shoes, tents, sleeping bags and the like to the volunteers. (It was the local authority which insisted that the refugees should not be allowed in the store either as casual visitors or to help in its work. This injunction was not challenged by the volunteers.)

As with the NGOs the arrival of the volunteers has been a mixed blessing. As they themselves are now realising their contributions allow the funded agencies to evade some of their core responsibilities. This coupled with the experience of only being allowed to undertake work sanctioned by the authorities has pushed the volunteers into a fundamental review of their purpose which at the time of writing is yet to be resolved.

But as with the NGOs the volunteers have inadvertently contributed to the distancing of the islanders from the refugees. For a variety of reasons there are virtually no locals working with the volunteers and similarly little interaction between the islanders and the volunteers who tend to stick together even when socialising. Furthermore the island authorities have now created a system whereby all those who wish to work with refugees and are not employed by an appropriate agency are expected to register and be approved. Few local activists are prepared to seek permission to engage with refugees from the very authorities which are so patently part of the problem.

Some Final Reflections

There can be no conclusion as the inhumane treatment and management of refugees on Samos is still ongoing and the situation here continues to unfold according to the shifting policies of the EU and the other power brokers involved. As for the refugees it remains a tortuous time in which their humanity is routinely denied. Nobody denies any more that the conditions for the refugees on the Greek frontier islands are deplorable. Refugees are dying every week from these conditions. Detained for months, never knowing when they will be either deported to Turkey or allowed asylum is torture for them. Their lives in a sense have stopped.

There is still no evidence of any compassion in the ever shifting policies towards refugees. As ever so called security concerns always trump refugee welfare. So this winter we see hundreds of refugees living in tents during freezing weather but at the same time no hesitation in deploying additional police. Samos is awash with police. At the same time we have the authorities on all the Greek frontier islands insisting that their populations can take no more of the refugees and are trying to drive new wedges between the refugees and the islanders. On places such as neighbouring Chios we are seeing clear collusion with the fascist Golden Dawn who have been organising attacks on the refugees and their camps. These crimes are taken as a sign of the islanders’ frustration and anger at the presence of the refugees who have apparently destroyed their crucial tourist economy. It is scapegoating of a classic form channelling the desperation and misery of seven years of austerity on to the shoulders of refugees.

We are also witnessing a renewed focus on the so-called ‘economic migrants’ from Pakistan and north Africa who, without papers and authorisation, are a significant part of the refugee population on Samos. That poverty and hopelessness of any possibility for a reasonable life in their home places drives them on to the dangerous and expensive clandestine routes to Samos counts for nothing. Who would risk such a journey if they could flourish at home? Instead, they are dismissed as selfish vermin with no right at all to seek sanctuary in Europe. At this time, international law still allows all refugees to make a claim for asylum. One wonders how much longer this right will remain. Even so, the EU and its constituent governments have made it clear that those who are not basically fleeing war will have their asylum claims dismissed and be subject to deportation.

At the same time over 200,000 young people have left Greece in the past 5 years in search of work and a better life. It is a cause of sadness but never a cause for their demonisation as selfish free loaders. But it also illustrates in part the huge commonalities which are shared by both the islanders and the refugees both in terms of the causes and the consequences of their ongoing misery.

Today the ‘ European Refugee Crisis’ has moved down the mainstream media’s agenda as the numbers of new arrivals has dropped, especially via the ‘Eastern Route’ across the Aegean to places like Samos. There is still considerable movement, mostly clandestine, but there has also emerged, especially in the borderlands of Greece and the Balkans places where refugees are detained, fenced and stopped. These peripheral places, unlike the squares and railway stations of Germany, Austria, Sweden and the rest of the more prosperous north are easier to ignore and easier to manage. They are dark places and they need to be illuminated.

We have come to expect nothing of value and benefit to the refugees coming from the top whether it be an NGO or governmental welfare agency. They are part of the problem and certainly not the solution, On the other hand we have seen the power and effectiveness of interventions which work with and alongside the refugees as people ‘just like ourselves’. But if it is be more compelling we must recognise that we must also shed light on these darkest of places. It is a huge challenge. But it is necessary if the barbarism of the system is to be halted.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Humanity and Solidarity: Working with Refugees on Greece’s Samos Island

Birmania: Los rohingya rumbo al naufragio

February 2nd, 2017 by Guadi Calvo

Desde hace más de veinte meses la gran prensa ha comenzado a seguir el drama de los rohingya, la minoría musulmana del norte de Birmana, despojada de cualquier derecho por las autoridades del país, que se niega a admitirlos como nacionales, a pesar de que llegados desde Bangladesh, se instalaron en el antiguo estado de Arakán la actual Rakhine, en el oeste de Birmania, entre los siglos VII y VIII.

La violencia ejercida contra esta minoría, aproximadamente un millón de personas, no solo por las autoridades birmanas, sino por  grupos extremistas budistas como el 969, precipitó, como pasa periódicamente con la minoría rohingya, a abandonar los campos de concentración donde son internados, y lanzarse por cualquier medio fuera de Birmania.

Algunos lo hacen a pie, cruzando impenetrables selvas rumbo a la frontera de Laos o Tailandia, mientras otros grupos, los más numerosos en esta nueva oleada migratoria, se aventuran en precarias embarcaciones al mar de Andamán, ubicado entre el sur de Birmania y el sureste del golfo de Bengala, al oeste de Tailandia y al este de las islas de Andamán, que le dan nombre. Su profundidad media es de novecientos metros y su fosa más profunda llega a los tres mil ochocientos. El mar de Andamán es surcado por variadas especies de tiburones y está sometido a permanentes tormentas entre ellas la temporada de Monzones, que hacen muy difícil y arriesgada la navegación.

Pero ni los peligros de la selva, ni del mar, parecen ser mayores que la furia que la sociedad birmana ejerce sobre ellos. Incluso cuando ya están fuera del país.

A principio de este último enero un grupo de operarios rohingya, que trabajaban en una empresa de software en Kuala Lumpur, capital de Malasia, una sociedad de mayoría musulmana, fue atacado a golpes de machetes, lo que dejó cuatro rohingya muertos y tres heridos. En 2014, miles de trabajadores birmanos de origen rohingya, dejaron el país debido a una oleada de ataques que se produjeron entre junio de 2013 y septiembre de 2014, con un saldo de 250 muertos.

La policía malaya, cree que miembros de las diferente filiales del Daesh, que operan en el sudeste asiático, Jemaah Islamiya  de Malasia o Abu Sayyaf de Filipinas, entre otros se encuentra reclutando militantes entre los 200 mil rohingya que llegaron a Malasia huyendo de la represión en birmana. Durante 2016, Estado Islámico, incrementó su actividad en Indonesia, Filipinas y Malasia.

En diciembre, una célula del Daesh, fue detenida cuando preparaba un envío de armas a la isla indonesia de Sulawesi, específicamente a la región de Poso, considerada un santuario de integristas musulmanes.

El grupo además planeaba, instalarse en la provincia birmana de Rakhine, donde se asienta la mayoría rohingya, para abrir un frente de combate contra el gobierno birmano.

Un presunto ataque contra tres puestos fronterizos birmanos, que habrían dejado una decena de militares muertos, por parte de un grupo de rohingya, con el fin de robar las armas, en octubre último, desencadenó una nueva ola represiva del Tatmadaw o el ejército birmano. Desde entonces masacres, torturas, desapariciones y violaciones masivas, contra los campos de “refugiados” donde se concentra la minoría musulmana  se han denunciado de manera constante.

Tras esos ataques las autoridades de Naipyidó, la capital de Birmania, acusaron a los rohingyas de tener vínculos con el Daesh y declaró una “campaña antiterrorista”, que causó más de cien muertos y  miles de refugiados.

Organismos internacionales ya han alertado que cuanta más represión se practique contra la minoría musulmana, mayor será la posibilidad de que los grupos wahabitas consigan incorporar a los rohingyas, a sus filas.

A pesar de que existen filmaciones en que se ven a efectivos birmanos practicando torturas contra miembros de la minoría, las autoridades gubernamentales niegan las denuncias.

La comisión dispuesta por el Gobierno de Aung San Suu Kyi, que esta dirigida por el vicepresidente Myient Swe, un duro general retirado, ha finalizado la investigación  sin ninguna comprobación de las torturas practicadas contra los rohingyas.

Una olvidadiza nobel de la paz

La Consejera de Estado Aung San Suu Kyi, a cargo de varios ministerios como el de Exteriores, Energía, Educación y la Oficina de la Presidencia, de hecho la personalidad política con más poder dentro de la estructura de gobierno, el partido Liga Nacional para la Democracia, y a la sazón Premio Nobel de la Paz 1991,  a la que se le han dedicado libros y películas, por su lucha contra la dictadura birmana, parece haber olvidado a los rohingyas, desde que se ha asumido el poder en marzo pasado.

En noviembre del año pasado el jefe del Alto Comisionado de Naciones Unidas para los Refugiados (ACNUR) en la localidad costera bangladeshí de Cox’s Bazar, donde ya se encuentran refugiados miles de rohingyas, John McKissick denunció a las autoridades locales, de estar llevando, un plan sistemático de “limpieza étnica” alentada desde el gobierno de Naypyidaw.

McKissick volvió a culpar al Tatmadaw, de la “cacería” iniciada tras los ataques a los puestos fronterizos de octubre. Según imágenes satelitales en posesión de Human Rights Watch, se distinguen unas 1200 casas incendiadas en poblados rohingyas, entre octubre y noviembre últimos.

Estos verdaderos progroms, han producido, según denuncian las autoridades de Bangladesh, que unos 30 mil rohingya hayan escapado de las operaciones del Tatmadaw, en dirección a Bangladesh, donde ya son 50 mil los refugiado rohingyas. “Pese a nuestros esfuerzos para evitar su entrada, miles de desesperados ciudadanos birmanos, incluidos mujeres, niños y ancianos, continúan cruzando la frontera”, anunció el Ministerio de Exteriores de Bangaldesh.

Otros miles esperan atascados en la frontera, al tiempo que las autoridades de Dacca, obligaron a una veintena de embarcaciones cargadas de refugiados, que se dirigían a Bangladesh a volver a aguas birmanas.

El Gobierno de la señora  Aung San Suu Kyi, quien se niega, como el resto de los birmanos, a llamar a la comunidad rohingya por su nombre. Denominándolos como “inmigrantes bengalíes”, ha vedado el acceso a la prensa y a  miembros de diferentes oneges  a las zonas donde se vive la crisis, por lo que se depende solo de la “información” oficial sobre los sucesos.

Además ha sido suspendida desde octubre toda ayuda humanitaria, de la que dependen más de 200 mil entre los que se encuentran unos 4 mil niños con alto riesgo de morir por desnutrición.

La situación han provocado innumerables manifestaciones en países musulmanes de la región como Malasia, Indonesia Bangladesh. Al tiempo que las autoridades birmanas denuncias que son los rohingyas, quienes queman adrede sus casas  para llamar la atención internacional.

Según algunos analistas para la Nobel de la Paz, que nunca ha reconocido la causa de la minoría musulmana de su país, se encuentra en una situación límite frente a este hecho.

Durante los 25 años de dictadura militar se le ha insuflado a la sociedad un fuerte sentimiento islamofóbico, sumados los bolsones golpistas dentro del  poderoso Tatmadaw, Suu Kyi se encuentra en una posición incómoda para intentar intervenir en la crisis  rohingya. Además hay que tener en cuenta que el Ejercito combate en el Estado de Shan, en el centro del país, contra una alianza de cuatro guerrillas el Ejército de Independencia Kachin (KIA), las milicias de la minoría Taang y los Kokang y los paramilitares del Ejército de Arakan, lo que agrega más  presiones a Aung San Suu Kyi.

Además esta última semana la señora Suu Kyi, sufrió un duro golpe, tras el asesinato de uno de sus principales asesores legales en cuestiones musulmanas. El abogado Ko Ni, fue asesinado el domingo 29  en el aeropuerto de Rangún cuando retornaba de Indonesia donde había participado de una conferencia justamente sobre  la violencia contra la minoría Rohingya. Familiares y amigos del abogado asesinado denunciaron que había  recibido amenazas de muerte por parte de grupos nacionalistas budistas.

La cuestión Rohingya, sin duda interesa a muy pocos, un millón de personas a esta altura de la historia es perfectamente descartable por lo que el naufragio definitivo de la comunidad Rohingya es solo una cuestión de tiempo para que suceda y mucho menos para que se olvide.

Guadi Calvo

Guadi Calvo: Escritor y periodista argentino, analista internacional especializado en África, Medio Oriente y Asia Central.

  • Posted in Español
  • Comments Off on Birmania: Los rohingya rumbo al naufragio

México – Carstens se va y deja la víbora chillando

February 2nd, 2017 by Mouris Salloum George

IMAGEN: Agustín Carstens, actual gobernador del Banco de México, y próximo a ocupar el mando del Banco de Pagos Internacionales (BIS, por sus siglas en inglés).

El leitmotiv del Banco de México es, básicamente, el control de la inflación, una de las variables fundamentales de la macroeconomía. Obviamente, está también la defensa del peso. (“Como un perro”, dejó dicho José López Portillo).

Aquí nos interrumpe desde ultratumba, el bardo guerrerense Álvaro Carillo: Cuando tu te hayas ido/ me envolverán las sombras…

El gobernador del Banco de México, es el doctor de reincidente apellido, Agustín Carstens Carstens. Hace unos días anunció que en se va en busca de aires más respirables: A dirigir el Banco Internacional de Pagos, en la pacífica Suiza. El que venga atrás, que arríe.

El doctor catarritos se va. Hoy los analistas bancarios y financieros pronostican que en 2017, la inflación se disparará hasta 5.25 por ciento; el rango más alto desde 2008, en que estalló lo que algunos especialistas, alarmados, caracterizaron como Segunda Gran Depresión. Las sombras se vuelven espectros visibles.

Talón de Aquiles: El incontenible endeudamiento

¿Espectros visibles? En estas horas se dan a conocer también los datos sobre la deuda pública. Toca un máximo histórico de 9 billones 797 mil millones de pesos.

El gobierno de Felipe Calderón, en el que el hoy gobernador dimitente del Banco de México fungió como secretario de Hacienda, dejó la deuda pública en 5 billones de pesos. Hoy está en casi ciento por ciento más.

Año tras año, en el Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación se reserva una monstruosa partida al capítulo de deuda. Parece obvio que apenas alcanza para cubrir los servicios, pues todos los días se conocen noticias sobre la colocación de nuevos papeles mexicanos en el mercado internacional.

Dicho sea de paso, el Banco Internacional de Pagos, al que va Carstens, es el regulador en la materia. Ayer parte, ahora juez.

No sólo el gobernador del Banco de México se va: También el secretario de Economía, Ildefonso Guajardo prepara maletas en busca de oxígeno para atenuar los estertores.

Ya habló con la comisaria de Comercio de la Unión Europea, Cristina Malsmstrón. Le pide que acelere la suscripción del Tratado de Libre Comercio México-UE.

En mala hora, cuando la comunidad europea asume la agenda del Brexit, que está desmoronando los cimientos del pacto económico europeo.

¿Y el otro casi medio centenar de tratados de libre comercio firmados por México, de los que tanto blasonaba el gobierno como el contratante librecambista líder del mundo?

Se prepara el zarpazo sobre las remesas

A golpe de medidas casuísticas, se mueve el gobierno. Ayer, el secretario de Hacienda José Antonio Meade, compareció ante los legisladores priistas que diseñan la agenda para el nuevo periodo de sesiones ordinarias del Congreso de la Unión.

Meade recalentó un spot: El que le habla a los trabajadores mexicanos en los Estados Unidos y les ofrece más pesos por sus dólares.

Obviamente, el secretario de Hacienda se refiere a las remesas que los transterrados envían a sus familias que permanecen en el país.

Sobre ese apetecible producto, hacen su agosto agencias privadas tanto de los Estados Unidos y de aquí.

El pedido a los emigrados, es confiar en mecanismos de intermediación financiera a cargo de la banca mexicana de desarrollo.

Para el caso específico, se propone el Banco de Ahorro Nacional y Servicios Financieros, conocido como Bansefi.

Lo espeluznante del asunto, es que hace unos días esa institución fue puesta en manos del inefable abogado Virgilio Andrade Martínez, que hace unos cuantos meses fue removido de la Secretaría de la Función Pública (SFP), teóricamente responsable de perseguir la corrupción de los agentes del gobierno, y donde el todólogo dejó un irrespirable olor a azufre.

Así ocurre en las crisis de Estado. ¡Qué le vamos a hacer!

Mouris Salloum George

Mouris Salloum George: Director del Club de Periodistas de México A.C.

  • Posted in Español
  • Comments Off on México – Carstens se va y deja la víbora chillando

No es la OTAN sino la izquierda la que está «obsoleta»

February 2nd, 2017 by Manlio Dinucci

Voces influyentes de la izquierda europea se unieron a la protesta anti-Trump «No Ban, No Wall» –promovida desde Estados Unidos– olvidando el muro franco-británico de Calais contra los inmigrantes y sin mencionar el hecho que la causa del éxodo de refugiados son las guerras en las que han participado los países europeos de la OTAN .

Se ignora el hecho que en Estados Unidos la medida de prohibición bloquea la entrada de personas provenientes de los países –Irak, Libia, Siria, Somalia, Sudán, Yemen e Irán– contra los que Estados Unidos ha librado desde hace más de 25 años guerras abiertas y/o secretas, de personas a las que hasta ahora se concedían visas fundamentalmente por razones que no son humanitarias sino sobre todo para crear en Estados Unidos comunidades de inmigrantes –seguiendo el esquema de los exiliados anti-castristas– al servicio de las estrategias estadounidenses de desestabilización contra sus países natales.

Por cierto, los primeros en ser bloqueados y en emprender una class action –o sea una acción legal colectiva– contra la nueva medida fueron un contractor, que no es otra cosa que un mercenario, y un intérprete iraquíes que colaboraron por largo tiempo con las tropas estadounidenses que ocupaban su país.

Y mientras que la atención político-mediática se focaliza en lo que sucede del otro lado del Atlántico, se pierde de vista lo que pasa en Europa, donde el panorama es desolador.

El presidente francés Francois Hollande, al ver que Francia se va quedando detrás de Gran Bretaña, que a su vez recupera el papel de más estrecho aliado de Estados Unidos, se escandaliza por el apoyo de Trump al Brexit y demanda que la Unión Europea –institución que esa misma Francia ignora al trazar su política exterior– haga oír su voz. Voz de hecho inexistente ya que de los 28 países miembros de la Unión Europea 22 son miembros de la OTAN, bloque militar que la Unión reconoce como «base de la defensa colectiva», bajo el mando del Comandante Supremo de las fuerzas aliadas en Europa nombrado por el presidente de Estados Unidos, o sea, en lo adelante, por Donald Trump.

La canciller alemana Angela Merkel dice «deplorar» la política de la Casa Blanca hacia los refugiados, pero se entrevista por teléfono con Trump y lo invita al G20, a celebrarse en julio en Hamburgo. «El presidente y la canciller están de acuerdo en la importancia fundamental de la OTAN para garantizar la paz y la estabilidad», nos informa la Casa Blanca.

Conclusión: la OTAN no está «obsoleta», como dijo Trump. Él y Merkel «reconocen que nuestra defensa exige inversiones militares apropiadas».

Más explícita fue la primera ministro británica Theresa May cuando, al ser recibida por Trump, se comprometió a «estimular a mis colegas, los líderes europeos, a concretar el compromiso de dedicar un 2% del PIB a la defensa, para repartir la carga más igualmente».

Según los datos oficiales de 2016, sólo 5 países de la OTAN alcanzan un nivel de gastos de «defensa» igual o superior al 2% del PIB: Estados Unidos (3,6%), Grecia, Gran Bretaña, Estonia y Polonia.

Según la OTAN, Italia dedica a la «defensa» un 1,1% del PIB, pero está “mejorando”: en 2016, aumentó ese gasto en más de 10% en relación con 2015. Según los datos oficiales de la OTAN para el año 2016, el gasto de Italia para la «defensa» se eleva a 55 millones de euros diarios. En realidad, el gasto militar efectivo es mucho más elevado ya que el presupuesto de «defensa» no incluye el costo de las misiones militares en el exterior, ni el de armamentos importantes, como los navíos de guerra financiados con miles de millones de euros a través de la Ley de Estabilidad y del ministerio de Desarrollo Económico. En todo caso, Italia se ha comprometido a llevar el gasto de «defensa» al 2% del PIB, o sea 100 millones de euros al día.

Pero la izquierda institucional [italiana] prefiere no hablar de eso, mientras espera que Trump tenga un momento libre para llamar por teléfono a Paolo Gentiloni.

Manlio Dinucci

Manlio Dinucci: Geógrafo y politólogo.

Artículo original en italiano:

Otan UE

Non la Nato, ma la sinistra è «obsoleta», publicado el 31 de enero de 2017.

Traducido por la Red Voltaire.

  • Posted in Español
  • Comments Off on No es la OTAN sino la izquierda la que está «obsoleta»

El gobierno italiano inicia hoy una nueva fase en las negociaciones con la Comisión Europea (CE) sobre el déficit fiscal previsto para este año, en medio de la incertidumbre generada por cambios en el escenario político.

La posición italiana fue fijada la víspera en la carta enviada la por el ministro de Economía y Finanzas, Pier Carlo Padoan, a los comisarios europeos Valdis Dombrovskis y Pierre Moscovici.

El objetivo de la misiva fue responder al reclamo del organismo regional de reducir el déficit de 2,4 a 2,2 por ciento del Producto Interno Bruto, cifra equivalente a unos tres mil 400 millones de euros.

Tras subrayar que su política presupuestaria para este y los dos próximos años es respetuosa de las normas establecidas por el Pacto de Estabilidad y Crecimiento de la Unión Europea (UE), el funcionario descartó cualquier reacomodo drástico y aseguró que el país continuará en una senda ‘favorable al crecimiento y las reformas estructurales’.

Un proceso de ajuste excesivamente acelerado -señala el documento- perjudicaría la economía en medio de una acentuada incertidumbre económica y geopolítica global e implicaría el riesgo de una consolidación autolesiva.

En su lugar, el gobierno italiano plantea una mayor revisión de los gastos en el mes de abril, cuando se apruebe el Documento de Economía y Finanzas (DEF). Además, la adopción de medidas adicionales para incrementar los ingresos mediante la reducción de la evasión fiscal y la aplicación de impuestos especiales e indirectos.

El texto menciona también los daños causados por la secuencia de eventos sísmicos sufridos por Italia en las últimas semanas, junto a condiciones climatológicas adversas extremas, con daños que seguramente superarán los mil millones de euros.

En un documento anexo de 86 páginas titulado ‘Informe sobre factores relevantes’, el gobierno italiano agrega que ‘el cambio de actitud de Estados Unidos hacia las instituciones multilaterales y el libre comercio y la posibilidad concreta de una concurrencia fiscal en Europa, constituyen un riesgo para las economías abiertas como Italia’, para quien el acceso a mercados e inversiones externas tienen una importancia crucial.

Esta debe ser la última parada en las negociaciones entre ambas partes, iniciadas hace varios meses cuando resultó evidente que el déficit fiscal de Italia para 2017 sería superior al tope de 1,8 por ciento acordado con la CE en mayo del año pasado.

Ese límite fue revisado con posterioridad por el gobierno italiano teniendo en cuenta los gastos imprevistos en los cuales incurrió y seguirá incurriendo, para enfrentar las emergencias generadas por los terremotos que devastaron la región central del país y el creciente flujo migratorio.

Ante la imposibilidad de pedir otra flexibilización, el ejecutivo argumentó que las erogaciones por los sismos y la inmigración eran gastos en circunstancias excepcionales, a los cuales se les da un tratamiento especial según las normas europeas.

Mientras se negociaba en Roma y Bruselas, Renzi desarrollaba una intensa campaña a favor del SI en el referendo del 4 de diciembre sobre la reforma constitucional impulsada por él, en la cual fue enfático al reiterar las críticas a la CE por la aplicación de la política de austeridad.

El 16 de noviembre, la CE anunció los resultados de su análisis de los proyectos de presupuesto presentados por los países miembros y se limitó a exhortar a Italia a respetar las normas del Pacto de Estabilidad y Crecimiento, al tiempo que pospuso la realización de un examen más profundo, para inicios de 2017.

La decisión adoptada en aquel momento fue interpretada como un gesto para no perjudicar la campaña a favor de la reforma constitucional.

Tras la derrota de la propuesta de modificación de la Carta Magna y la consecuente renuncia de Renzi, el contexto político italiano sufrió importantes cambios, incluyendo la posibilidad real de una convocatoria a elecciones anticipadas, con la presencia revigorizada de fuerzas opuestas, total o parcialmente, a la integración regional.

Trascendidos publicados hoy por los influyentes diarios La Stampa y La Repubblica, señalan que las explicaciones ofrecidas por el gobierno italiano en la carta suscrita por Padoan no colmaron, en principio, las expectativas de la CE al considerar que no contienen la información solicitada por el organismo regional en su comunicación del 17 de enero último.

En aquella ocasión, Dombrovskis y Moscovici pidieron a Roma ‘una relación suficientemente detallada de compromisos específicos y un calendario claro para su adopción’.

La próxima señal sobre la valoración de la CE respecto a la respuesta de Italia se podrá constatar el próximo día 13 del presente mes, cuando la UE publique sus previsiones económicas invernales para la zona euro.

De lo allí expuesto se podrá deducir si el ente regional está interesado en someter a Italia a un procedimiento de infracción por el exceso de endeudamiento, lo cual sería muy grave, o si, por el contrario, todo seguirá igual.

Frank González

  • Posted in Español
  • Comments Off on Nueva fase de negociaciones entre Italia y la Comisión Europea

Just when we might have thought we’d seen Donald Trump at his zaniest (say, in the first presidential debate) and most dangerous (say, in his executive order on immigration last week), he outdid himself with the nomination of Neil Gorsuch, 49, a judge from the 10th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals (headquartered in Denver), to fill the late Antonin Scalia’s empty chair on the Supreme Court.

The zany part is the way our narcissist in chief introduced Gorsuch as his pick. The dangerous part is that Gorsuch is exactly the sort of Scalia-in-waiting we would expect from an extremist right-wing administration that aims to roll back constitutional rights in pursuit of a political agenda driven by the fantasies of racial nostalgia, misogyny and the passions of white nationalism.

Let’s deal with the zany part first:

Instead of the usual news release followed by a public meet-and-greet in the Rose Garden to introduce his first high court selection, Trump went the route of “Celebrity Apprentice” (perhaps Miss Universe might be a better analogy), fanning rumors that he had summoned both Gorsuch and another Supreme Court contender, 3rd Circuit Judge Thomas Hardiman, to the White House in anticipation of the prime-time TV broadcast he had called to announce his choice—all for the purpose of building suspense and maximizing media interest. Fortunately for Hardiman, he was not on hand for the actual announcement, which Trump delivered in the East Room of the White House from what looked like the same lectern where President Obama stood to tell the world that Osama bin Laden had been killed.

Once again, Trump put himself center stage. With Gorsuch and his wife, Louise, on hand, in addition to Scalia’s widow, Maureen; Trump’s sons Eric and Don Jr.; chief strategist Steve Bannon; House Speaker Paul Ryan; and several GOP senators in a hall of white faces, Trump reminded viewers across the nation and the globe that he had long promised to select a jurist “in the mold of Justice Scalia,” as well as someone who “loves our Constitution.” Touting his selection process as “the most transparent in history,” he added that Gorsuch could serve on the high court for “50 years” and that his decisions could have an impact on American life for “a century or more.”

Sadly, and here’s the dangerous part: In Gorsuch, Trump has probably found his man. During the presidential election campaign, Trump listed 21 federal and state court judges as possible replacements for Scalia. In a comprehensive study led by Mercer University law professor Jeremy Kidd, Gorsuch was ranked second among the 21 in judicial qualities most resembling Scalia’s. Utah Supreme Court Justice Thomas Lee—the brother of Republican Sen. Mike Lee of Utah—garnered the top spot.

Professor Kidd and his fellow researchers based their rankings of Trump’s potential nominees according to their adherence to Scalia’s legal philosophy of “originalism” (the idea that judges should interpret the Constitution according to its presumed original meaning) and their propensity to issue dissenting opinions, in the fashion of Scalia, when their benchmates were unwilling to go as far doctrinally as the potential nominees would have liked.

Gorsuch was appointed to the 10th Circuit by President George W. Bush in 2006. Since then, he has amassed a conservative judicial record that confirms Kidd’s findings. His body of work has been summarized by both the liberal Alliance for Justice Action Campaign and the authoritative SCOTUSblog website. Their summaries encompass opinions, rulings, judicial votes and published articles on an array of vital constitutional issues, including:

—Religious liberty

In 2013, Gorsuch joined with five other members of a divided 10th Circuit panel to write a concurring opinion of his own in the case of Hobby Lobby v. Sebelius. The decision, subsequently upheld by the Supreme Court in a 5-4 vote, held that for-profit corporations are persons under the law and can legally exercise their own religious views, even if doing so contravenes the rights of their female employees under the Affordable Care Act to receive health insurance coverage for contraceptive care.

—Abortion Rights

In a decision issued in October, Gorsuch wrote a dissent in which he argued that the Circuit Court should reconsider whether Utah’s governor had acted improperly when he attempted to cut off funding for Planned Parenthood.

—The Second Amendment and the death penalty

In 2012, Gorsuch urged the 10th Circuit to re-examine and loosen its previous rulings on the right of felons to own firearms. The full court voted otherwise. Gorsuch has also been a consistent supporter of the death penalty.

—Access to the courts and attacks on liberals

As noted by the Alliance for Justice in a National Review Online op-ed published in 2005 before Gorsuch became a judge, he “attacked ‘American liberals’ for what he said was an over-reliance on constitutional litigation. He asserted that liberals’ ‘overweening addiction to the courtroom’ negatively affects public policy by aggrandizing the courts and consequently dampening ‘social experimentation’ by the legislative branches.” He has not been similarly critical of litigation initiated by right-wing organizations.

In accepting Trump’s nomination Tuesday night, Gorsuch praised Scalia as “a lion of the law.” In the weeks and months ahead, the Senate will debate and ultimately determine whether Gorsuch will have the opportunity to further Scalia’s legacy.

Will the Democrats find the courage to oppose him? Will progressives come together as a movement to demand that they do so, as they did to derail Ronald Reagan’s nomination of Scalia’s mentor, Robert Bork, in 1987?

With the Supreme Court’s remaining elderly justices (Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 83, Anthony Kennedy, 80, and Stephen Breyer, 78) nearing the inevitable end of their professional careers, the future of our most powerful judicial body—and with it, the future of the Constitution—literally hangs in the balance.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Trump’s Appointee to the Supreme Court: Meet Neil Gorsuch, the New Antonin Scalia

This article confirms that China is involved in the new arms race. It is threatened by the U.S in the South China sea. China’s response is the development of its naval capabilities. 

*     *     *

When the PLA Navy first eluded to its intention to build another class of guided missile destroyer (DDG) to follow the Type 052D, there was much speculation as to the dimensions, displacement, and intended role of such a vessel.

In March of 2014, images began to circulate on the internet that clearly illustrated a test-bed mock-up of the new vessel’s superstructure at the PLA Navy’s testing center at Wuhan, in southern China. Military analysts and enthusiasts keep a watchful eye on the Wuhan facility, as mock-ups for China’s LiaoningCV-16 aircraft carrier, and now the follow-on CV-17 have provided a useful tool by which to extrapolate the eventual size and weapons and systems complement of the finished vessels. Comparing the Type 055 mock-up at Wuhan to the hull modules currently being constructed at the Jiangnan Shipyard in Shanghai, gives a relatively accurate estimation of total size and displacement.

Type 055 testing and training platform located at the Wuhan University of Science and Technology.

Initial estimates on size and displacement have narrowed as a result of new information and photographic evidence becoming available. Speculation of a displacement tonnage in excess of 14,000 tons and a Length Overall (LOA) of 187 meters have been revised down to a displacement of 12,000 tons at 180 meters LOA. This makes sense when one looks at the size of its most similar contemporary in the West, the Arleigh Burke class DDG. The latest Arleigh Burke Flight IIA weighs in at 9,200 tons, with an LOA of 155 meters. The proposed Flight III upgrade adds an estimated 600 tons displacement without any changes to LOA or beam dimensions.

Initial cost estimates for the first of the four planned Type 055 DDGs is in excess of $5 billion Yuan ($750 million USD). The GOA reported in 2016, that the per-unit cost of an Arleigh Burke Flight IIA is approximately $1.19 billion USD. If the Chinese estimate is correct, this denotes a significant cost savings per vessel for a platform that is at least as capable, if not superior to its U.S. counterpart in comparison. Its larger size suggests greater range, electrical power generation, and accommodation for both weapons, and sensory and electronic warfare systems than other DDGs in service.

Why Field a Larger DDG?

The PLAN has impressed both its admirers and detractors with the swift development and production of the Type 052D class DDG. The PLAN has built 12 of the vessels so far, with 4 already in active service. The remainder are in various stages of fitting-out or sea-trials. There is speculation that there may be an additional two units under construction at both the Dalian and Jiangnan shipyards. With the adoption of such a capable, high-tech DDG, why would the PLAN require an additional class of destroyer? There are a number of reasons why fielding the Type 055 alongside its smaller sibling makes perfect sense.

The Type 055 DDGs could serve in a multitude of roles. Similar to the U.S. Navy Ticonderoga Class CGs, they could offer longer range and greater Anti-submarine (ASW) and Anti-aircraft (AAW) defense for fleet task forces or aircraft carrier strike groups to be fielded by the PLAN in the near future. Type 052D and 055 destroyers could operate in conjunction with one another in a similar fashion as the Arleigh Burke DDG and Ticongeroda guided missile cruiser (CG), in providing a multilayered and robust fleet defense. With greater range and capability, they offer the PLAN the ability to increase the range and endurance of China’s naval power projection efforts, and further transform the PLAN into a true “Blue Water” navy. They will undoubtedly serve to showcase the growing military, political and economic power of China in broader diplomatic terms.

Current Construction Efforts

Two vessels have appeared in photographs and satellite imagery taken of the Jiangnan Shipyard. The hull of the first vessel in class is apparently completed. Two or three hull section modules of a second Type 055 can also clearly visible in satellite imagery of the shipyard, under construction alongside the lead-on vessel.

The above satellite image of Jiangnan shipyard dated November 11, 2016 clearly shows that the first Type 55 hull has been completed, while additional hull sections for a second Type 55 are under construction.

It turns out that a third Type 055 is under construction at the Dalian shipyard. Dalian is also currently building the CV-17 aircraft carrier, the first indigenously constructed aircraft carrier for the PLAN. Dalian has also been building the Type 052D class destroyers in conjunction with Jiangnan. Using both of the shipyards has allowed China to speed up its acquisition of these modern naval vessels.

This satellite image of Dalian shipyard captures what appears to be a third Type 055 DDG (top left) under construction. Image was taken November 20, 2016.

Capabilities

The Type 055 is being fitted with either two 64 cell modular vertical launch systems (VLS) or one 64 cell and one 48 cell VLS. One VLS is mounted forward in the bow of the destroyer, between the deck gun and the superstructure, and one VLS between the main superstructure and the aft helicopter hangar. The modular VLS will most likely be the same system currently utilized by the Type 052D, and will be able to house and fire all current missiles in the PLAN inventory, including the YJ-18 anti-ship cruise missile and HQ-9 anti-aircraft missile.

This unofficial artist’s rendition illustrates the modular nature of the PLAN VLS and its ability to be loaded with a mix of missiles. This allows the PLAN to equip its vessels with mission specific payloads. The red squares denote the approximate orientation of the two VLS on the Type 055.

The Type 055 mock-up at Wuhan gives clues as to the possible radar array planned for the vessel, as well as the electronic support measures (ESM) to be carried. It is assumed by most analysts that the Type 055 will make use of an updated Type 346A active phased array radar (APAR) as well an X-band radar. The Type 055 will most likely use 4 phased array radar panels, with two panels on the front of the superstructure and two aft. Where the Type 052 mounts four panels at the same height, both fore and aft, the Type 055 may align the panels at an offset height in an attempt to maximize radar coverage. The integrated mast on the Type 055 mock-up mounts 3 radar panels, most likely for friend-or-foe identification (IFF), fire-control and electronic countermeasures (ECM), on the forward face of the mast only, yet the actual vessels will carry these same panels on all four sides of the mast. The mock-up also sports an exposed ESM mast at the top of the integrated mast, but it is unclear whether the ESM mast will remain exposed or not on the actual vessel.

A comparison of the integrated mast structures of the Type 055 mock-up and the active Type 052D Kunming. Note the location of the forward two active phased array radar panels on the Kunming. The large sloped superstructure facing, just under the starboard side bridge deck portals on the Type 55, will be fitted with a similar APAR panel.

 

The above illustrations clearly show the similarities and differences in the Type 052D (top) and Type 055 (bottom) guided missile destroyers.

Commonality and Functionality

Sharing common weapons, radars, electronic warfare systems, and sonar and communications systems across both platforms will allow the PLAN to achieve a great deal of cost savings. Common battle management systems and networking platforms will allow the vessels to easily coordinate both offensive efforts and defensive measures when working together as components of a larger fleet. It will also lower training costs, as sailors and officers will be able to more easily transition to deployments on either class of vessel. It is estimated that the propulsion systems of the newer vessel are similar to the smaller Type 052D. The PLAN aims to leverage all of the benefits of standardization.

The United States Navy has embarked upon a very different path, and is already paying a heavy price for deciding to not only field a number of totally new vessel designs, but at the same time abandoning proven technologies for unproven ones. The Freedom and Independence LCS programs, the first in class Gerald FordCVN, and the DDG-1000 Zumwalt destroyer project are all glaring examples.

Both class of LCS have experienced major engineering casualties since they were commissioned. Initial investigations have pointed to a combination of faulty engineering systems and inadequate engineering management processes. A major goal of the LCS program was to reduce vessel crews by automating as many processes as possible, and to gain flexibility through a modular design that allowed the platforms to be made mission specific by swapping warfare modules. For example, an LCS could be fitted with an ASW module to focus on anti-submarine duties one year, and then have the module removed and replaced with an AAW module the next, so that it could be shifted to air-defense duties as requirements changed. The benefits of this modularity have largely not been realized to date. For example, the LCS has failed to meet its intended ASW capabilities, even though the first vessels were commissioned in 2008 (Freedom LCS-1) and 2010 (Independence LCS-2).

The DDG-1000 Zumwalt was originally planned as the first of 32 vessels; however, the U.S. Navy later settled for only 3 vessels, as cost overruns and the failure of the design to meet mission requirements became evident. What resulted from the ambitious program are a $4 billion USD cost per vessel, advanced deck guns that are too expensive to use as intended (with an estimated cost per round of $800,000 USD), and an Advanced Induction Motor (AIM) propulsion system that left the Zumwalt dead in the water on its maiden trip through the Panama Canal on November 22, 2016. The DDG-1000 class are not Aegis vessels, have limited AAW capabilities due to their smaller missile payload, and lack any Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) capability. They cannot integrate and coordinate AAW or BMD defense like all other Aegis class vessels. This is a major weakness, compared to all other Arleigh Burke and Ticonderoga class surface combatants, that can work together seamlessly using shared Aegis-based systems.

The most expensive naval vessel ever constructed, the Gerald R. Ford CVN-78, has already cost U.S. tax payers a cool $13 billion USD, yet the Navy Sea Systems Command (NAVSEA) has no idea when it will be able to officially take delivery of the vessel. Major defects in the main turbine generators (MITs), and an Advanced Arresting Gear (AAG) that has yet to be deemed operational, have only added costs to a program that has already experienced cost overruns approaching $3 billion USD. The adoption of multiple unproven technologies in the key areas of propulsion, and aircraft launch and recovery systems, was a foreseeable mistake.

Chinese Aircraft Carrier Strike Group Takes Shape

While the Type 055 DDG will undoubtedly add a key component to future PLAN aircraft carrier strike groups (CSG), replenishment and support vessels that have the speed and range to match the warships of a CSG are an additional requirement. Although not earning the spotlight afforded aircraft carriers or large destroyers, the Type 901 fleet replenishment oiler (although classified by the PLAN as a “general supply vessel”) is a noteworthy addition to China’s growing blue water navy. The first Type 901 began sea trials in December of 2016. Measuring in at 240 meters LOA, and displacing 48,000 tons, the Type 901 has five liquid bulk cargo tanks for fuel and potable water and two dry cargo holds. A maximum cruising speed of 25 knots has been reported. It is equipped with hangar space for three heavy helicopters, as well as a sizeable flight deck. The Type 901 is reported to utilize an automated logistics management system that tracks and optimizes fuel consumption and logistics replenishment needs of fleet vessels. A second Type 901 is currently under construction at the Guangzhou naval shipyard.

Type 901 undergoing sea trials in December, 2016. An additional vessel is currently under construction at the Guangzhou Shipyard International (GSI) naval shipyard.

The PLAN commissioned three new Type 903A fleet oilers in 2016 alone (numbers 887, 963, 964), and is showing a dedicated interest to expand its fleet refueling capabilities. Replacement of older vessels with new, more capable designs, and expanding the total number of oilers and replenishment vessels will expand China’s power projection capabilities. The Type 903A has an LOA of 178 meters and displacement of 23,400 tons. In addition to the Type 903A, two Type 904B dry cargo/general stores vessels were commissioned in 2015, with a third such vessel currently being fitted out. These vessels are ideally suited for supporting off-shore island garrisons, such as those being stationed on Chinese held islands in the South China Sea. All of the PLANs Type 904, Type 904A and Type 904B dry cargo replenishment vessels are attached to the South Sea Fleet based at Hainan Island. The Type 904 was increased in size with the Type 904A and the addition of a heavy helicopter hangar was added in the design of the Type 904B.

Type 903 fleet replenishment oiler (bottom) and Type 904 dry cargo/general stores support vessels.

2017: A Big Year for the PLAN

Although the CV-17 aircraft carrier will not be commissioned until 2018 or 2019, this year is shaping up to be a big year for the PLAN, considering the expansion of the navy in both quantitative and qualitative terms. In addition to the commissioning on three more Type 052D destroyers, three additional Type 054A frigates, two newly commissioned Type 056 corvettes, one Type 904B and one Type 901 large replenishment ship, the first of China’s largest and most capable surface warships, the first Type 055 will be launched. Although the Type 055 will not be a game changer, in that it does not afford China a distinct advantage over near-peer adversaries, it does level the playing field in China’s favor in any prospective conflict. In terms of regional adversaries, it gives China a powerful advantage over the small navies at its doorstep. Only Japan’s JMSDF and the United States Navy in the Pacific region will maintain an edge over an increasingly capable and assertive PLAN. As time goes on, this advantage in naval power will continue to diminish.

  • Posted in Uncategorized
  • Comments Off on New Arms Race: China Develops its Naval Power, Launches Type 055 Destroyer. Analysis

This article confirms that China is involved in the new arms race. It is threatened by the U.S in the South China sea. China’s response is the development of its naval capabilities. 

*     *     *

When the PLA Navy first eluded to its intention to build another class of guided missile destroyer (DDG) to follow the Type 052D, there was much speculation as to the dimensions, displacement, and intended role of such a vessel.

In March of 2014, images began to circulate on the internet that clearly illustrated a test-bed mock-up of the new vessel’s superstructure at the PLA Navy’s testing center at Wuhan, in southern China. Military analysts and enthusiasts keep a watchful eye on the Wuhan facility, as mock-ups for China’s LiaoningCV-16 aircraft carrier, and now the follow-on CV-17 have provided a useful tool by which to extrapolate the eventual size and weapons and systems complement of the finished vessels. Comparing the Type 055 mock-up at Wuhan to the hull modules currently being constructed at the Jiangnan Shipyard in Shanghai, gives a relatively accurate estimation of total size and displacement.

Type 055 testing and training platform located at the Wuhan University of Science and Technology.

Initial estimates on size and displacement have narrowed as a result of new information and photographic evidence becoming available. Speculation of a displacement tonnage in excess of 14,000 tons and a Length Overall (LOA) of 187 meters have been revised down to a displacement of 12,000 tons at 180 meters LOA. This makes sense when one looks at the size of its most similar contemporary in the West, the Arleigh Burke class DDG. The latest Arleigh Burke Flight IIA weighs in at 9,200 tons, with an LOA of 155 meters. The proposed Flight III upgrade adds an estimated 600 tons displacement without any changes to LOA or beam dimensions.

Initial cost estimates for the first of the four planned Type 055 DDGs is in excess of $5 billion Yuan ($750 million USD). The GOA reported in 2016, that the per-unit cost of an Arleigh Burke Flight IIA is approximately $1.19 billion USD. If the Chinese estimate is correct, this denotes a significant cost savings per vessel for a platform that is at least as capable, if not superior to its U.S. counterpart in comparison. Its larger size suggests greater range, electrical power generation, and accommodation for both weapons, and sensory and electronic warfare systems than other DDGs in service.

Why Field a Larger DDG?

The PLAN has impressed both its admirers and detractors with the swift development and production of the Type 052D class DDG. The PLAN has built 12 of the vessels so far, with 4 already in active service. The remainder are in various stages of fitting-out or sea-trials. There is speculation that there may be an additional two units under construction at both the Dalian and Jiangnan shipyards. With the adoption of such a capable, high-tech DDG, why would the PLAN require an additional class of destroyer? There are a number of reasons why fielding the Type 055 alongside its smaller sibling makes perfect sense.

The Type 055 DDGs could serve in a multitude of roles. Similar to the U.S. Navy Ticonderoga Class CGs, they could offer longer range and greater Anti-submarine (ASW) and Anti-aircraft (AAW) defense for fleet task forces or aircraft carrier strike groups to be fielded by the PLAN in the near future. Type 052D and 055 destroyers could operate in conjunction with one another in a similar fashion as the Arleigh Burke DDG and Ticongeroda guided missile cruiser (CG), in providing a multilayered and robust fleet defense. With greater range and capability, they offer the PLAN the ability to increase the range and endurance of China’s naval power projection efforts, and further transform the PLAN into a true “Blue Water” navy. They will undoubtedly serve to showcase the growing military, political and economic power of China in broader diplomatic terms.

Current Construction Efforts

Two vessels have appeared in photographs and satellite imagery taken of the Jiangnan Shipyard. The hull of the first vessel in class is apparently completed. Two or three hull section modules of a second Type 055 can also clearly visible in satellite imagery of the shipyard, under construction alongside the lead-on vessel.

The above satellite image of Jiangnan shipyard dated November 11, 2016 clearly shows that the first Type 55 hull has been completed, while additional hull sections for a second Type 55 are under construction.

It turns out that a third Type 055 is under construction at the Dalian shipyard. Dalian is also currently building the CV-17 aircraft carrier, the first indigenously constructed aircraft carrier for the PLAN. Dalian has also been building the Type 052D class destroyers in conjunction with Jiangnan. Using both of the shipyards has allowed China to speed up its acquisition of these modern naval vessels.

This satellite image of Dalian shipyard captures what appears to be a third Type 055 DDG (top left) under construction. Image was taken November 20, 2016.

Capabilities

The Type 055 is being fitted with either two 64 cell modular vertical launch systems (VLS) or one 64 cell and one 48 cell VLS. One VLS is mounted forward in the bow of the destroyer, between the deck gun and the superstructure, and one VLS between the main superstructure and the aft helicopter hangar. The modular VLS will most likely be the same system currently utilized by the Type 052D, and will be able to house and fire all current missiles in the PLAN inventory, including the YJ-18 anti-ship cruise missile and HQ-9 anti-aircraft missile.

This unofficial artist’s rendition illustrates the modular nature of the PLAN VLS and its ability to be loaded with a mix of missiles. This allows the PLAN to equip its vessels with mission specific payloads. The red squares denote the approximate orientation of the two VLS on the Type 055.

The Type 055 mock-up at Wuhan gives clues as to the possible radar array planned for the vessel, as well as the electronic support measures (ESM) to be carried. It is assumed by most analysts that the Type 055 will make use of an updated Type 346A active phased array radar (APAR) as well an X-band radar. The Type 055 will most likely use 4 phased array radar panels, with two panels on the front of the superstructure and two aft. Where the Type 052 mounts four panels at the same height, both fore and aft, the Type 055 may align the panels at an offset height in an attempt to maximize radar coverage. The integrated mast on the Type 055 mock-up mounts 3 radar panels, most likely for friend-or-foe identification (IFF), fire-control and electronic countermeasures (ECM), on the forward face of the mast only, yet the actual vessels will carry these same panels on all four sides of the mast. The mock-up also sports an exposed ESM mast at the top of the integrated mast, but it is unclear whether the ESM mast will remain exposed or not on the actual vessel.

A comparison of the integrated mast structures of the Type 055 mock-up and the active Type 052D Kunming. Note the location of the forward two active phased array radar panels on the Kunming. The large sloped superstructure facing, just under the starboard side bridge deck portals on the Type 55, will be fitted with a similar APAR panel.

 

The above illustrations clearly show the similarities and differences in the Type 052D (top) and Type 055 (bottom) guided missile destroyers.

Commonality and Functionality

Sharing common weapons, radars, electronic warfare systems, and sonar and communications systems across both platforms will allow the PLAN to achieve a great deal of cost savings. Common battle management systems and networking platforms will allow the vessels to easily coordinate both offensive efforts and defensive measures when working together as components of a larger fleet. It will also lower training costs, as sailors and officers will be able to more easily transition to deployments on either class of vessel. It is estimated that the propulsion systems of the newer vessel are similar to the smaller Type 052D. The PLAN aims to leverage all of the benefits of standardization.

The United States Navy has embarked upon a very different path, and is already paying a heavy price for deciding to not only field a number of totally new vessel designs, but at the same time abandoning proven technologies for unproven ones. The Freedom and Independence LCS programs, the first in class Gerald FordCVN, and the DDG-1000 Zumwalt destroyer project are all glaring examples.

Both class of LCS have experienced major engineering casualties since they were commissioned. Initial investigations have pointed to a combination of faulty engineering systems and inadequate engineering management processes. A major goal of the LCS program was to reduce vessel crews by automating as many processes as possible, and to gain flexibility through a modular design that allowed the platforms to be made mission specific by swapping warfare modules. For example, an LCS could be fitted with an ASW module to focus on anti-submarine duties one year, and then have the module removed and replaced with an AAW module the next, so that it could be shifted to air-defense duties as requirements changed. The benefits of this modularity have largely not been realized to date. For example, the LCS has failed to meet its intended ASW capabilities, even though the first vessels were commissioned in 2008 (Freedom LCS-1) and 2010 (Independence LCS-2).

The DDG-1000 Zumwalt was originally planned as the first of 32 vessels; however, the U.S. Navy later settled for only 3 vessels, as cost overruns and the failure of the design to meet mission requirements became evident. What resulted from the ambitious program are a $4 billion USD cost per vessel, advanced deck guns that are too expensive to use as intended (with an estimated cost per round of $800,000 USD), and an Advanced Induction Motor (AIM) propulsion system that left the Zumwalt dead in the water on its maiden trip through the Panama Canal on November 22, 2016. The DDG-1000 class are not Aegis vessels, have limited AAW capabilities due to their smaller missile payload, and lack any Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) capability. They cannot integrate and coordinate AAW or BMD defense like all other Aegis class vessels. This is a major weakness, compared to all other Arleigh Burke and Ticonderoga class surface combatants, that can work together seamlessly using shared Aegis-based systems.

The most expensive naval vessel ever constructed, the Gerald R. Ford CVN-78, has already cost U.S. tax payers a cool $13 billion USD, yet the Navy Sea Systems Command (NAVSEA) has no idea when it will be able to officially take delivery of the vessel. Major defects in the main turbine generators (MITs), and an Advanced Arresting Gear (AAG) that has yet to be deemed operational, have only added costs to a program that has already experienced cost overruns approaching $3 billion USD. The adoption of multiple unproven technologies in the key areas of propulsion, and aircraft launch and recovery systems, was a foreseeable mistake.

Chinese Aircraft Carrier Strike Group Takes Shape

While the Type 055 DDG will undoubtedly add a key component to future PLAN aircraft carrier strike groups (CSG), replenishment and support vessels that have the speed and range to match the warships of a CSG are an additional requirement. Although not earning the spotlight afforded aircraft carriers or large destroyers, the Type 901 fleet replenishment oiler (although classified by the PLAN as a “general supply vessel”) is a noteworthy addition to China’s growing blue water navy. The first Type 901 began sea trials in December of 2016. Measuring in at 240 meters LOA, and displacing 48,000 tons, the Type 901 has five liquid bulk cargo tanks for fuel and potable water and two dry cargo holds. A maximum cruising speed of 25 knots has been reported. It is equipped with hangar space for three heavy helicopters, as well as a sizeable flight deck. The Type 901 is reported to utilize an automated logistics management system that tracks and optimizes fuel consumption and logistics replenishment needs of fleet vessels. A second Type 901 is currently under construction at the Guangzhou naval shipyard.

Type 901 undergoing sea trials in December, 2016. An additional vessel is currently under construction at the Guangzhou Shipyard International (GSI) naval shipyard.

The PLAN commissioned three new Type 903A fleet oilers in 2016 alone (numbers 887, 963, 964), and is showing a dedicated interest to expand its fleet refueling capabilities. Replacement of older vessels with new, more capable designs, and expanding the total number of oilers and replenishment vessels will expand China’s power projection capabilities. The Type 903A has an LOA of 178 meters and displacement of 23,400 tons. In addition to the Type 903A, two Type 904B dry cargo/general stores vessels were commissioned in 2015, with a third such vessel currently being fitted out. These vessels are ideally suited for supporting off-shore island garrisons, such as those being stationed on Chinese held islands in the South China Sea. All of the PLANs Type 904, Type 904A and Type 904B dry cargo replenishment vessels are attached to the South Sea Fleet based at Hainan Island. The Type 904 was increased in size with the Type 904A and the addition of a heavy helicopter hangar was added in the design of the Type 904B.

Type 903 fleet replenishment oiler (bottom) and Type 904 dry cargo/general stores support vessels.

2017: A Big Year for the PLAN

Although the CV-17 aircraft carrier will not be commissioned until 2018 or 2019, this year is shaping up to be a big year for the PLAN, considering the expansion of the navy in both quantitative and qualitative terms. In addition to the commissioning on three more Type 052D destroyers, three additional Type 054A frigates, two newly commissioned Type 056 corvettes, one Type 904B and one Type 901 large replenishment ship, the first of China’s largest and most capable surface warships, the first Type 055 will be launched. Although the Type 055 will not be a game changer, in that it does not afford China a distinct advantage over near-peer adversaries, it does level the playing field in China’s favor in any prospective conflict. In terms of regional adversaries, it gives China a powerful advantage over the small navies at its doorstep. Only Japan’s JMSDF and the United States Navy in the Pacific region will maintain an edge over an increasingly capable and assertive PLAN. As time goes on, this advantage in naval power will continue to diminish.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on New Arms Race: China Develops its Naval Power, Launches Type 055 Destroyer. Analysis

The current “librul” outrage about Trump’s announced policies is somewhat amusing. Yes, these policies are bad, very bad. Trump is bad. But so was Obama and so is Clinton. Protesting the policies of one while not protesting when the other implemented the same policies is insincere grandstanding.

Wherever you look, those Trump policies are building directly on, or simply repeat Obama policies. The now theatrically outraged people swallowed those without a word of protest.

A Trump order yesterday introduced a temporary ban on visa holders and visa issuing to citizens of seven Middle East countries. These countries are: Iraq, Syria, Iran, Libya, Somalia, Sudan and Yemen. Those countries have one thing in common. No terrorist who killed on U.S. soil originated from them. The (few) terrorists who attacked within the U.S. came from the Middle Eastern countries not on the list. Following Trump’s order, outcries on social media and in various papers ensued. People went to airports to protest. TV was there to spread the news.

But it is nothing new that the citizens of those countries are targeted with U.S. visa restrictions. It was Obama who introduced such in 2015 and 2016. The Trump order links directly to them. It does not name any country but refers to them as “countries designated in Division O, Title II, Section 203 of the 2016 consolidated appropriations act.”

U.S animosities against these countries is even older. According to the former general Clark, plans were made to wage war against six of the now named seven countries back in 2001. Yemen was later added while Lebanon was (temporarily?) taken off the list. The administrations change, the selected “enemies” stay the same.

In 2011 Obama stopped processing Iraqi visa requests for six month. That move was quite similar to Trump’s current one. Where was the outcry in 2001? In 2011, 2015 and 2016? Is it only bad when Trump restricts visits for certain people from certain countries?

Sure, Trump introduces his “outrageous” measures loud and abruptly where Obama sneaked them in. But that is just different marketing, not a different product.

It is the coin that is bad, not just one side of it.

This morning CNN headlines: White House discussing asking foreign visitors for social media info and cell phone contacts. HOW OUTRAGEOUS! How can Trump even think of such an invasion of privacy! Fake outrage – Obama had already signed off on this. The plans to collect social media accounts of traveling visitors and citizens were officially introduced in October 2016 and the implementation started in December 2016. The Trump White House is late in discussing the issue.

Yesterday Trump also issued a memorandum to structure his National Security Council. It says that the Director of National Intelligence and the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Staff “shall attend” when it is pertinent to the issue in question. “Librul” outrage ensues. Trump excludes the DNI and CJCOS from the NSC! Obama’s first Defense Secretary calls it a “huge mistake”! But a comparison of the text Trump issued with the text Obama issued when he came into office shows them to be mostly similar. Nothing really relevant has changed. The “shall attend” clause is exactly the same.

Yesterday people were protesting at airports against Trump’s temporary immigration restrictions. Lots of outrage against Trump ensued on social media over this and the other issues. The hypocrisy here stinks to high heaven. Where were the protest when Obama did similar?

Where are the protests demanding the repeal of the Patriot Act? Where are the anti-war protests? These died as soon as Obama came into office. They never came back even as Obama pursued polices that were, at best, Republican light and far from any progressive ideal. Only fake liberals, aka “libruls”, could agree with these. When Dick Cheney is your witness against Trump you have lost the plot.

Many of the people coming out now against Trump would likely have jubilated had Hilliary Clinton won the election and introduced the exactly same policies. Protest against the system that is incorporated in Trump, just as it is incorporated in Clinton, does not come to their mind. Do they expect to be taken serious?

There was no outrage today from any of the U.S. “libruls” and their media outlets about last nights failed U.S. military raid in Yemen. The rural home of a tribal leader’s family, friendly with some Yemeni al-Qaeda members, was raided by a special operations commando. A U.S. tiltrotor military aircraft was shot down during the raid. One soldier was killed and several were wounded. The U.S. commandos responded with their usual panic. They killed anyone in sight and bombed the shit out of any nearby structure. According to Yemeni sources between 30 and 57 Yemenis were killed including eight women and eight children (graphic pics). The U.S. military claimed, as it always does, that no civilians were hurt in the raid.

One of the killed kids was the 8 year old daughter of al-Qaeda propagandist Anwar al-Awlaki. (The targeted family is related to al-Awlaki’s wife.) The girl was a U.S. citizen. Under Obama the CIA had already assassinated her father and her 16 year old brother. With Obama’s active help the Gulf countries have been bombing and destroying Ýemen for nearly two years. No U.S. demonstrations were held against this war.

Yemeni sources say that at least two men were abducted by the U.S. military. The Central Command press release only said that the raid had helped to acquire “intelligence” about possible future terror acts. That probably means that the prisoners will be tortured to unveil such “intelligence” even as they may not have any. The Obama administration had introduced new rules for the military on how to handle detainees. The UN judged that the application of some of these rules is torture. The “libruls” will of course be outraged should any of those rules, which Obama introduced, be used under a Trump administration.

The hypocritical outrage against Trump for things Obama already did is exactly what Trump wants and needs. He keeps chasing the media and the Clintonistas around the block. The impression he leaves, not only with his followers, is that of a man who works a lot. 25 outrages out of 25 headlines in just one week? “Impressive! That is way more than Obama achieved!”

Trump already filed for reelection. Who really wants to beat him will have to attack him on fundamental issues. That is a problem for the “libruls”. Obama and Clinton stand for the same terrible policies Trump is pushing for. They are not as loud as Trump and paint their aims in softer colors. But the difference is only one of degree.

The U.S., like many other “western” countries, needs fundamentally different policies and politicians to become a more just and social society. The current “librul” outcries take energy away from achieving such.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Replicating Obama: Outrage About Trump Exposes “Librul” Hypocrisy

The U.K. Brexit Debate: Down the Rabbit Hole with Parliament

February 2nd, 2017 by Dr. Binoy Kampmark

What role Parliament? Edmund Burke put forth his known idea before the electors of Bristol on November 3, 1774. An ideal, and therefore refutable notion, was advanced: “Certainly, gentlemen, it ought to be the happiness and glory of a representative to live in the strictest union, the closest correspondence, and the most unreserved communication with his constituents.”[1]

The role of a parliamentarian is not to serve as slave but to serve with opinion and awareness. “Your representative owes you, not his industry only, but his judgment; and he betrays, instead of serving you, if he sacrifices it to your opinion.” The latter is a capitulation to sentiment, grief and emotion: intemperate, wild, impulsive, the views of an electorate can still be given form, and should, but not without criticism.

The debate on whether the UK Parliament would give the green light invoking Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty was last gasp for those wishing to remain in the European Union, the so-called remoaners who were battling conscience, self-interest and understanding the fractious will of the electorate. Politicians wishing that their constituents had done something else; various papers such as The Guardian wishing, even at this point, to reverse what was perceived as madness.

It did not take much to see Parliament being fetishised, the sacred cow, the bulwark against an evil European bureaucracy that had been raining down paper driven dictates for decades. The picture is an incomplete one, but for conservative MP Jacob Mogg-Rees for North East Somerset, the vote had a messiah like quality to it: June 23 had been the moment when revelation met reality, the voice of the people coming together with the sanctity of Parliament.

Parliament, claimed Bill Cash, conservative member for Stone and one of the fathers (or godfathers) of the Brexit movement, was effectively giving effect to a “peaceful revolution”. He saw history in the making. Whether it was the Corn Laws; whether it was the matter of appeasement prior to the Second World War; whether it was the issue of institutional reform, it was the grand madam of Parliament who was giving effect to the people’s voice.

On that side of the aisle, only Ken Clarke, whose history in parliament, by his own admission, was the history of British involvement in European institutions, remained resolutely opposed to triggering Article 50. Listening to his speech was much like receiving a dash of spice to the historical record, part irony and part whimsy.

He found it amusing that he had been termed “an enemy of the people” by attempting to convince voters and fellow parliamentarians that leaving the EU would be a mistake. Clarke’s point was that the hard core eurosceptics would not have felt bound in the slightest to abandon their position even if the referendum had gone against them. Remember Burke’s address to the electors of Bristol, he urged.

Ever the political animal, the veteran was suggesting that parliament is of its own accord a wiser, higher being, a tutor of the people, rather than an empty vessel vibrating with their emotions. He mused that a previous Tory politician, Enoch Powell, known for the anti-immigrant “Rivers of Blood” speech, would “probably find it amazing to believe that his party had become eurosceptic and rather mildly anti-immigrant in a very strange way in 2016. I’m afraid on that I haven’t followed them. And I don’t intend to do so.”

His attack on the Prime Minister was the richest of all, a true display of the Europhile in action. His comments were those of the hectoring didactic, giving a history lesson about why Britain, Europe’s sickly member after Suez in 1956, had decided to dive deep into Europe. What May was hoping to do was defy history, and see Britain as a beast of singular value, inimitable and to be treated as such:

“Apparently you follow the rabbit down the hole and emerge in a Wonderland where suddenly countries throughout the world are queuing up to give us trading advantages and access to their markets that previously we’ve never been able to achieve. Nice men like President Trump and President Erdogan are just impatient to abandon their normal protectionism and give us access… No doubt somewhere there’s a hatter holding a tea party with a dormouse.”

Ed Vaizey, formerly a minister in the conservative Cameron government, expressed his message with less rueful reflection, venting and railing against his own party (much in the way of parental and fraternal angst), scolding the May government for sneaking an announcement that Britain would withdraw from the European nuclear research agency Euratom. As with Clarke, broad brush questions about his patriotism were absurd. Everyone in the chamber was a patriot, wishing to see Britannia on the right path.

David Lammy, MP for Tottenham and another termed remoaner, took the critique in another way: this was a chance for the Tories to envisage a departing Britain as a glorious tax haven, much like Singapore. “But the poorest will be the ones to suffer and many of them are in my constituency.”[2]

Many of the members who voted against the Article 50 bill did so along constituency lines. Where the referendum vote was overwhelmingly in favour of remaining, the member complied with those wishes. They pointed out that not all had spoken with focused indignation in June; and not all had actually directed their venom at the EU per se. A mere 27 percent had voted to leave. Thirteen million did not vote. Only two of the nations making up the UK wished for an exit.

British Labour, another party in a deep psychic crisis over Europe, was visibly fracturing before attempts by leader Jeremy Corbyn to keep on the Brexit message. A three line whip had been gathered to ensure compliance, but former culture secretary Ben Bradshaw, along with others, promised an angry defiance.

A gaggle of party members, even at this point in time, were circulating ideas for a second referendum. The Liberal Democrats were also hoping to change the tide. But the resistance seemed to die in the chamber. Clarke was the only Tory to defy his party; Corbyn faced a more challenging number of 47 who voted against the line.

A funeral, a revolution of peace, an act of implosion, but most certainly, and above all, an act of assertive sovereignty. Parliament, in Burke’s words, as “a deliberative assembly of one nation, with one interest, that of the whole”.

But what was being witnessed on the last day of January, and first day of February was not one nation but several. Whether this does spell folly for the UK, doom the EU, or signal a revolution beyond borders that breeds order from chaos remains the stuff of dreams or nightmares. With a historian’s goggles we watch to see how this movement evolves, with its steps into a new world darkly.

Dr. Binoy Kampmark was a Commonwealth Scholar at Selwyn College, Cambridge. He lectures at RMIT University, Melbourne. Email: [email protected]

Notes

[1] http://press-pubs.uchicago.edu/founders/documents/v1ch13s7.html

[2] https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/jan/31/article-50-debate-brexit-government-lying-about-how-easy-brexit-will-be-says-owen-smith-politics-live

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on The U.K. Brexit Debate: Down the Rabbit Hole with Parliament

Israeli Police Lied to Me Over Umm al-Hiran Deaths

February 2nd, 2017 by Jonathan Cook

Speaking to me for my report last month on the killing by police of Yacoub Abu al-Qiyan during the demolition of his home in Umm al-Hiran, in the Negev, police spokesman Micky Rosenfeld made three allegations against Abu al-Qiyan that he said proved he was a terrorist. All of them have now been shown to be entirely unfounded.

A fourth claim, made against Ayman Odeh, head of the Joint List and the most senior politician among Israel’s 1.7 million Palestinian citizens, has also proved to be untrue.

The Israeli police appear to have been caught out as serial liars. Rosenfeld himself may have not known that he was peddling lies. He may have been simply reading from a script. But others surely knew. Not only did they wilfully mislead journalists, but they dangerously incited against Israel’s large Palestinian minority.

(This would be far from the first time. Only recently, the police, as well as prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, accused Palestinian citizens of waging an “arson intifada” against Israel in November, when hundreds of fires broke out due to exceptional weather conditions. All of the dozens of Palestinians arrested over the fires were subsequently released, but no apology or retraction has been issued.)

First, Rosenfeld told me Abu al-Qiyan had carried out a deliberate “car-ramming terror attack” on police, which killed one officer. But a police aerial video of the incident shows that police opened fire on the car while Abu al-Qiyan was driving slowly and cautiously to leave his home before the demolition crew began work.

Further, leaks of an autopsy report show that Abu al-Qiyan was shot twice, in the torso and the knee, strongly suggesting that he lost control of the car as he tried to navigate carefully down a steep dirt track. If anyone is responsible for the death of the police officer, Erez Levy, it is his colleagues who opened fire without provocation.

Of equal concern should be the fact that Abu al-Qiyan was left for up to half an hour to bleed to death, while police denied an ambulance access to his village.

Second, Rosenfeld told me that Abu al-Qiyan’s terrorist intent was discernible because, even though the incident occurred before dawn, he had turned off his headlights to avoid detection. But a new video shows his car lights were on, just as one would have expected.

Third, Rosenfeld told me police had definitive proof that Abu al-Qiyan was a supporter of ISIS, and that the evidence would soon be divulged. But two weeks later Israel’s domestic intelligence service, the Shin Bet, have provided no evidence of such a link. All his family deny that he supported ISIS, or even that he held strong political views.

And fourth, Rosenfeld denied Knesset member Ayman Odeh’s claim that police fired a potentially lethal sponge-tipped bullet at his head. Rosenfeld said instead that the Knesset member’s injuries had been caused by stones thrown by the inhabitants of Umm al-Hiran opposing the dozen or so demolitions police were carrying out. Another police spokesperson told the Israeli Maariv newspaper that the police did not even have sponge-tipped bullets in their armoury.

There were multiple problems with that account. Witnesses say there was no stone-throwing at the time Odeh was injured. And the Knesset member is photographed (above) holding the bullet in Umm al-Hiran, after he was shot. There is also a picture (below) of a huge bruise across his back, where he was shot a second time. It is hard to imagine how that injury was caused apart from by an impact with some form of rubber bullet.

And, whatever the police claim, there are well-documented instances of Israeli police using sponge-tipped bullets before, especially in East Jerusalem, but also in the Negev. The shocking thing in this case is that they used these bullets against a Palestinian Knesset member.

Interestingly, when challenged by another journalist, Mairav Zonszein, Rosenfeld denied that he had said Odeh was hit by stones, only that: “During the incident stones were thrown.” Well, my notes from our conversation show him clearly stating that Odeh’s head injury was caused by a stone.

It is past time for the police and the government ministers who for two weeks have incited against Abu al-Qiyan, against the inhabitants of Umm al-Hiran and more generally against Israel’s Palestinian citizens to issue an apology for their serial lies and distortions.

It is also essential that the government set up an independent, judicial-led inquiry to assess what really happened in Umm al-Hiran on the morning of January 18.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Israeli Police Lied to Me Over Umm al-Hiran Deaths

President Donald Trump threatened to send U.S. troops to Mexico to stop “bad hombres,” according to multiple news reports Wednesday.

“You have a bunch of bad hombres down there,” Trump told Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto, according to an excerpt of a Friday phone conversation transcript seen by the Associated Press.

“You aren’t doing enough to stop them. I think your military is scared. Our military isn’t, so I just might send them down to take care of it.”

The AP’s transcript did not specify who Trump was referring to as “bad hombres,” but Mexican news website Aristegui Noticias reported that Trump was referring to drug traffickers.

“It was a very offensive conversation where Trump humiliated Peña Nieto,” reporter Dolia Estevez, who claimed to have heard the call, told Aristegui Noticias.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Going After “Bad Hombres”: Trump Threatens to Send U.S. Troops to Mexico

Syrian government forces are preparing to launch a military operation in another pocket near the capital of Damascus – the Beit Jinn pocket, according to pro-government sources. The operation is allegedly set to be launched in February.

On January 31, 30 ISIS terrorists were killed in a failed counter-attack against the Syrian army near the Kuweires Airbase in the eastern Aleppo countryside, according to pro-militant sources. On February 1, the Syrian army’s Tiger Forces and the National Defense Forces (NDF) continued advances in the direction of al-Bab.

On January 31, aircraft allegedly belonging to the US-led coalition carried out an airstrike over the militant-held city of Idlib. The airstrike hit the Carlton Hotel which was reportedly used by Jahbat Fateh al-Sham (formerly Jabhat al-Nusra, the Syrian branch of al-Qaeda) as headquarters and barracks for fighters.

The so-called “Syrian Democratic Forces”, in other words the Kurdish YPG, have received IAG Guardian armored personnel carriers and a batch of weapons from the US-led coalition. It is the first time when the YPG receives armoured vehicles from the coalition. Anti-tank guided missiles, sniper rifles, assault rifles, heavy machine guns and mortars have been also supplied.

If you’re able, and if you like our content and approach, please support the project. Our work wouldn’t be possible without your help: PayPal: [email protected] or via: http://southfront.org/donate/ or via: https://www.patreon.com/southfront

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Syrian War Report: Government Announces Military Operation against ISIS Terrorist Pocket near Damascus

A Terrorist Attack on Muslims in Quebec

February 2nd, 2017 by Alain Savard

On Sunday night, a young, white, French-speaking, Quebec-born man opened fire inside of a Quebec City mosque, killing six Muslim worshipers – Azzeddine Soufiane, Abdelkrim (Karim) Hassane, Khaled Belkacemi, Aboubaker Thabti, Mamadou Tanou Barry and Ibrahima Barry – and injuring 25. The six victims were first-generation immigrants who had lived in Quebec for years, some for decades. The shooter, Alexandre Bissonnette, had expressed anti-immigrant positions online and was a fan of Donald Trump in the U.S. and France’s far-right National Front leader Marine Le Pen.

La diversite est notre force

This leaves little room for doubt: The shooter acted upon political beliefs, in order to instill fear among Muslims and immigrants. This is a textbook case of right-wing terrorism. Yet the media coverage of the mass shooting and the official reaction of many politicians took many detours to avoid stating the obvious.

After the attack, the first wave of right-wing opportunism spread like wildfire when a false report began circulating that the attack was carried out by multiple Syrian Muslim refugees who had recently arrived in Canada. On social media, the right portrayed Syrians and Muslims as dangerous terrorists. Adrien Pouliot, leader of Quebec’s Conservative Party, happily took the bait, stating that the shooting proved that “Quebec was not sheltered from Islamic extremism.”

Many tried to come up with a tortuous explanation for why gunmen motivated by “Islamic extremism” might commit a massacre at a mosque, attempting to frame it as violence among Muslims spreading in our peaceful province.

When police released the name of two suspects they had arrested, it was clear that the initial report about Muslim shooters was wrong, but the damage was done. It revealed how Islamophobic opportunists were quick to use the event for their own ends.

Islamophobia from the Media and Politicians

Even as it became clear who carried out the attack, Islamophobic bigotry nevertheless continued, with the two suspects – Bissonnette and Mohamed Belkhadir – receiving very different treatment in the press. Belkhadir had actually been helping his wounded friends when police arrived on the scene. Seeing a person entering the mosque with a gun, Belkhadir feared that the shooter had returned, so he fled. This was enough for Quebec police to consider him as a suspect. It took the officers more than 16 hours to admit they were wrong. In the meantime, the media released his name and pointed to his Moroccan origin – as if this information could explain, by itself, his motivations.

On the other side, Bissonnette’s participation in the attack seemed to puzzle journalists and commentators. He was quickly depicted as a tormented and lonely boy, and a victim of intimidation at school. Though any investigation of his Facebook page quickly revealed his affinity with the extreme right, the media preferred to use interviews from neighbors claiming that he “looked normal,” and commentators began explaining his actions as driven by folly or mental illness.

It took a while before the terrorist dimension of the shooting was recognized. Pierre Bruno, news anchor for TVA, the most-watched TV channel in Quebec, labeled the act “inverted terrorism.” Obviously, for Bruno, violent acts committed by Muslims against Westerners count as terrorism, but not the other way around.

When the words terrorist attack were used by mainstream media to describe Bissonnette’s shooting, it was between quotation marks, as if there was still doubt about it.

The next day, politicians across the entire political spectrum tried to capitalize on the event. While the right wing expressed its grief and condolences to the families of the victims, leaders of the two provincial political parties at the forefront of nationalist discourse quickly defended their policies, arguing that there was no problem with Islamophobia in Quebec, and that the various xenophobic campaigns they have carried out had absolutely no relationship to the shooting.

Answering Hate with Solidarity

By contrast, the popular response to the shooting was nothing short of amazing. It took less than an hour for the group Québec Inclusif (a left-wing feminist and anti-racist organization run by a diversity of women, many of them Muslim) to call for a rally in Montreal in solidarity with the Muslim community. Within a few hours, tens of other similar rallies were planned across the province, with thousands of Quebecers saying they planned on attending.

This network of solidarity began to bombard social media with criticism of the actions of the media and politicians. The media establishment was quickly besieged by objections to its covert Islamophobia, the racist treatment of Mohamed Belkhadir compared to that of Bissonnette, and the euphemisms used to describe the attack. It was only then that corrections were made – if they were made at all.

On the evening of January 30, less then 18 hours after the vigils were planed, some 15,000 participants gathered in Montreal and another 6,000 in Quebec City.

The Montreal event, planned by Inclusive Quebec, was an exemplary demonstration of solidarity. Muslim speakers took to the microphone, while thousands of Montrealers expressed their support. No politicians were allowed to the take stage, and the speeches decried the opportunists. As one person commented, “We do not want the solidarity of Islamophobic pyromaniacs: We want their apology.”

Protest organizers didn’t just organize a moment to collectively mourn a tragic event. They made it clear, through their speeches, that an act of “hate does not fall from the sky. It takes root in the social and political environment that nurtures it,” and that a message of unity alone was not enough. Real, tangible solidarity – a common front against racist politicians and the media – is needed.

The rallies are a beginning for the creation of this solidarity. Among the crowd, a large red banner echoed the sentiment: “Make racists afraid again.”

Alain Savard writes for Socialist Worker where this article first appeared.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on A Terrorist Attack on Muslims in Quebec

Following the surrendering of Wadi Barada, militant groups will leave the town of Sirghaya and the areas east of Zabadani. The move is reported to be a part of the wide reconciliation agreement made during the operation in Wadi Barada. If done, government forces will secure a large chunk of the Syrian-Lebanon border.

The Syrian army’s Tiger Forces and the National Defense Forces (NDF) took control over the village of Rasm Sihran north of the Kuweires Airbase in the eastern countryside of Aleppo and repelled an ISIS counter-attack attempt on the village of Madyounah in the same area. Over 20 ISIS members were reportedly killed in the clashes. The Syrian military didn’t provide info about its casualties. A fighting was also ongoing in the village of Touman, which remained contested.

The army and the NDF also launched an advance south of Kuweires and even liberated the first village in this direction – Qutbiyah.

Meanwhile, the Turkish Armed Forces and pro-Turkish militant groups seized al-Kroum and nearby hills from ISIS east of al-Bab.

The Syrian army and the National Defense Forces (NDF) have repcatured Abu Tawwalah and the nearby housing area from ISIS terrorists southeast of the Tiyas Airbase near the ancient city of Palmyra.

On January 30, six Russian Tu-22M3 long-range bombers carried out airstrikes on ISIS terrorists’ targets in the Deir Ezzor province, destroying two command centers, weapons and ammunition depots and militant manpower.

Moscow may support the Trump administration’s initiative to set ‘safe zones’ for refugees in Syria, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov announced on Monday. He added that the plan will require approval from the Syrian government and close cooperation with the United Nations. The announcement followed the call between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his US counterpart. Last week, President Trump ordered the Pentagon and State Department to develop a plan of creating a series of “safe zones” for refugees fleeing violence in Syria.

If you’re able, and if you like our content and approach, please support the project. Our work wouldn’t be possible without your help: PayPal: [email protected] or via: http://southfront.org/donate/ or via: https://www.patreon.com/southfront

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Syrian Government Forces Launch A New Push against ISIS-Daesh. Analysis

Finland’s education system is considered one of the best in the world. In international ratings, it’s always in the top ten. However, the authorities there aren’t ready to rest on their laurels, and they’ve decided to carry through a real revolution in their school system.

Finnish officials want to remove school subjects from the curriculum. There will no longer be any classes in physics, math, literature, history, or geography.

The head of the Department of Education in Helsinki, Marjo Kyllonen, explained the changes:

“There are schools that are teaching in the old-fashioned way which was of benefit in the beginning of the 1900s — but the needs are not the same, and we need something fit for the 21st century.“

Instead of individual subjects, students will study events and phenomena in an interdisciplinary format. For example, the Second World War will be examined from the perspective of history, geography, and math. And by taking the course ”Working in a Cafe,” students will absorb a whole body of knowledge about the English language, economics, and communication skills.

This system will be introduced for senior students, beginning at the age of 16. The general idea is that the students ought to choose for themselves which topic or phenomenon they want to study, bearing in mind their ambitions for the future and their capabilities. In this way, no student will have to pass through an entire course on physics or chemistry while all the time thinking to themselves “What do I need to know this for?”

The traditional format of teacher-pupil communication is also going to change. Students will no longer sit behind school desks and wait anxiously to be called upon to answer a question. Instead, they will work together in small groups to discuss problems.

The Finnish education system encourages collective work, which is why the changes will also affect teachers. The school reform will require a great deal of cooperation between teachers of different subjects. Around 70% of teachers in Helsinki have already undertaken preparatory work in line with the new system for presenting information, and, as a result, they’ll get a pay increase.

The changes are expected to be complete by 2020.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Finland Will Become the First Country in the World to Get Rid of All School Subjects

Renewed fighting in eastern Ukraine has killed and wounded dozens on both sides as the Ukrainian armed forces and allied militias have clashed with pro-Russian separatist forces in Donetsk province.

The fighting, while not as bloody as the battles that raged in 2014 and the winter of 2015, has seen heavy artillery and multiple Grad rocket launchers unleashed against civilian areas. The shelling has left Avdiivka, an industrial town of 20,000 which straddles the demarcation line between government and separatist-controlled territory, without water, electricity or heat in sub-freezing conditions.

“Not only are the lives of thousands of children in Avdiivka, and on all sides of the conflict, at risk, but to make matters worse the lack of water and electricity means that homes are becoming dangerously cold and health conditions deteriorating as we speak,” Giovanna Barberis, Unicef’s representative in Ukraine, said Tuesday.

The European Union, NATO, the US State Department and the United Nations have all issued calls for a renewal of the cease-fire imposed under the terms of the Minsk accords negotiated in February 2015. Washington and its European allies have repeatedly invoked alleged violations of the accords by the pro-Russian separatists as the pretext for maintaining sanctions against Moscow. Violations by Ukrainian government forces entail no such repercussions.

Nearly 10,000 people have been killed in the fighting since rebels in the Donbass region sought independence from the Ukrainian government following the 2014 US and German-backed coup that brought to power an extreme right-wing and virulently anti-Russian regime in Kiev. Washington and its allies accused Russia of instigating and militarily supporting the uprising in the east.

The situation in eastern Ukraine combined with Russia’s reincorporation of Crimea in the wake of the coup were invoked as the justification for sanctions by both the US and the EU.

Kiev and the separatists in Donetsk have each blamed the other for the latest outburst of violence.

“The current escalation in Donbass is a clear indication of Russia’s continued blatant disregard of its commitments under the Minsk agreements with a view to preventing stabilization of the situation,” the Ukrainian foreign ministry said in a statement.

For its part, Moscow pointed to an earlier statement issued by the Ukrainian defense ministry boasting that “the Ukrainian armed forces are advancing forward meter by meter” in the area around Avdiivka as proof that Kiev had launched the offensive.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said the fighting was the result of a deliberate “provocation” by the government of President Petro Poroshenko designed to distract public attention from Ukraine’s protracted economic and political crisis.

The German daily Süddeutsche Zeitung suggested that the real motive for this provocation lay in Kiev’s determination to disrupt any rapprochement between Washington and Moscow under the new US administration of Republican president Donald Trump and to prevent any easing of sanctions against Russia.

“The Ukrainian military is currently trying to shift the situation at the front line to their favor. Apparently, they accept the fact that tensions are increasing … Behind this position, according to some members of the German administration, could be an attempt to worsen the situation to the extent that US President Donald Trump’s plans to ease the sanctions are suspended,” the newspaper reported. “According to Berlin’s interpretation, Poroshenko is ready to do anything to prevent the withdrawal of the sanctions.”

Stratfor, the private US intelligence company which maintains close ties to the Pentagon and CIA, also suggested such a motive in its analysis of the renewed fighting: “Though Ukrainian officials accused Russia of orchestrating the flare-up to strengthen its negotiating position with the West, Kiev could have incited the violence to draw attention to the conflict and rally international support for continued sanctions on Moscow.”

As part of his government’s attempt to shore up support for sanctions and to offset any possibility of a move by the Trump administration toward a less confrontational posture toward Russia, Poroshenko traveled to Berlin on January 30 for a meeting with Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel. During his visit, Merkel reiterated her government’s support for keeping sanctions in place. Poroshenko staged a hasty exit from Berlin, claiming that he had to return to deal with the crisis in the Donbass.

The State Department’s response to the fighting in eastern Ukraine was notable for merely declaring that Washington was “deeply concerned” and “calling for a cease-fire” without placing the blame on Russia.

Rossiiskaya Gazeta, a Russian government daily, called attention to the statement as an indication of a shift in US policy: “Washington is not blaming the unrecognized republics for breaking the ceasefire, is not stating any support for Kiev, is not saying a single word about the role of Russia … Different variations of these elements were, as a rule, a key part of all statements of Ukraine under Barack Obama’s administration.”

On the other hand, US officials on the scene showed no such change in line, reflecting the increasingly open split between the Trump administration and the career employees of the State Department. “Russia and the separatists initiated the violence in Avdiivka,” US chargé d’affaires to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) Kate Byrnes charged at an emergency OSCE meeting in Vienna Tuesday. “We call on Russia to stop the violence, honor the ceasefire, withdraw heavy weapons and end attempts to seize new territory beyond the line of contact.”

The day before his first post-inaugural telephone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin last week, Trump declared, “As far as the sanctions, very early to be talking about that.” During the conversation itself, sanctions reportedly went unmentioned and there was no substantive discussion about Ukraine.

Meanwhile, both the US and the German military continue to build up forces near Russia’s western borders.

On Monday, US troops and tanks assembled for exercises in Poland that their commander acknowledged were meant to threaten Russia.

The deployment had been made necessary by “the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the unlawful annexation of Crimea,” Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges, the commander of US ground forces in Europe, told the Washington Post. “The last American tank left Europe three years ago because we all hoped Russia was going to be our partner. And so we had to bring all this back.”

Meanwhile German tanks and troops began arriving in Lithuania on Tuesday, the first entry of the German military into the former Baltic Soviet republic since its occupation by the Nazis during the Second World War. The German deployment is to include 450 troops and some 200 vehicles, including 30 tanks.

In all, the NATO alliance has committed to moving four battalions, roughly 3,000 to 4,000 troops, to within striking distance of Russia in northeastern Europe as part of a permanent “rotating” deployment.

Whatever the statements of the Trump administration about improving relations with Moscow, the fighting in Ukraine combined with NATO’s aggressive military deployment on Russia’s borders are sharply elevating the threat of an armed confrontation between the world’s two largest nuclear powers.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Fighting Flares in Eastern Ukraine Amid Continued US-NATO Buildup Against Russia

The Washington establishment’s hysteria over its favorite new “group think”:

-That Russian President Vladimir Putin put Donald Trump in the White House could set the stage for the Democratic Party rebranding itself as America’s “war party” alongside the neoconservative wing of the Republican Party.

Russian President Vladimir Putin addresses a crowd on May 9, 2014, celebrating the 69th anniversary of victory over Nazi Germany and the 70th anniversary of the liberation of the Crimean port city of Sevastopol from the Nazis. (Russian government photo)

*

This political realignment – with the Democrats becoming the party of foreign interventionism and the Trump-led Republicans a more inwardly looking America First party – could be significant for the future. However, in another way, what we’re seeing is not new.

It is a replay of other “group thinks” in which some foreign leader is demonized beyond all reason allowing any accusation to be lodged against him with virtually no pushback from anyone interested in maintaining a U.S. mainstream career.

We saw this pattern, for instance, in the run-up to the Iraq War when Saddam Hussein was demonized to such a degree that any accusation against him was accepted without question, such as him hiding WMDs and colluding with Al Qaeda. In that context, some individuals supposedly with “first-hand knowledge” – “Iraqi defectors” – showed up to elaborate on and personalize the anti-Saddam propaganda message. We learned only later that many were scripted by the U.S.-government-funded Iraqi National Congress.

Since 2011, we saw the same demonization treatment applied to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad who was depicted as a ruthless monster opposed by a “moderate opposition” which, in turn, was embraced by “human rights” groups, touted by Western media and applauded even by citizen “peace groups” around the United States and Europe. The Assad demonization obscured the fact that many “opposition” groups were part of an externally funded “regime change” project spearheaded by radical jihadists connected to Al Qaeda.

A Reagan Strategy

For me, this pattern goes back even further. I have witnessed these techniques since the 1980s when the Reagan administration tapped into CIA psychological warfare methods to rally the American people around a more interventionist foreign policy – to “kick the Vietnam Syndrome,” the public skepticism toward war that followed the Vietnam debacle.

Back then, senior CIA propagandist Walter Raymond Jr. was assigned to the National Security Council staff where he tutored young neocons, the likes of Elliott Abrams and Robert Kagan, drumming into them that the key was to personalize the propaganda by demonizing a particular leader, making him eminently worthy of hate.

Raymond counseled his acolytes that the goal was always to “glue” black hats on the side in Washington’s crosshairs and white hats on the side that Washington favored. The grays of the real world were to be avoided and any politician or journalist who sought to deal in nuance was disparaged as a fill-in-the-blank “apologist.”

So, in the 1980s, the Reagan administration targeted Nicaragua’s President Daniel Ortega, “the dictator in designer glasses,” as President Reagan dubbed him.

In 1989, before the invasion of Panama, Gen. Manuel Noriega got the treatment. In 1990, it was Saddam Hussein’s turn, deemed “worse than Hitler” by President George H.W. Bush. During the Clinton administration, the demon du jour was Serbia’s Slobodan Milosevic. In all these cases, there were legitimate criticisms of these leaders, but their evils were inflated to fantastical proportions to justify bloody military interventions by the U.S. government and its allies.

Regime Change in Moscow?

The main difference in recent years is that Official Washington’s neocons and liberal interventionists have taken aim at Russia with the goal of “regime change” in Moscow, a strategy that risks the world’s nuclear annihilation. But except for the stakes, the old script is still being followed.

A wintery scene in Moscow, near Red Square. (Photo by Robert Parry)

Rather than a realistic assessment of what happened in Ukraine, the American people and the West in general have been fed a steady diet of propaganda. As U.S. neocons and liberal interventionists pushed for and achieved the violent overthrow of elected President Viktor Yanukovych, he was lavishly smeared as the embodiment of corruption over such items as a sauna in his official residence. Yanukovych wore the black hat and the street fighters of the Maidan, led by ultra-nationalists and neo-Nazis, wore the white hats.

However, after Yanukovych’s unconstitutional ouster, his supporters, concentrated in Ukraine’s ethnic Russian areas, resisted the putsch. But the Western storyline was simply a Russian “invasion.” The absence of any evidence – like photos of an amphibious landing in Crimea or tanks crashing across Ukraine’s borders – didn’t seem to matter. Since Americans and Europeans had already been prepped to hate Putin, no evidence apparently was needed. The New York Times and other mainstream publications just reported any accusations as flat fact.

Even the exposure of a pre-coup phone call in which neocon U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland discussed with U.S. Ambassador Geoffrey Pyatt who would lead the post-coup regime and how to “glue this thing” or “midwife this thing” didn’t matter either. Evidence of U.S. coup plotting wasn’t welcome because it didn’t fit the narrative of brave young Ukrainians promoting democracy by overthrowing the democratically elected leader.

Indeed, the leaked phone call, which the Western media attributed to Russian intelligence, became – rather than proof of U.S. coup plotting – an example of Moscow’s use of “kompromat” (i.e., compromising material) against the “victim,” Assistant Secretary Nuland, who was embarrassed because she had also disparaged the European Union’s lack of aggressiveness with the pithy remark, “Fuck the E.U.”

So, while many of these U.S. propaganda patterns can be traced back to Reagan and his desire to “kick the Vietnam Syndrome,” they have truly become bipartisan. Up had become down whichever party was in office with the mainstream media reinforcing the propaganda themes and deceptions.

The Trump Future

One can expect that the Trump administration will come to enjoy its own control over the levers of propaganda – especially given President Trump’s obsession with always being right no matter what the contrary evidence – but there has been some addition by subtraction in the changeover of administrations.

Donald Trump speaking with the media at a hangar at Mesa Gateway Airport in Mesa, Arizona. Dec. 16, 2015. (Flickr Gage Skidmore)

Many of the neocons and liberal hawks who nested in the Obama administration – people like Victoria Nuland – are gone. That at least creates the possibility for some fresh thinking on such issues as continuing the “information war” against Putin and Russia. A more realistic assessment regarding the Kremlin may be possible given the fact that Secretary of State-designate Rex Tillerson and National Security Advisor Michael Flynn are not Russo-phobes and have personal experience with the Kremlin.

But the Democrats – and even progressives – appear determined to keep alive the anti-Russian hysteria that reached “group think” levels in the final weeks of the Obama administration and is now being carried forward by leading liberal organizations.

As James W. Carden reported for The Nation, “In the time between the November election and [Trump’s] inauguration, the Center for American Progress (CAP) and its president, former Hillary Clinton aide Neera Tanden, have been at the forefront of what some are calling ‘the resistance.’ Yet one troubling aspect of ‘the resistance’ seems to be its belief that Trump owes his surprise victory in the early morning hours of November 9 to the Russian government.”

Carden cited a session at CAP’s Washington headquarters at which Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Illinois, and Tanden hammered home the U.S. intelligence community’s still evidence-free claims that Putin ordered his intelligence services to sabotage Clinton’s campaign and help Trump. Again, details and nuance were unwelcome and unnecessary since the villains were the thoroughly demonized Putin and the widely despised (at least in Democratic circles) Trump.

But there are multiple dangers from the continuation of this propaganda narrative: the obvious one is the risk that the Washington establishment will make the Putin-Trump “guilt” a certified “group think” rather than a charge that needs careful analysis and that certitude could lead to an eventual nuclear showdown with Russia.

Democratic Delusions

Another risk, however, is that the Democrats will come to believe that Putin’s interference defeated Hillary Clinton and thus a desperately needed self-evaluation won’t happen.

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton with former U.S. Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords and astronaut Mark Kelly speaking with supporters at a campaign rally at Carl Hayden High School in Phoenix, Arizona. March 21, 2016. (Photo by Gage Skidmore)

Even if Putin did have his intelligence agents hack Democratic emails and then slipped them to WikiLeaks (although its founder Julian Assange and an associate, former U.K. Ambassador Craig Murray, have denied this), it is clear that the contents of the emails were legitimate and revealed some newsworthy facts about both the Democratic National Committee’s tilting the playing field against Sen. Bernie Sanders and what Clinton told Wall Street bankers in paid speeches that she was hiding from the voters. In other words, the emails weren’t disinformation; they provided real facts that the American people had a right to know before heading to the polls.

But the other key point is that these emails had little impact on the election. Even Clinton herself initially put the blame for her defeat on FBI Director James Comey for briefly reopening and then re-closing an investigation into her use of a private email server as Secretary of State. It was then that her poll numbers began to crater – and Putin had nothing to do with either her reckless decision to conduct State Department business through her private email server or Comey’s decisions regarding the investigation.

But the blame-Putin diversion has enabled the national Democratic Party to avoid reexamining its own contributions to Trump’s Electoral College victory, particularly its insistence on nominating Clinton despite many polls showing her high unfavorable numbers and a widespread recognition that 2016 was an anti-establishment year. The Democratic Party put on blinders to ignore the grave vulnerabilities of its candidate and the sour mood of the electorate.

In a larger sense, the Democratic Party ignored its own reputation as a home for internationalists, elitists and interventionists. Indeed, Clinton chose to cater to the neocons who are very influential in Official Washington but carry little weight in Middle America. Then, she made things worse by insulting many white blue-collar Americans as “deplorables.”

Yet, instead of conducting a thorough autopsy of their demise – sinking into minority status in Congress and across the country – the Democrats apparently think they can whistle past their political graveyard by blaming their defeat on Putin and by building a movement based on attacking Trump’s erratic and offensive behavior, very similar to the failed strategy that Clinton employed last fall.

Not only does this negative strategy threaten again to backfire but – by feeding into a new and dangerous Cold War – it risks tying the Democrats to conflict and militarism and letting the Trump Republicans position themselves as the alternatives to endless and escalating wars.

Investigative reporter Robert Parry broke many of the Iran-Contra stories for The Associated Press and Newsweek in the 1980s. You can buy his latest book, America’s Stolen Narrative, either in print here or as an e-book (from Amazon and barnesandnoble.com).

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Dangers of Democratic Putin-Bashing. “Democratic Party Rebranding”?

Britain’s Fake News Inquiry: Old Wine in New Bottles

February 2nd, 2017 by Dr. Binoy Kampmark

Any inquiry into fake news is much like having a Royal Commission into the make up and motivation for Halal food. (The latter absurd proposition has been put forth by a few Australian politicians irritated by the Islamist bogeyman.)  Neither mission is particularly helpful, other than to illustrate a mounting ignorance about a phenomenon that always was.

In the United Kingdom, the Culture, Media and Sports Committee has made an announcement that it will investigate claims about the public being persuaded by untruths and the dazzling influence of propaganda. Invited submissions are to consider, among others, such questions as to what fake news is and where “biased but legitimate commentary shade into propaganda and lies”; the impact of such news on “public understanding of the world, and also on the public response to traditional journalism”.[1]

In the hyperbolic words of committee chairman Damian Collins MP, the rise of such fabrications constituted “a threat to democracy and undermines the confidence in the media in general”.  The point is almost prosaic, given that Britain has been labouring under such fabrications and propaganda for a good deal since the seedy reign of tycoon Rupert Murdoch commenced.

A society that actually reads The Sun for factual enlightenment is bound to be a victim of the now touted propaganda that is supposedly afflicting the public. It is astonishing that the only reason that “fake news” has renewed currency is because of recent flavourings emanating from the alt-right, or from the Kremlin. In truth, the condition is a pre-existing one in the fourth estate.

Fake news is standard: cereal, wheat and bran, the fibre of the information world.  It has been the foodstuff of media for decades, if not centuries. What matters now is the outrage felt by those in news outlets who believe that a tinge of objectivity still remains in the process of news production.  It ignores that news that is often not authentic has always been the mainstay of journalism, a case of unchecked sources, careless investigation or, in some cases, pure invention.

Much of journalism, for all its purported merits, supplies an illusion of objectivity. Government spin doctors have capitalised, and some, such as former Prime Minister Tony Blair’s terrier-like Alastair Campbell, were formerly of the press.  Campbell, as Director of Communications and Strategy, knew exactly how information might gestate and, in time, mutate into “news”.

If one was to be rude about it, calculated dissimulation would be far more appropriate.  Consider the way a person is interviewed on the arrival of a press crew.  The subject interviewed is placed in an artificial setting pretending to read papers he has never touched, nor is interested in.  The camera is trained in such a manner suggesting an open office space with light, when the office is essentially a closet space with a dying plant in the corner. The fake walk is staged, as is the fake reading with shuffling paper.

The Australian watch dog media program, Media Watch, over the course of its history regularly exposed instances of flagrant abuse of the supposed rule of authenticity. Journalists pretended to be in one city when they were evidently in another.  Scenes were staged, car chases manufactured.  Reports were filed from hotel rooms.Similarly, Evelyn Waugh touches upon this very idea of exaggeration in Scoop (1938), the classic novel on Fleet Street journalism in its sensationalist form.  Truth is something otherwise left to others.  Instead, the herd instinct kicks in and clamours.

Imaginary bodies, tracks of devastation and mutilation, will be conjured up for good copy.  Fictional stories will stem from arranged liaisons, much in keeping with Clint Smoker in Martin Amis’ Yellow Dog (2003).  Again, the State will always volunteer its own version to be circulated to the unwitting press corps: in the Vietnam War, it was the infamous body count masking the US inability to win; in Iraq 2003, it was spectral Weapons of Mass Destruction.  Fakery all round; fakery through and through even from self-appointed defenders of Freedom’s Land.

The death of the credible investigative journalist in the wake of the teeming blogosphere, and the nature of how news is actually crafted, suggests that fake news had a crown well and truly made before it was brought out during the US election campaign in 2016.

Fake news is no longer the preserve of the ruthless press oligarch, disturbed tabloid journalist, or a communications official: it is the democratic preserve of the people.  It caters for those who wish to be deceived, since truth is not so much uncomfortable as mind splittingly painful.

Where, then, does the burden lie to combat such material?  Where it always did: at the end of the production process (for news is undeniably produced, as opposed to discovered). It is the consumer of news who remains judge, the reader, however well informed. All agents have responsibility to oversee it, to question it, but the ultimate point of reception should be the greatest questioner, checking, reading, painstakingly, between the lines. Unfortunately, much in the way of news is merely read to affirm a pre-existing position.

Such inquiries as those proposed by the UK parliament cannot mask a broader purpose, which is to rein in the influence and spread of alternative media. This will be achieved through imposing on social media outlets obligations to stop, in the words of Collins, “the spreading of fake news,” a point analogous to tech companies who “have accepted they have a social responsibility to combat piracy online and the illegal sharing of content”.  The firm, gagging hand of censorship is being readied.[2]

One would have thought that views not connected to the conventional organs of the Mainstream Press add to, rather than spoil, the broth. Percolating through the media networks, some semblance of a picture can be attained.  Not so for mainstream stalwarts who believe that their profession is the mainstay of a bright, spoken truth.

Dr. Binoy Kampmark was a Commonwealth Scholar atSelwyn College, Cambridge.  He lectures at RMITUniversity, Melbourne.  Email:[email protected]

Notes

[1] http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/culture-media-and-sport-committee/inquiries/parliament-2015/inquiry2/

[2] http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/culture-media-and-sport-committee/news-parliament-2015/fake-news-launch-16-17/

 

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Britain’s Fake News Inquiry: Old Wine in New Bottles

Recently, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau wrote on Facebook and twitter,

 To those fleeing persecution, terror and war, Canadians will welcome you, regardless of your faith … Diversity is our strength.

The rhetoric obscures the fact that whereas Canada seeks to present itself as a Saviour to refugees, the reality is that Canada’s criminal foreign policies are creating the refugees in the first place.

Canada and its allies have stuck a knife into Syria, and they are vainly trying to decapitate its leadership — using proxy terrorists — and as cover they are cleaning up the blood from the wounded target, and pretending that they are saviours.

No, accepting refugees is not the solution.  Ending the war and the illegal sanctions are the answer.

A study by The Lancet titled “Syria: end sanctions and find a political solution to peace” indicates that by the end of 2014, the cost of illegal sanctions imposed on Syria stood at US $143.8 billion and that 80 per cent of the population was living in poverty.

Moreover, in “National Agenda for the Future of Syria”, Dr. Justine Walker explains that “the combined effect of comprehensive, unilateral sanctions, terrorist concerns and the ongoing security environment have created immense hurdles for those engaged in delivering immediate humanitarian aid and wider stabilization programmes.”

But of course Canada is currently interesting in destabilizing Syria rather than stabilizing Syria, so the “hurdles” mentioned by Walker are intentional. Canada’s publicly announced goal is to impose illegal “government change” on Syria, and to do so it is part of an orchestrated plan to “destabilize” Syria.  Destabilization means “destroy”.  Canada is actively trying to destroy Syria with its support for terrorists and its support for illegal sanctions.

Syrian Hospital Director, Dr. Munir Rothman explained the on-the-ground results of unilateral illegal sanctions against Syria:

“We have seen the photos of Omran. It is sad, but there are many more Omrans. We have seen the maggots under the skin of injured children simply because of a lack of basic medical supplies. Children are dying from simple milk shortages in certain areas ….” Importantly , he added that,

 MSF (Doctors without Borders) supply nothing at all for government hospitals. I have colleagues in Europe who tried to raise funds for our hospital. They are not allowed to do so, yet doctors who support the so-called “rebels” have no such restrictions imposed on them.

Sanctions are so comprehensive, that they even restrict Syrian hospital attempts to replace equipment. Investigative reporter Vanessa Beeley explained in a Facebook commentary that, “Thanks to the US/EU sanctions it is becoming almost impossible to replace equipment. Research facilities have stopped altogether. Banks in France that worked with the hospital (University Hospital, Latakia) prior to 2011 will be sanctioned by the US if any medical equipment is allowed into Syria from France.”

If Canada were to lift its criminal sanctions against Syria, then Canada would be taking a first step towards being part of the solution rather than part of the problem.

Instead of furthering the causes of peace and justice, however, criminal Western mainstream media outlets will likely continue to accept the government’s degenerate lies and distortions, Canada’s fake “left/progressives” will continue to embrace the toxic narratives, and the only one’s providing a real solution to the on-going tragedy will continue to be Syria and its allies.

Tulsi Gabbard Video:

https://www.facebook.com/VoteTulsi/videos/1292634600792956/

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Syria and the Refugee Crisis: Canada Feigns Humanitarianism Yet Supports Barbarism

In an extraordinarily bellicose statement Wednesday, US National Security Adviser Michael Flynn accused Iran of “destabilising behaviour across the Middle East” and warned, “As of today we are officially putting Iran on notice.”

He denounced Tehran for carrying out a ballistic missile test on Sunday and accused the Iranian regime, without any substantiation, of responsibility for an attack on a Saudi Arabian warship by Houthi rebels in Yemen on Monday.

Flynn appeared at the daily briefing for the White House press corps, which had no advance notice that he would make a statement. He was called to the podium by White House Press Secretary Sean Spicer to deliver a blistering tirade not only against Iran, but also against the Obama administration, after which he walked out without taking any questions.

Flynn gave no indication of the US actions being prepared against Iran. Hours later, in a closed-door briefing to the media, senior administration officials declared that the US intended to take “appropriate action” against Iran over its missile test. “We are considering a whole range of options,” one official said, refusing to rule out military action against Iran.

Flynn condemned Sunday’s “provocative ballistic missile launch,” claiming it was “in defiance of UN Security Council Resolution 2231, which calls upon Iran ‘not to undertake any activity related to ballistic missiles designed to be capable of delivering nuclear weapons, including launches using such ballistic missile technology.’”

Iran has repeatedly denied that its ballistic missiles can carry nuclear weapons. The International Atomic Energy Agency—the organisation responsible for monitoring Resolution 2231—has confirmed this. An Iranian foreign ministry statement declared that missile tests “are an integral component” of Iran’s self-defence” and rejected “politically motivated comments regarding Iran’s missile program.”

Flynn provided no evidence to back up his claims, either on the missile test or the alleged attack on the Saudi warship.

The national security adviser declared that Monday’s attack on the Saudi naval vessel was one of “a series of incidents in the past six months in which Houthi forces that Iran has trained and armed have struck Emirati and Saudi vessels, and threatened US and allied vessels transiting the Red Sea. In these and similar activities, Iran continues to threaten US friends and allies in the region.”

Neither Flynn nor anyone else in the Trump administration has demonstrated that Iran is training and arming the Houthi rebels. What is clear, however, is that Saudi Arabia, in league with the US and various Gulf States, is waging a bloody war, in which more than 10,000 people have been killed, to oust the Houthi-led government in Yemen. Saudi warplanes, supported by the US armed forces, have killed civilians in attacks on hospitals and other non-military facilities.

Flynn’s remarks follow the bellicose comments of the US ambassador to the UN, Nikki Haley, after an emergency session of the UN Security Council on Tuesday, convened at Washington’s request over Iran’s missile test. Haley branded the missile launch as “absolutely unacceptable” and declared: “We’re going to act. We’re going to be strong. We’re going to be loud and we’re going to do whatever it takes to protect the American people and the people across the world.”

Tehran is already at loggerheads with Washington over the Trump administration’s visa ban on seven predominantly Muslim countries, including Iran. Tehran retaliated on Tuesday, imposing a ban on American citizens traveling to Iran.

The Trump administration’s immediate target is the nuclear agreement reached with Iran in 2015 by the Obama administration, along with Britain, Germany, France, China and Russia. The deal, formalised in UN resolution 2231, ended the crippling economic sanctions on Iran in return for the shut-down of Iran’s nuclear programs and intrusive inspections.

Flynn condemned the Obama administration for failing “to respond adequately to Tehran’s malign actions.” He continued: “President Trump has severely criticised the various agreements reached between Iran and the Obama administration, as well as the UN, as being weak and ineffective.”

Speaking last March to the Zionist lobby group, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, Trump declared: “My No.1 priority is to dismantle the disastrous deal with Iran… This deal is catastrophic—for America, for Israel, and for the whole Middle East.” He vowed to halt Iran’s missile program, claiming it threatened Israel, Europe and the United States. “We are not going to let that happen,” Trump stated.

Israel, Washington’s closest ally in the Middle East, is armed to the teeth with the aid and assistance of the United States, and has built its own substantial nuclear arsenal. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who bitterly opposed the 2015 nuclear agreement, immediately condemned the Iranian missile test on Monday. He said he would press the Trump administration to renew economic sanctions on Tehran when he visits Washington this month.

The Trump administration includes pro-Zionist figures, such as his son-in-law and senior adviser Jared Kushner, as well as politicians and generals who are deeply hostile to Iran. Newly-installed CIA chief Mike Pompeo led the campaign in Congress in 2015 to block the nuclear agreement with Iran.

Flynn is notorious for his anti-Muslim xenophobia and outlandish views, which contributed to his removal as Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA) director. The New York Times reported one case involving the attack on the US diplomatic compound in Benghazi, Libya in 2012. Flynn blamed Iran and insisted that his DIA subordinates find evidence to prove he was right. None existed.

Flynn told the House Foreign Affairs Committee in 2015 that “regime-change in Iran” was the best means to stop Iran’s nuclear programs. In a book entitled The Field of Fight: How We can Win the Global War Against Radical Islam and Its Allies, he and anti-Iran hawk Michael Ledeen laid out a blueprint for war against Iran. They denounced Iran as “the lynchpin” of a coalition of nation states and terrorist groups focused on attacking the US.

At the same time, divisions exist within the Trump administration over tearing up the 2015 nuclear deal. That would create a major rift with key European allies and undermine commercial opportunities, including for American corporations, which have an eye on the Iranian market and large reserves of oil and gas.

At his confirmation hearing last month, Defence Secretary James Mattis declared that the nuclear pact was “an imperfect arms control agreement” but the US was obliged to continue to abide by it. For Mattis, the issue is a tactical one—a clash with Iran might not be the top priority as Trump prepares to confront China. On his first overseas trip, Mattis is en route to East Asia to visit two American allies, South Korea and Japan.

That said, Mattis is not opposed in principle to a war against Iran. During his time as head of the US Central Command, he was preoccupied with the alleged threat posed by the Iranian regime. He reportedly advised the Obama administration in 2011 to take military action inside Iran in retaliation for alleged attacks on US forces in Iraq by Iranian-backed militia. He was removed from his post after urging the deployment of a third aircraft carrier battle group to the Persian Gulf in preparation for war with Iran.

The escalating war of words with Iran has its own logic. It could lead to clashes and conflict that would rapidly draw in other countries in the Middle East and internationally. The fact that the threat against Iran has emanated from Trump’s National Security Council, a cabal of ex-generals and extreme right-wing figures, including the fascistic Stephen Bannon, Trump’s chief strategist, is the sharpest of warnings.

Less than two weeks in office, the Trump administration is rapidly emerging as a regime of militarism and war directed at any obstacle to the interests of the super-rich oligarchy it represents.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on America’s Drums of War: White House Issues War Threat Against Iran

When 62 ton American tanks fire off salvos into the night in Poland the commander of US forces in Europe, General Ben Hodges, wants you to know this is “not just a training exercise”. To the contrary, it’s a message to Russians:

“We’re serious — this is not just a training exercise. We are here to convey a strategic message that you cannot violate the sovereignty of members of NATO … Moscow will get the message — I’m confident of it.”

I don’t know where Hodges is from but in my neck of the woods when you transport a full armored brigade half way across the world to fire at the doorstep of a rival power the message you’re trying to send tends to get a little confused.

Especially when you’re insisting your message is a warning against something — invading Poland — that Russians never indicated they had an interest in in the first place.

Maybe Hodges is too young to remember but in 1989-91 the Russians voluntarily gave up a giant land empire. In a completely unprecedented move for any great power the Russians allowed dozens of nations and hundreds of millions of people to assert and declare their independence without ever being forced to do so militarily.

Why would they ever re-invade places they had already given up when they didn’t have to? Except of course if they ever got nervous about Americans, Germans, Brits and who knows who else installing themselves on their border.

We need to ask, do the likes of Hodges actually believe their own nonsense, or are they just trying to stir things up to keep careers and budgets going?

 

 

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Dangerous Crossroads, America Threatens Russia: US Tanks Fire Salvos in Poland as ‘Message’ to Russia…

On Jan. 28, the freelance and sometimes controversial Canadian journalist Eva Bartlett spoke at the Montreal Delta Hotel. The event was part of her nationwide tour on the Syrian Civil War and alleged misreporting by Western media. Bartlett, whose work has been published on independent watchdog journalism website MintPress News, focused on events in Aleppo from the perspective of her own journalistic experiences there and was accompanied by President and Director of the Centre for Research on Globalization, Michel Chossudovsky, and author Yves Engler. The event was sponsored by the Canadian Peace Congress and the Syria Solidarity Movement.

The talk commenced with remarks from Chossudovsky, followed by a discussion of incidents, which according to Bartlett, the mainstream media did not accurately report on or cover at all.

Alex Gardiner / The McGill Tribune

“Syrian voices weren’t being heard in the corporate media,” Bartlett said. “I wanted to concentrate on hearing what they had been living.”

Originally from Ontario, Bartlett lived in Gaza from 2008 to 2013, and has travelled to Syria a total of six times since April 2014. She speaks colloquial Arabic, which helped her to interview residents of Aleppo. Bartlett emphasized the importance of on-the-ground reporting, which she claims Western media, including BBC and Al Jazeera has failed to adequately do. Instead, she and the other panel speakers said that the media is playing a role in spreading propaganda.

“Most governments, in times of war, engage in propaganda,” Engler said, referring to a staged video of a civilian rescue that many news sources, including CNN mistakenly believed to be real.

The video was produced by the Syria Civil Defence, also known as the White Helmets, a group of volunteer search and rescue workers who were recently nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize for their work in Syria.

The panelists expressed their discontent with corporate media and claimed that major newspapers and news networks are feeding the public innacurate information. Concerning Aleppo, a city at the centre of the Syrian Civil War and the battle against the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), Bartlett and her colleagues insisted that the public is not getting the true story.

According to Bartlett, most news coverage regarding Syrian conflict focuses on the civilian battle against Bashar al-Assad’s regime, while widely ignoring the role of rebel groups in instigating violent attacks.

“This revolution has been targeting civilians and infrastructure,” Bartlett said. “Ask yourselves, ‘What kind of a revolution does that?’”

Chossudovsky added that any government—including the United States and its allies—involved in aiding rebel groups fighting Assad is part of an illegal war. According to Chossudovsky,  humanitarian efforts in the form of military interventions are nothing but an insurgency.

“U.S. media disinformation is complicit in this war [by] portraying this war as a humanitarian undertaking,” Chossudovsky said.

Ultimately, Bartlett made the argument that rebel groups are to blame for the decay of Aleppo. She did not comment on the role played by Assad and the government.

Though Bartlett was received with praise from the audience, she has previously faced backlash and accusations from other journalists, among them Deputy Editor of 5PillarsUK Dilly Hussain, who debated with Bartlett on Dec. 16, 2016 and accused her of being a propagandist for the Syrian and Russian governments—a claim that she has denied.

McGill Department of Political Science Professor Rex Brynen wrote in an email to The McGill Tribune that he does not agree with Bartlett’s claims about the spread of inaccurate information about the Syrian civil war. Brynen’s research focuses on the politics in the Middle East, international development, and security.

“[…] I think Eva Bartlett has been fairly effectively discredited as a regime apologist,” Brynen wrote. “I think there’s been pretty substantial coverage of rebel human rights violations, and frankly the mainstream press coverage is pretty good. Moreover, none of that takes away from the massive human rights violations carried out by the regime.”

Bartlett’s Canada tour will continue through Feb. 3, where she will end in Regina, Saskatchewan.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on ‘Mainstream Media Is Lying’ in Syria Coverage. Eva Bartlett in Montreal

Many say Trump is not the real problem. Democrats lied through murderous wars, bombing poor people, women included. Few marched as Hillary destroyed Libya. The real problem, some argue, is false values. Failure of democracy is one issue but unwillingness to see it is worse.

The anti-war movement of the sixties and seventies had a slogan: There are no innocents. 1 It meant that a comfortable white life was collusion in massacres. Lifestyles fueled carnage in Vietnam by generating the values that justified it. Quietly offering daily consent, we’re responsible for the results.

We’re responsible for imperialism. That movement proclaimed that by not opposing fundamental institutions, we support them. You can’t be neutral on a moving train, Howard Zinn said. 2

Another idea was around then: renunciation. It means we sometimes have to lose or give away things to access truth, to see better. It existed in the drop-out movement. Counter-cultural communities weren’t part of a “plan” for success, as happens today. Members were transformed, losing who they were.

It was in the drug culture. Students at “good schools” knew key social values informed their identity. 3 So they didn’t trust their identity. Some didn’t trust their thinking.  Mind-altering drugs made sense, as a way to see the world differently. Renunciation (of one’s mind) was motivational.

It was in popular culture. In Star Trek, called an American icon, Spock represented reason.  Spock’s distinctive skill is mind melds. He gives up his identity to become one with another being, often alien. The idea runs counter to assumptions about reason. It involves risk. Spock loses, and discovers.

Renunciation is in religions: we lose life to gain it. But it is also in Marx. Marx’s naturalistic, realist view of knowing (consistent with recent philosophy of science) says knowing is dialectical. The world acts upon us and we receive back. It changes us. We gain perspective.

The process is transformative, sometimes unexpectedly. Lenin described discovery as a passage through dark waters. It’s risky. There is loss, including to identity.

We don’t teach Marx now. This witty, intelligent 19th century philosopher disappeared when the Soviet Union collapsed. Anyone who knows Marx knows his philosophy was not involved. Lenin knew before he died the USSR would not be Marxist.

No one argued that Marx’s insights into human nature, knowledge and freedom were suddenly irrelevant. His academic death reflected “abject prostration”.4

Publishers and editors complied. The editor of a cultural journal at my university invited me to write on Cuba after normalization began. He insisted I write “like a prof” which meant leaving out Fidel Castro. I complied, making the same points differently. He said he liked it but it never appeared.

One result of shameful prostration is that philosophical liberalism seems the only option. Students accept uncritically liberals’ negative view of freedom. It says we’re free when we do what we want. It gets dressed up but basically I’m free if no one, including government, gets in my way.

It assumes there are innocents. There aren’t.

In the early two thousands I attended an annual conference on development in Havana, Cuba. 5 It drew Nobel laureates (including from the US), members of the IMF and World Bank, national leaders, heads of unions and social movements, as well as ordinary folk from around the world representing student delegations, Indigenous movements and women’s organizations.

Fidel Castro attended but wasn’t on the program. At each event, for four days, he listened, taking notes. When it was over, he’d speak, starting, say, at 10.30pm and concluding at 3.30am. A convention hall full of people listened, some standing in order not to nod off. Few left.

A colleague asked why I listened since he said similar things. It was because he was saying them. Few world leaders were, or are: that the poor matter, that the poor remember, that the march of humanity (against imperialism) exists. It cannot fail, he’d say, because “people think and feel”.

People think and feel. It’s not trivial. It reflects a now urgently needed perspective. It was urgent then and the audience knew it. It recognizes a radical form of knowledge gained when we receive back from others, and lose: Human connection as access to otherwise elusive truths.

It is how we know we’re lied to, even about who we are. Truths about imperialism are costly because the lies are expressed in how we live. There are no innocents. Truth isn’t automatic. It has costs.

Some hope Trump will inspire radical change to political organization. Let’s hope it inspires philosophical change: thorough rejection of liberalism’s negative freedom.

Ignorance is not just lack of knowledge. It is the position from which we interpret it. The late Honduran activist, Barta Cáceres said North Americans’ big problem is love of comfort. It is a deeper point than may at first appear. We need Marx and those who’ve followed him.

Academics’ sorry prostration has done damage.

Notes

1, E.g. Sam Green, Bill Siegel, directors, Weather Underground (documentary 2002)

2. Howard Zinn in Ellis, Deb, & Mueller, Denis. (Directors). (2004). Howard Zinn: You can’t be neutral on a moving train (Documentary) 

3. Mark Kitchell, dir Berkeley in the sixties (documentary 1990)

4. Ali, Tariq, Pirates of the Caribbean: Axis of hope (New York, NY: Verso Press, 2006) p. 5

5. Encuentro Hemisférico de Lucha Contra el ALCA, Palacio de las Convenciones, Havana 2001-2005

Encuentro Hemisférico de Lucha Contra el ALCA, Palacio de las Convenciones, Havana 2001-2005

Prof. Susan Babbitt is author (most recently) of Humanism and Embodiment (Bloomsbury 2014) and José Martí, Ernesto “Che” Guevara and Global development Ethics (Palgrave Macmillan 2014)

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on America’s War, Failure of Democracy: What Happened to “There are No Innocents”?

In the most dramatic expression of insider opposition to a sitting administration’s policies in generations, over 1,000 U.S. State Department employees signed on to a memo protesting President Donald Trump’s temporary ban on people from seven predominantly Muslim countries setting foot on U.S. soil. Another recent high point in dissent among the State Department’s 18,000 worldwide employees occurred in June of last year, when 51 diplomats called for U.S. air strikes against the Syrian government of President Bashar al Assad.

Neither outburst of dissent was directed against the U.S. wars and economic sanctions that have killed and displaced millions of people in the affected countries: Iran, Iraq, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria and Yemen. Rather, the diplomatic “rebellion” of last summer sought to pressure the Obama administration to join with Hillary Clinton and her “Big Tent” full of war hawks to confront Russia in the skies over Syria, while the memo currently making the rounds of State Department employees claims to uphold “core American and constitutional values,” preserve “good will towards Americans” and prevent “potential damage to the U.S. economy from the loss of revenue from foreign travelers and students.”

In neither memo is there a word of support for world peace, nor a hint of respect for the national sovereignty of other peoples — which is probably appropriate, since these are not, and never have been, “core American and constitutional values.”

Ironically, the State Department “dissent channel” was established during one of those rare moments in U.S. history when “peace” was popular: 1971, when a defeated U.S. war machine was very reluctantly winding down support for its puppet regime in South Vietnam. Back then, lots of Americans, including denizens of the U.S. government, wanted to take credit for the “peace” that was on the verge of being won by the Vietnamese, at a cost of at least four million Southeast Asian dead. But, those days are long gone. Since 2001, war has been normalized in the U.S. — especially war against Muslims, which now ranks at the top of actual “core American values.” Indeed, so much American hatred is directed at Muslims that Democrats and establishment Republicans must struggle to keep the Russians in the “hate zone” of the American popular psyche. The two premiere, officially-sanctioned hatreds are, of course, inter-related, particularly since the Kremlin stands in the way of a U.S. blitzkrieg in Syria, wrecking Washington’s decades-long strategy to deploy Islamic jihadists as foot soldiers of U.S. empire.

The United States has always been a project of empire-building. George Washington called it a “nascent empire,” Thomas Jefferson bought the Louisiana Territory from France in pursuit of an “extensive empire,” and the real Alexander Hamilton, contrary to the Broadway version, considered the U.S. to be the “most interesting empire in the world.” The colonial outpost of two million white settlers (and half a million African slaves) severed ties with Britain in order to forge its own, limitless dominion, to rival the other white European empires of the world. Today, the U.S. is the Mother of All (Neo)Colonialists, under whose armored skirts are gathered all the aged, shriveled, junior imperialists of the previous era.

In order to reconcile the massive contradiction between America’s predatory nature and its mythical self-image, however, the mega-hyper-empire must masquerade as its opposite: a benevolent, “exceptional” and “indispensible” bulwark against global barbarism. Barbarians must, therefore, be invented and nurtured, as did the U.S. and the Saudis in 1980s Afghanistan with their creation of the world’s first international jihadist network, for subsequent deployment against the secular “barbarian” states of Libya and Syria.

In modern American bureaucratese, worrisome barbarian states are referred to as “countries or areas of concern” — the language used to designate the seven nations targeted under the Terrorist Travel Prevention Act of 2015 signed by President Obama. President Donald Trump used the existing legislation as the basis for his executive order banning travelers from those states, while specifically naming only Syria. Thus, the current abomination is a perfect example of the continuity of U.S. imperial policy in the region, and emphatically not something new under the sun (a sun that, as with old Britannia, never sets on U.S. empire).

The empire preserves itself, and strives relentlessly to expand, through force of arms and coercive economic sanctions backed up by the threat of annihilation. It kills people by the millions, while allowing a tiny fraction of its victims to seek sanctuary within U.S. borders, based on their individual value to the empire.

Donald Trump’s racist executive order directly affects about 20,000 people, according to the United Nations High Commissioner on Refugees. President Obama killed an estimated 50,000 Libyans in 2011, although the U.S. officially does not admit it snuffed out the life of a single civilian. The First Black President is responsible for each of the half-million Syrians that have died since he launched his jihadist-based war against that country, the same year. Total casualties inflicted on the populations of the seven targeted nations since the U.S. backed Iraq in its 1980s war against Iran number at least four million — a bigger holocaust than the U.S. inflicted on Southeast Asia, two generations ago — when the U.S. State Department first established its “dissent channel.”

But, where is the peace movement? Instead of demanding a halt to the carnage that creates tidal waves of refugees, self-styled “progressives” join in the macabre ritual of demonizing the “countries of concern” that have been targeted for attack, a process that U.S. history has color-coded with racism and Islamophobia. These imperial citizens then congratulate themselves on being the world’s one and only “exceptional” people, because they deign to accept the presence of a tiny portion of the populations the U.S. has mauled.

The rest of humanity, however, sees the real face of America — and there will be a reckoning.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on If Americans Truly Cared About Muslims, They Would Stop Killing Them by the Millions

President Trump says he wants the US to have better relations with Russia and to halt military operations against Muslim countries. But he is being undermined by the Pentagon.

The commander of US forces in Europe, General Ben Hodges, has lined up tanks on Poland’s border with Russia and fired salvos that the general says are a message to Russia, not a training exercise. 

http://russia-insider.com/en/us-tanks-fire-salvos-poland-warning-against-russia/ri18767

How is Trump going to normalize relations with Russia when the commander of US forces in Europe is threatening Russia with words and deeds?

The Pentagon has also sent armored vehicles to “moderate rebels” in Syria, according to Penagon spokesman Col. John Dorrian. Unable to prevent Russia and Syria from winning the war against ISIS, the Pentagon is busy at work derailing the peace negotiations.

The military/security complex is using its puppets-on-a-string in the House and Senate to generate renewed conflict with Iran and to continue threats against China.

Clearly, Trump is not in control of the most important part of his agenda—peace with the thermo-nuclear powers and cessation of interference in the affairs of other countries.

Trump cannot simultaneously make peace with Russia and make war on Iran and China. The Russian government is not stupid. It will not sell out China and Iran for a deal with the West.

Iran is a buffer against jihadism spilling into Muslim populations in the Russian Federation. China is Russia’s most important military and economic strategic ally against a renewal of US hostility toward Russia by Trump’s successor, assuming Trump succeeds in reducing US/Russian tensions. The neoconservatives with their agenda of US world hegemony and their alliance with the military-security complex will outlast the Trump administration.

Moreover, China is rising, while the corrupt and dehumanized West is failing. A deal with the West is worth nothing. Countries that make deals with the West are exposed to financial and political exploitation. They become vassals. There are no exceptions.

Russia’s desire to be part of the West is perplexing. Russia should build its security on relations with China and Asia, and let the West, desirous of participating in this success, come to Russia to ask for a deal.

Why be a supplicant when you can be the decider?

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Trump Wants Better Relations with Russia: Is He Being Sabotaged by the Pentagon? US Tanks on Russia’s Border

En un comunicado de prensa circulado por la Secretaría de Relaciones Exteriores de México (SRE) (véase el texto completo reproducido al final de esta nota y su enlace en el sitio oficial de la SRE), se indicó este martes 31 de enero que el Presidente de Israel mantuvo una conversación telefónica con su homólogo mexicano, con el fin de limar las tensiones creadas entre ambos Estados a raiz de un “tweet” del Primer Ministro israelí apoyando la ocurrente idea del Presidente Donald Trump de construir un muro entre México y Estados Unidos. Días antes, la prensa especializada en asuntos económicos había informado sobre la presión ejercida por la empresa israelí Magal Security Systems Ltd en Washington para garantizar su participación en la construcción de este muro (ver nota de Bloomberg del 27/01/2017, titulada “Israeli Company That Fenced in Gaza Angles to Help Build Trump’s Mexico Wall” ).

Enviado el “tweet” desde la cuenta del Primer Ministro israelí, México había reaccionado externando su “decepción y profunda extrañeza” a las autoridades de Israel (véase nuestra breve nota con al final texto del comunicado de prensa Número 31 de la SRE de México). El mismo lunes 30 de enero, recurriendo a los mecanismos previstos en estos casos, la diplomacia mexicana había convocado al embajador de Israel en México, quién acudió a la cita (ver nota de Diario, titulada “Acude embajador de Israel en México a SRE por tema de muro“).

El comunicado 33 de la SRE: breves aspectos de forma

Este nuevo comunicado oficial de prensa (Número 33) de la diplomacia de México se titula “Israel se disculpa por lastimar a México“. Luego de describir la conversación entre ambos mandatarios, en su parte final, se puede leer la siguiente frase: “El Presidente Peña Nieto señaló que el tuit desconcertó a México y a la comunidad judía mexicana y lastimó la relación entre ambos países. El Presidente Rivlin ofreció disculpas por lastimar a México e hizo votos por que la relación retome su cauce de cooperación y amistad“. Notemos que esta misma frase se lee en realidad dos veces, al haber sido colocada justo después del título, en carácteres destacados, de manera que se lea antes que el resto del texto.

La intención de quiénes tuvieron a su cargo la elaboración de este comunicado es digna de recalcar, y esta doble lectura no es gratuita. Como se apreciará en las líneas que siguen, las expresiones de pesar por parte de un Estado y la aceptación de estas por parte de otro Estado, constituyen un terreno particularmente fértil para la creatividad y la imaginación.

Las consecuencias de un “tweet” desafortunado 

En lo que pareciera ser la primera vez en que Israel presenta oficialmente su pesar por un “tweet” emitido por sus máximas autoridades, se puede apreciar cómo, una vez hecho público el profundo malestar de la diplomacia mexicana, ambos Estados realizaron de una manera muy expédita las gestiones del caso (y ello al más alto nivel) para normalizar sus relaciones. Notemos no obstante que Israel optó por dejar en manos de su Presidente (y no su Primer Ministro) el encontrar un terreno de entendimiento con su homólogo mexicano. Se leyó en Haaretz un titular días antes indicando que el Primer Ministro israelí no tenía intención alguna de retractarse:”Netanyahu Rejects Request by Minister to Apologize to Mexico Over Trump Wall Tweet” (ver nota).

Un “tweet” de una alta autoridad estatal constituye una opinión, y, por más desafortunado sea su contenido, no constituye violación a ninguna regla vigente del derecho internacional público. Como tuvimos la oportunidad de escribirlo con ocasión de unas desafortunadas declaraciones del Presidente Daniel Ortega de Nicaragua en el 2013: “…en derecho internacional público, ninguna norma obliga expresamente a un Jefe de Estado en ejercicio a abstenerse de dar declaraciones que carezcan de fundamento alguno” (Nota 1).

Las manifestaciones de pesar por parte de un Estado, un ámbito muy variado

En el caso en que la acción de un Estado sí constituye una violación a alguna regla jurídica vigente, el malestar causado puede dar pié para acciones que interesan el ordenamiento jurídico internacional. En ambos casos, el asunto siempre puede ser subsanado mediante alguna aclaración, rectificación o algun otro gesto que de por resuelto el asunto.

Cuando se trata de situaciones en las que un Estado se siente ofendido por declaraciones o actuaciones de otro Estado, la presentación de alguna expresión de pesar oficial por parte de las autoridades del Estado incriminado suele darse. No obstante, estas manifestaciones deben ser formuladas de tal manera que resulten aceptables para el Estado afectado. En América Latina, por ejemplo, las presentadas por Colombia a Ecuador después de una incursión de un comando militar colombiano en territorio ecuatoriano en marzo del 2008 difícilmente podían ser aceptadas por Ecuador al indicar que: “El Gobierno de la República de Colombia desea presentar al Ilustrado Gobierno de la República del Ecuador sus excusas por la acción que se vio obligado a adelantar en la zona de frontera, consistente en el ingreso de helicópteros colombianos con personal de las Fuerzas Armadas a territorio ecuatoriano” (véase nota de prensa). Las expresiones de pesar oficiales pueden ser formuladas de tal manera que sí logren superar el clima suscitado por una situación anómala: por ejemplo, España se “excusó” oficialmente con Bolivia con relación a las actuaciones del embajador de España en Viena durante la imprevista escala del Presidente Evo Morales con ocasión de su memorable vuelo entre Moscú y La Paz. El embajador de España en La Paz envió el 16 de julio del 2013 una nota explicando: ”Lamentamos ese hecho, presentamos nuestras excusas por ese proceder, que no fue adecuado y que al presidente le molestó y le puso en una situación difícil e impropia de un jefe de Estado” (véase nota de El Mundo).

Pesares y matices semánticos

Para quiénes conocen los significados propios de las palabras en la lengua española, nótese que en ambos casos, los documentos citados no se refieren al término de “disculpas”, sino al de “excusas”: pareciera que un Estado muy dificilmente usa el término de “disculpa” en este tipo de situaciones, pese a titulares de prensa que refieren expresamente a ese término de forma errónea. En el 2013, luego de declaraciones desacertadas de su reprentante en Panamá, Costa Rica procedió a usar la palabra “disculpas” en una carta formal lamentando lo ocurrido (Nota 2).

El pesar (“regrets” en inglés o francés) es una cosa, las disculpas (“apologizes” en inglés, “excuses” en francés) son otra. No se trata de matices semánticos únicamente, sino que las consecuencias difieren desde el punto de vista jurídico. Se lee en un manual clásico de derecho internacional público que:

Il convient de distinguer les excuses, forme mineure de réparation, des simples regrets, acte de pure courtoisie dépourvu d’effets juridiques et qui, pour cette raison, sera souvent considéré comme insuffisant par l’Etat lèsé” (Nota 3).

Sobre estos y algunos otros detalles del lenguaje con el que los Estados juegan a menudo en sus comunicados oficiales, remitimos al lector a las diversas manifestaciones de pesar de los Estados involucrados en el inédito trato vivido por el Presidente Evo Morales de Bolivia con ocasión de un vuelo entre Moscú y La Paz en el 2013 (véase nuestro artículo titulado “Le vol du Président bolivien Evo Morales: innovation et fausses excuses“).

Breves valoraciones conclusivas

En el reciente caso de Israel y México, no ha trascendido que Israel haya presentado alguna nota formal refiriendo a “excusas” ni mucho menos “disculpas” a las autoridades de México. La técnica diplomática acordada (y con la que México al parecer se da por satisfecho), fue la de un comunicado de prensa oficial de México detallando el contenido de una conversación telefónica entre los dos Presidentes, con un título que sí usa la palabra “disculpa”. Los titulares de la prensa internacional originados por este comunicado de la SRE retomaron este término.

No cabe duda que México e Israel en pocos días lograron superar el malestar causado por este “tweet” del Primer Ministro israelí. En momentos en que las originalidades y el estilo tan peculiar del nuevo Presidente de Estados Unidos están causando roces innecesarios con el resto de la comunidad internacional (véase por ejemplo reciente decisión de Irán de aplicar el principio de reciprocidad a Estados Unidos en materia migratoria que tuvimos la oportunidad de analizar en las páginas de Pressenza), es probable que la diplomacia israelí considerara prioritario reestablecer las buenas relaciones con México, y de paso, mejorar su (deteriorada) imagen en el resto de América Latina.

Nicolas Boeglin

Notas

Nota 1: Véase nuestra breve nota BOEGLIN N., “¿Por qué Costa Rica llama a consulta a su embajador en Nicaragua?”, CRHoy, 20 de agotos del 2013, disponible aquí

Nota 2: El 7 de marzo del 2013, Costa Rica retiró a su embajador en Panamá (ver  nota de prensa de La Nación) y envió una nota en la que presentó sus disculpas formales a las autoridades panameñas. Ello se debió a declaraciones dadas por el embajador Melvin Sáenz Biolley, el 6 de febrero anterior, primero en las afueras de un estadio, y luego en un medio radial panameño conducido por la periodista Bettina García Muller. Costa Rica notificó oficialmente a Panamá que: “El Gobierno de Costa Rica desea hacer llegar sus más sentidas disculpas por las expresiones emitidas por don Melvin y las molestias que estas causaron al ilustrado Gobierno de Panamá” (ver nota de prensa de La Nación). En julio del 2013, el señor Melvin Sáenz Biolley presentó oficialmente sus credenciales como embajador de Costa Rica en Perú (ver  nota de CRHoy). 

Nota 3: Véase ROUSSEAU Ch., Droit International Public, Tome V, Paris, Sirey, 1983, p. 219 

Texto completo del comunicado de prensa oficial circulado por la Secretaría de Relaciones Exteriores de México 

Israel se disculpa por lastimar a México

Comunicado No.033.- El Presidente Peña Nieto señaló que el tuit desconcertó a México y a la comunidad judía mexicana y lastimó la relación entre ambos países. El Presidente Rivlin ofreció disculpas por lastimar a México e hizo votos por que la relación retome su cauce de cooperación y amistad.

Esta mañana el Presidente de Israel, Reuven Rivlin, se comunicó con el Presidente Enrique Peña Nieto para referirse al tuit del Primer Ministro Netanyahu, que lastimó la relación entre ambos países.

El Presidente Rivlin señaló que de ninguna manera se pretendió comparar la situación de seguridad en Israel con la de México, destacando que los vínculos históricos y la cooperación entre ambos países son muy importantes para Israel y que lamentaba el malentendido causado por este tuit.

El Presidente Peña Nieto, por su parte, recordó que México siempre ha procurado una relación muy cercana con Israel y que ha acogido con los brazos abiertos a la comunidad judía, la cual realiza diariamente una importante y valiosa contribución al desarrollo del país. Ambos presidentes destacaron el importante papel de la comunidad judía como un gran puente de amistad y entendimiento entre los dos países.

El Presidente Peña Nieto señaló que el tuit desconcertó a México y a la comunidad judía mexicana y lastimó la relación entre ambos países. El Presidente Rivlin ofreció disculpas por lastimar a México e hizo votos por que la relación retome su cauce de cooperación y amistad.

Por su parte, el presidente Peña Nieto indicó, claramente, que nuestro país siempre ha procurado una relación muy cercana con Israel, agregando, que México tiene el deseo de mantener la amistad y cooperación mutua.

 

Nicolas Boeglin, Profesor de Derecho Internacional Público, Facultad de Derecho, Universidad de Costa Rica (UCR). Contacto: nboeglin(a)gmail.com

  • Posted in Español
  • Comments Off on Israel presenta “disculpas” a México por tweet del Primer Ministro de Israel apoyando muro entre México y Estados Unidos

El fin del boom de las exportaciones de commodities alteró el escenario existente hasta hace poco en América Latina e inauguró un período de incertezas. En esta entrevista el investigador Decio Machado aborda el panorama político y económico de la región y el escenario coyuntural del Ecuador, cuya sociedad ira a las urnas el próximo día 19 de febrero para escoger al sucesor de Rafael Correa en la presidencia del país. Machado alerta que “los beneficios derivados del auge del precio de los commodities durante estos años anteriores ya desaparecieron” y “el crecimiento de la deuda externa vuelve a ser una realidad inquietante”. Analizando el ciclo de gobiernos progresistas en América Latina, afirmó que existe un déficit de estos gobiernos respecto a la carencia de transformaciones estructurales y combinar la “radicalidad discursiva con la convivencia junto al poder de las élites económicas que históricamente dominaron nuestros países”. El pensador desarrolla fuertes críticas al modelo de desarrollo basado en la exportación de materias primas, y defiende que este sea superado. Para él, “tenemos que superar el faso dilema ´extractivismo o pobreza´implementado en América Latina, y “no deja de causar sonrojo que el planteamiento estratégico de los gobiernos latinoamericanos para superar el extractivismo esté basado en implementar cada vez más extractivismo”. El investigador abordó las relaciones económicas de la región con China, y considera las medidas proteccionistas que serán implementadas por el gobierno de Donald Trump en Estados Unidos profundizarán aún más las “relaciones comerciales, económicas y militares que ya se vienen establecimiento entre América Latina y la zona Asia – Pacífico”. 

¿Cuál es escenario político y económico actual en Ecuador?

El país vive un momento de transición política. Tras diez años de mandato, Rafael Correa abandonará su cargo el próximo 24 de mayo, fecha en la que será investido el próximo presidente de la República del Ecuador. Más allá de quien gane las elecciones del 19 de febrero, esto significará un cambio en la política institucional del país, pues el correismo, para bien y para mal, en la práctica se transformó en una propuesta de concentración de poderes en torno a un líder carismático que difícilmente tendrá continuidad sin su presencia en el Palacio de Carondelet. En lo que concierne a lo económico, tras un prolongado período de bonanza derivado del llamado “boom de los commodities” el país se ha visto fuertemente golpeado por la caída del precio del petróleo, la apreciación del dólar y el encarecimiento del financiamiento externo. El sumatorio de estas circunstancias ha hecho que la economía ecuatoriana cierre el año 2016 con una contracción del 1,7%, a la par de que el déficit fiscal se ha mantenido pese a que la deuda pública (interna y externa) se haya incrementado notablemente. Indicadores sociales positivos logrados durante gran parte del período correista en el ámbito de la lucha contra la pobreza, la disminución del desempleo, las mejoras en las condiciones laborales de los trabajadores y el crecimiento de la capacidad adquisitiva de la población, se encuentran en la actualidad en franco deterioro.

¿Cómo define usted el gobierno de Rafael Correa? ¿Cuál es el legado de su gobierno?

Considero que quien mejor definió este período fue el propio presidente Rafael Correa cuando dijo aquello de que “básicamente estamos haciendo mejor las cosas con el mismo modelo de acumulación”. En la práctica, se trata de un gobierno que impulsó la modernización del sistema capitalista en Ecuador a través del fortalecimiento del rol del Estado. Para ello, se impulsaron políticas sociales compensatorias que fueron el eje de esta nueva gobernabilidad, a la par que se exacerbó el modelo de explotación extractivista de recursos naturales y se fomentó ampliamente la construcción de obras de infraestructura en el país. Su legado combina la estabilización política con el desarrollo de un modelo de Estado-control, lo que implica la desarticulación y neutralización del tejido social organizado que antaño había sido protagonista de grandes luchas sociales. Para ello, el correismo se empeñó en controlar la vida colectiva desde el aparato del Estado mediante la judicialización de la protesta social. Desde esa perspectiva el régimen correista es altamente involucionista, pues entiende al Estado-nación como límite del pensamiento y las prácticas emancipatorias de los distintos pueblos y nacionalidades que conforman Ecuador. En la actualidad, con el advenimiento de la crisis económica fruto del fin de la “década dorada de los commodities”, quedó en evidencia que lo construido en materia de mejoramiento de los indicadores sociales a lo largo de este período tiene unos pilares demasiado frágiles. Esto nos hace reflexionar sobre el hecho de que no es posible mejorar estructuralmente la situación de los pobres sin tocar los privilegios de las élites económicas y los grandes grupos de poder.

¿Cuál es su expectativa hacia las elecciones presidenciales? ¿Cree que Lenín Moreno será electo?
El hecho que Rafael Correa no esté en la papeleta de votación sumado a que el país se encuentra en recesión económica, generó amplias expectativas en los sectores de oposición al régimen. Sin embargo, han sido los propios errores de estos los que les llevaron a situarse en condiciones desfavorables durante esta contienda electoral. En el ámbito conservador, la rivalidad entre distintas facciones de la derecha no les permitió presentar una candidatura de unidad frente al régimen; y en el caso de las disidencias por la izquierda al correísmo, quienes si consiguieron unificarse en torno a una candidatura presidencial común, les faltó el valor para desarrollar un programa rupturista que fuera más allá de la prédica sobre la recuperación de la democracia y las libertades. El discurso de las diversas candidaturas opositoras, con independencia de su sensibilidad política, terminaron convergiendo en una narrativa común que se basa en el mal manejo económico del régimen durante los últimos años y la corrupción institucional existente, haciendo difícilmente distinguibles sus diferentes propuestas programáticas ante la ciudadanía. Por su parte, la campaña electoral del oficialismo esta basada en evidenciar la obra pública y la inversión social realizada durante esta década, posicionando a su candidato presidencial como cambio de estilo a la hora de gobernar dentro de la continuidad del régimen. Los sondeos serios sobre intención de voto en Ecuador indican que el oficialismo baja su intención de voto en función de que van aflorando distintos escándalos de corrupción durante el mandato del presidente Correa, mientras que los partidos de oposición no crecen en esa misma proporción. Mientras Alianza PAIS mantenga una ventaja superior a 10 puntos porcentuales sobre sus distintos rivales electorales, la disputa está en que la candidatura de Lenín Moreno obtenga el 40% de los votos válidos para ganar en primera vuelta. De no ser así, es decir, en caso de que exista una segunda vuelta o balotaje, la cosa podría complicársele al oficialismo, dado que estaríamos ante un escenario de rearticulación de alianzas entre las fuerzas opositoras.

¿Desde un punto de vista de la izquierda, quién es el mejor candidato a la presidencia de Ecuador?

Considero que si algo debemos aprender las izquierdas de este periodo definido como “ciclo progresista” en América Latina, es que más allá de que con determinadas políticas sociales se mejore coyunturalmente los guarismos de la desigualdad, es necesario políticas reales de redistribución de la riqueza que transformen el modelo de acumulación desigual heredado del neoliberalismo. El déficit de los gobiernos progresistas en lo que respecta a la falta de cambios estructurales en nuestras respectivas economías nacionales, deviene del hecho de que combinaron su radicalidad discursiva con la convivencia junto al poder de las élites económicas que históricamente han dominado nuestros países. Esto implicó que la crisis hegemónica neoliberal derivase en un modelo posneoliberal carente de proyecto anticapitalista. Volviendo al caso ecuatoriano, no veo en la candidatura presidencial oficialista ni en la candidatura aglutinadora de las izquierdas disidentes al correísmo ninguna reflexión al respecto. No encuentro ni en uno ni en otro programa la capacidad de imaginar el fin de la depredación capitalista.

En Ecuador, Correa tuvo desgastes por cuenta del fracaso de la iniciativa Yasuní-ITT. En Bolivia, el presidente Evo Morales tuvo problemas por causa del proyecto de la carretera en el Parque Tipnis. ¿Cómo ve la relación entre esos gobiernos y los movimientos sociales e indígenas de eses países?

El problema de fondo entre los llamados gobiernos progresistas y los movimientos sociales es que en estos países ha registrado un aumento de la represión contra la protesta social. Tanto en Ecuador como en Bolivia hemos visto como se han adoptado medidas administrativas en contra de las organizaciones sociales que han explicitado su rechazo al modelo extractivista, a la par que se han aplicado lógicas de criminalización a la protesta social sobre líderes comunitarios, organizaciones de mujeres y comunidades indígenas en resistencia. Estos hechos son un reflejo de la involución de estos procesos políticos, donde a la disidencia social se le ha acusado de rebelión, sabotaje e incluso de terrorismo. Asistimos a nivel planetario a la implementación de una nueva tecnología de poder por parte de los Estados, y para ello se necesita poner en marcha medidas de disciplinamiento que normalicen a la sociedad, descomponga a sus individuos, fijando procedimientos de adiestramiento progresivo y control permanente sobre la sociedad civil. Lo sorprendente en el caso de los países progresistas, es que dichas políticas se asuman con naturalidad por parte de gobiernos que dicen hablar en nombre de sus pueblos y movimientos sociales.

El desarrollo económico de América Latina en los años recientes fue en gran parte impulsado por la exportación de commodities. ¿Cuáles son los impactos de ese modelo extractivista para los países del continente? 

Durante esta última década y media el modelo de desarrollo latinoamericano ha agudizado su dependiente inserción internacional como proveedores de materias primas. Esto ha implicado una mayor vulnerabilidad de estas economías, subordinándolas a las fluctuaciones erráticas de los mercados globales. Más allá de esto, el impacto ambiental es incuestionable en el ámbito de la deforestación, la contaminación y el deterioro de la salud pública en los territorios afectados; y de igual manera también lo es el impacto en lo político, motivo por lo cual no es casualidad que en todos los países suramericanos se hayan identificado casos de corrupción vinculados a la gestión de sectores estratégicos y empresas extractivas. Junto a lo anterior viene de la mano un proceso de aceleración de lógicas vinculadas a la acumulación por desposesión, produciendo despojo, transformación violenta de las formas tradicionales de vida en las comunidades directamente afectadas, desplazamiento de sectores campesinos e indígenas de sus territorios históricos, militarización, criminalización de la protesta social, violencia estatal y paraestatal. Los defensores del extractivismo entienden este modelo como un mecanismo por el cual capitalizar al Estado, para posteriormente implementar políticas destinadas a la transformación de la matriz productiva e impulsar el desarrollo endógeno en sus respectivos países. Sin embargo, estos procesos extractivistas se caracterizan por ser economías de enclave, no generan actividades económicas nuevas a través del encadenamiento productivo ni se integran en el mercado laboral, orientando la explotación de recursos naturales hacia las necesidades del mercado global. En todo caso, no deja de causar sonrojo que el planteamiento estratégico de los gobiernos latinoamericanos para superar el extractivismo esté basado en implementar cada vez más extractivismo.

¿Cree usted que es posible revertir 500 años de colonialismo y extractivismo en América Latina? ¿Existe alguna alternativa a este modelo?

Como ya indiqué anteriormente, la superación del modelo primario exportador en el subcontinente basa su urgencia en cuestiones de índole económicas, políticas, ambientales e incluso de salud democrática. Para ello hemos de superar el falso dilema “extractivismo o pobreza”, implementado por los gobiernos latinoamericanos y especialmente por los que se abanderan como progresistas. Para ello es necesario generar una serie de medidas que serían complejas de desarrollar en su integridad durante esta entrevista, pero sobre las cuales voy a apuntar algunas ideas generales ya esbozadas por otros autores: frente a la reprimarización de las economías latinoamericanas es urgente poner en marcha medidas eficaces enfocadas a la diversificación de la producción nacional e incorporar el valor interno del retorno; el proceso de integración regional, hoy paralizado, debe ser la base para la búsqueda de complementariedades económicas entre los países de la región, reduciendo dependencia respecto a los mercados del norte; los países latinoamericanos deben buscar un nuevo perfil de especialización que les permita otra forma de inserción en el mercado global; es necesario generar políticas económicas eficientes en el ámbito del encadenamiento productivo, fiscal y de la demanda; y por último debemos, bajo un criterio de sostenibilidad planetaria, armonizar economía y sociedad con la naturaleza bajo los principios del Buen Vivir, pasando del antropocentrismo al biopluralismo. Estamos obligados, por el bien común y la supervivencia planetaria, a cambiar el actual paradigma civilizatorio.

¿En el marco de ese modelo económico extractivista, cómo ve usted la relación de América Latina con China? ¿Ud. diría que la economía latinoamericana depende de las materias primas que exporta para China?

Los principales beneficiarios del auge del comercio entre China y América Latina han sido los exportadores de materias primas. Fíjate que durante el período comprendido entre 2001 y 2010 las exportaciones de productos mineros y combustibles fósiles a China crecieron a un ritmo del 16% anual. Si quitas a México, las cinco principales exportaciones de bienes primarios de todos los países de la región representan como mínimo el 80% del valor total de las exportaciones a China, siendo las materias primas su eje motriz. Esto hizo que la región sufriese una fuerte reprimarización de sus economías. Sin embargo, en la actualidad China está atravesando por un programa de reajuste de su modelo de desarrollo hacia algo que pretende ser más sostenible en el tiempo. Esto implicará un menor dinamismo en su crecimiento económico y una mayor dependencia de su consumo interno, junto al impulso de industrias con mayor valor agregado y servicios. Volviendo a la lo expresado en la pregunta anterior, si América Latina, pese a la asimetría existentes en su relación comercial con China, quiere seguir siendo competitiva ante este país, esta obligada a diversificar y modernizar su estructura productiva. Según proyecciones de la CEPAL enmarcadas en el ámbito de las reformas que en la actualidad están teniendo lugar en China, para el 2030 el crecimiento promedio de las exportaciones latinoamericanas de metales y minerales hacia este país podría caer del 16% en la década anterior al 4% y los mismos indicadores de reducción se prevén en el caso de los combustibles. Sin embargo, China tendrá el año 2030 una cifra superior a 1.400 millones de habitantes. Mientras la población china equivale al 19% de la población global, el país tan solo dispone de un 7% de tierra cultivable y el 6% de las reservas hídricas mundiales. En base a la recomposición del consumo que se está dando en China (desciende la demanda de arroz y trigo mientras aumenta el consumo de azúcar, carne de ave y ovino, pescado, aceites vegetales, frutas y verduras, leche y carne de ternera), América Latina debería estar diseñando políticas proactivas de desarrollo productivo en esos sectores, potenciando la asociatividad de los pequeños productores y cooperativas para que tengan un rol destacado en la exportación de productos agropecuarios, con un modelo de producción respetuoso con el entorno natural y con políticas de dignificación del empleo y salarios. Por poner tan solo otro ejemplo, en el caso del turismo, donde China se ha convertido en un gran mercado exportador de visitantes al extranjero, la situación de América Latina también continúa siendo marginal sin que estos gobiernos tengan hasta el momento capacidad de alterar sustancialmente esta realidad. Los gastos de los turistas chinos en el exterior fueron en el año 2015 de 215.000 millones de dólares, un 53% más que el año anterior. Sin embargo, de estos más de 120 millones de embarques internacionales protagonizados por la población china, tan sólo el 0,7% llega a América Latina, hospedándose además en instalaciones cuya propiedad es de grandes holdings hoteleros internacionales, en lugar de potenciarse el turismo comunitario, la economía social y solidaria, así como a las economías de los habitantes de las localidades afectadas.

¿Cómo ve las perspectivas económicas para América Latina? Las proyecciones del FMI y del Banco Mundial indican un bajo crecimiento en 2017.

Como ya demostró Tomas Piketty, desde 1700 hasta 2012 la economía mundial creció en promedio 1,6% anual, mientras la tasa de retorno del capital estuvo entre el 4 y 5%, lo que implica que la riqueza global terminó en muy pocas manos y en el caso de América Latina estos indicadores han sido aún de mayor concentración. A pesar de la reducción de los indicadores de pobreza a los que hemos asistido durante los últimos años en la región, fruto de no haberse intervenido sobre los pilares estructurales de la desigualdad, en la América Latina de hoy el 10% más rico de la población concentra en la actualidad el 71% de la riqueza regional. El propio Banco Mundial goza de informes en los cuales se indica que si esta tendencia continúa, en menos de diez años, el 1% mas rico de la región tendrá más riqueza que el 99% restante. Desde esta perspectiva, el problema no es tanto el indicador de crecimiento pronosticado por las instituciones de Bretton Woods, sino como es repartida dicha riqueza en nuestra región. Es un hecho que las ganancias derivadas del auge del precio de los commodities durante los años anteriores ya se desvanecieron y que el crecimiento de la deuda externa vuelve a ser una realidad inquietante sin que por eso se estén aplicando políticas fiscales claramente progresivas que busquen modelos comprometidos con la equidad social. Lo anterior no quita para reconocer que estamos ante la primera recesión bianual en más de tres décadas en la región, lo que implica también el riesgo de que parte de los sectores que se incorporaron a las clases medias en estos últimos años puedan revertir su condición en un futuro inmediato. Según la CEPAL, ya en 2015 se incrementó en siete millones de personas el número de pobres en América Latina, lo que representa un retroceso sobre los indicadores de disminución de la pobreza obtenidos durante el período inmediatamente anterior. Pero hablemos claro, a pesar de lo explicitado anteriormente los gobiernos de América Latina y entre ellos también los de perfil progresista, siguen otorgando un trato favorable a las compañías multinacionales en materia fiscal. Un reciente estudio realizado por Oxfam revela que la carga impositiva para las empresas nacionales latinoamericanas equivale al doble de la carga efectiva soportada por las compañías transnacionales, lo cual no puede hacernos sentir más que vergüenza en una región que es considerada como la más desigual del planeta.

¿Cuáles son las perspectivas para América Latina en el gobierno Trump, y para México en especial? 

Ni en su campaña electoral ni en su discurso de investidura Donald Trump le ha dado mayor importancia a América Latina. Más allá de lo especulativo, en lo que concierne al subcontinente tan solo existen dos anuncios claros: la ratificada propuesta de ampliar el muro ya existente en la frontera sur estadounidense y la renegociación del Tratado de Comercio de América del Norte (TLCAN) que tendría un impacto sobre México, así como la voluntad de “dar marcha atrás” a las medidas de normalización de las relaciones diplomáticas con Cuba impulsadas por la administración Obama. Comenzando por México, cabe indicar que los problemas de su economía nacional devienen de antes, y son el fruto de una divisa que se ha devaluado más de un 50% en los últimos dos años, una inflación al alza por los incrementos de la gasolina y la energía eléctrica, una deuda pública que alcanza ya el 48% del PIB y una serie de periódicos recortes del gasto público que han mermado la capacidad adquisitiva de su población. Más allá de lo anterior, el “efecto Trump” está generando que los cinco sectores que concentran el 60% del PIB mexicano (manufactura, comercio, sectores inmobiliarios, construcción y minería) estén registrando una importante desaceleración respecto al año anterior. La inestabilidad económica que atraviesa el país está provocando fuga de capitales, sus exportaciones a los Estados Unidos tienen el riesgo de sufrir un gravamen del 35% y la industria maquiladora que se ubica en la frontera podría incluso llegar a desaparecer. Parte de lo que sucede hoy en México es la consecuencia de que el país ha sido incapaz de diversificar sus exportaciones, hecho que determina que el 80% de estas tengan como destino los Estados Unidos. Entiendo que en la actual coyuntura, el gobierno mexicano está obligado a modificar esta realidad y reposicionar con urgencia su mirada sobre el mercado asiático. A pesar de la importancia adquirida por China en la región, las ventas de productos mexicanos a este país no sumaron más del 1,5% del total de sus exportaciones durante el pasado año. Respecto a Cuba, los beneficios económicos que ha traído para la isla su normalización de relaciones diplomáticas con Estados Unidos son evidentes y ahora podrían estar también en riesgo. En un momento en el que las economías de países solidarios con el pueblo cubano, como es el caso de Venezuela, están en deterioro, Cuba alcanzó el pasado año la cifra récord de cuatro millones de turistas. Esto implica un crecimiento del 13% del sector turístico cubano respecto al año anterior (segunda fuente de ingresos del país) y en ello tiene mucho que ver que el número de visitantes estadounidenses se haya incrementado en un 80%.

¿Cómo los eventuales cambios geopolíticos generados por la elección de Trump pueden impactar América Latina? ¿Si se concreta un escenario de mayor proximidad entre Estados Unidos y Rusia, qué significaría eso para nuestro continente?

Las lógicas proteccionistas que fueron el eje fundamental del discurso de campaña del ya hoy presidente Donald Trump, presuponen un escenario en el cual el acceso de los productos de exportación latinoamericanos hacia el mercado estadounidense posiblemente decrezca de forma notable. Lo anterior implicará una profundización aún mayor de las relaciones comerciales, económicas y militares que ya se vienen estableciendo entre América Latina y la zona Asia – Pacífico. No creo que la cosa vaya a más, dando que considero que la centralidad geopolítica que en algún momento llegó a tener América Latina se ha desplazado en los últimos años a otras zonas del planeta. Respecto a su segunda pregunta, considero que el sorprendente nuevo marco de relaciones entre Estados Unidos y Rusia no generará tampoco grandes cambios en nuestra región. El interés principal de Rusia, verdadero triunfador en las elecciones estadounidenses, está en las zonas geográficas que corresponde a las repúblicas que antaño formaron parte de la extinta Unión Soviética, en las rutas gasíferas del sur por donde se transporta el gas hacia Europa, en establecer una red de alianzas con las repúblicas centroasiáticas, en estrechar sus lazos militares y comerciales con China, y en erosionar la capacidad operativa de la OTAN. Como potencia mundial que es, Rusia no ignora a América Latina, pero no veo que en estos momentos forme parte de sus prioridades geopolíticas.

João Flores da Cunha

Decio Machado

Artículo original en portugués:

O cenário político e econômico e os rumos da América Latina, publicado el 30 de enero de 2017.

Traducido por Rebelión

  • Posted in Español
  • Comments Off on “El 10% más rico concentra el 71% de la riqueza regional en América Latina”
Drapeau sur carte d'Europe

Crisis of EU Banking, Break-Up of the European Union (EU)? ECB Head Mario Draghi

By Graham Vanbergen, January 31 2017

Even the creator of the Euro professor Otmar Issing has predicted that Brussels’ dream of a European superstate will finally be buried amongst the rubble of the crumbling single currency he designed accusing eurocrats and German leader Angela Merkel, of “betraying the principles of the euro and demonstrating scandalous incompetence over its management” – pointing a finger directly at Mario Draghi’s failing monetary policy.

1049904821

“Syria’s Draft Constitution” Prepared by Moscow, Without the Approval of Damascus?

By Global Research News, February 01 2017

We bring to the consideration of our readers The Draft of Syria’s New Constitution prepared by Moscow. It was presented by Russia’s Foreign Minister in Astana to  opposition leaders who rejected it. What remains unclear is how this initiative emerged and what mechanisms of consultation prevailed between Moscow and Damascus. It is highly unlikely that the Syrian government would accept this initiative.

USA-China-Clash

Guess Who’s Moving Factories to America to Lower Costs… China Seeks A “Made in America” Label

By WhoWhatWhy, February 01 2017

When Donald Trump speaks about the barriers that US companies face, he often mentions a high corporate tax rate and the ability of other countries to produce more cheaply. Ironically, China, which most often draws Trump’s ire for doing so, is now facing many of the same problems.

quebec canada-mosque-shooting

The New World Order Hits Quebec City. Islamophobia, An Instrument of America’s Military Agenda

By Robin Philpot, February 01 2017

Since Alexandre Bissonnette, age 27, shot and killed six people during prayers at the Grande mosquée de Québec, theories have abounded to explain how this came to happen. Fingers are pointed at Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen, Quebec City’s trash radios, the Quebec independence movement or Quebec nationalism (which is not the same thing), Islamophobia, and the ill-fated Quebec Charter of values, to name just a few of the culprits identified. Though these might be factors, the theories behind them are either simplistic or insufficient or both.

Eva Bartlett

What Really is Going on in Syria? Eva Bartlett’s in Winnipeg, Regina February 2, 3

By Global Research News, February 01 2017

Independent journalist Eva Bartlett is from Fergus, Ontario and has visited Syria and covered the war there on six separate occasions since 2014, including two months in summer 2016 and one month at the end of 2016. She writes for and speaks on different media outlets but always maintains her blog, In Gaza, which she started some years ago while living for a period of three years in Gaza. This talk is intended to help clear up any confusion about what actually transpired during the liberation of Aleppo, in particular, and during the past five years in Syria, in general.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Selected Articles: Break-Up of the European Union?, “Syria’s Draft Constitution”, China Moving Factories to US

Donald Trump Has a Goldman Sachs Problem: Derivatives

February 1st, 2017 by Pam Martens

In the midst of being skewered across media outlets yesterday for his chaotic rollout of an Executive Order that appeared to target Muslims, including those legally living in the U.S. as businessmen, doctors, university faculty and students — who were initially denied reentry after travel abroad — President Donald Trump tried desperately to change the subject. Following a plunge of over 200 points in the Dow Jones Industrial Average yesterday, Trump pivoted to something he thought would please his financial backers on Wall Street.

He called the Dodd-Frank financial reform legislation passed in 2010 by the Obama administration a “disaster” and promised to “do a big number” on it soon. The Dow closed down 122 points — now wary of Trump’s fire-ready-aim leadership on complex matters.

The legitimate fear across Wall Street right now is that Trump’s zero-vetting approach to rule-by-Executive-Order could leave Wall Street in the same chaotic state as the airports experienced from his ham-fisted approach to immigration.

But it’s not just Trump that Wall Street needs to fear: it’s Goldman Sachs as well. Trump has stuffed his administration with so many Goldman Sachs progeny that his administration is now regularly referred to as Government Sachs.

Goldman Sachs has a unique vested interest in repealing chunks of Dodd-Frank while making sure that the Glass-Steagall Act is not reinstated. That’s because when it comes to derivatives, Goldman Sachs is keeping a lot of secrets.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) is the regulator of national banks. Each quarter it publishes a report on the derivative holdings of the biggest Wall Street banks and their holding companies. Its most recent report shows that as of September 30, 2016 Goldman Sachs Bank USA (a taxpayer-backstopped, FDIC insured bank where it holds its derivatives) had “credit exposure to risk-based capital” of 433 percent. That figure was more than double that of JPMorgan Chase (216 percent) and six times that of Bank of America (68 percent).

There’s another big problem with Goldman Sachs: it has a miniscule asset base compared to the big guns on Wall Street but it’s attempting to play in the big leagues in terms of derivatives. As the chart above shows, Goldman Sachs is the third largest holder of derivatives on Wall Street with $45.48 trillion in notionals (face amount). (As of 2015, the entire GDP of the United States was only $18 trillion.) But Goldman only has $880 billion in assets. That ratio compares to JPMorgan Chase with $2.5 trillion in assets and $50.6 trillion in derivatives and Citigroup with $1.8 trillion in assets and $51.78 trillion in derivatives.

Read complete article on Wall Street on Parade

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Donald Trump Has a Goldman Sachs Problem: Derivatives

When Donald Trump speaks about the barriers that US companies face, he often mentions a high corporate tax rate and the ability of other countries to produce more cheaply. Ironically, China, which most often draws Trump’s ire for doing so, is now facing many of the same problems.

In fact, in one case that attracted a lot of attention in China, an executive said it is more profitable for his company to produce goods in the US than domestically.

The label “Made in China” has long been associated with bulk goods manufactured cheaply in Asia. But even as Trump rails about China — while his own companies still produce products there — China’s dominant role as the “world’s factory” is already eroding.

Made in China

This is not only because of fierce competition from countries with even lower production costs, but because its companies are facing structural problems which are a drag on the domestic manufacturing sector.

Taxes on manufacturing, for example, can be up to 35% higher in China than in the US, Cho Tak Wong, founder and chairman of China’s largest auto glass manufacturer Fuyao Glass, told the Chinese business publication Yicai in December.

The interview attracted a lot of attention in China, with many business leaders echoing his sentiments. In particular, they complained about the burden of taxation and brought up other cost issues that are making the lives of Chinese manufacturers harder.

Cho noted that all of these reasons now make it more profitable for his company to produce goods in the US instead of manufacturing them in China, and exporting them. And he has put his money where his mouth is.

Having invested about $750 million in the US since 2014, including launching two factories in Illinois and Ohio, Fuyao Glass plans to open a third American plant in Michigan this year, bringing its investment in the US to a total of $1 billion, Reuters reported.

Speaking of other costs of his US factories, Cho said in the video, “land is basically free, the price of electricity is half of that in China, and the natural gas price is only one-fifth.”

For products sold in the US, Cho estimated that the profit is 10% higher by manufacturing there instead of exporting the same goods from China. He listed taxes, utilities and tariffs as factors contributing to his calculation.

Steve Chabot, Cho Tak Wong

Ohio Rep. Steve Chabot meeting with chairman of Fuyao Glass chairman, Cho Tak Wong. Photo credit: US House of Representatives

The Pain of Taxes

Cho attributed the higher taxes to China’s value-added tax (VAT) system. While the US only imposes taxes on a company’s income, the Chinese government collects taxes on income as well as each phase of the products’ circulation in the market, from buying to processing to reselling. For industrial manufacturers who turn raw materials into finished goods, the VAT is usually 17% of the value added.

To counter Cho’s complaints, the Chinese government has pointed out that it launched a tax reform scheme beginning in 2011. Its purpose is to gradually cancel the “business tax” on revenues. These new policies have cost the government about $17 billion in lost taxes from the manufacturing industry between May and November of last year, said Xiao Jie, the Minister of Finance, in a press conference.

Only about 1.5% of the taxpayers saw an actual increase in taxes under the new policies, Xiao added.

However, as the cooling economy makes it harder to generate profits, a manufacturer’s willingness to tolerate these taxes is reduced, and the extent of the tax cut does not make up for the lower profit, Chinese economist Ba Haiying told WhoWhatWhy.

“Businesses’ capacity to afford taxes is being weakened by oversupply, higher labor costs, lower added value and thinner profits in the market, as well as the hit of technology innovations like robots in the labor-intensive manufacturing industry,” said Ba Haiying, partner at Beijing-based ZhongHui Certified Tax Agents Company.

The modest tax reform implemented by the Chinese government stands in stark contrast to the plans offered by Trump on the campaign trail and the Republican-led House. The new president proposed to cut the corporate tax rate to 15% while some House Republicans want to see it reduced even more.

“Lowering our effective marginal corporate tax rate from its current value of 30%, if not higher, to 0% — as proposed in the House tax plan, will make the US the most tax-attractive developed country in which to invest,” Laurence Kotlikoff, an economics professor at Boston University, told WhoWhatWhy.

Fuyao Glass America

Fuyao Glass America Photo credit: FUYAO USA

Facing the Risk of a US-China Trade War

The possibility of more restrictions on the US-China trade is definitely wracking the nerves of Chinese manufacturers.

Part of what makes it more profitable to produce in the US for Fuyao Glass and other manufacturers is incentives offered by local governments.

In Ohio, for example, the company received a package of benefits that was worth $30 million and offset the $15 million it spent to purchase the 1.6 million-square foot facility in Ohio, and another $15 million in construction costs, Cho said in an interview with Xinhua.

In return, the factories added about 1,700 manufacturing jobs in the US, according to Fuyao Glass’ website.

It must be noted, however, that Fuyao Glass could not have built a facility in the US without the approval of the Chinese regulators, including the Ministry of Commerce and the National Development and Reform Commission. Chinese leaders see a benefit in moving some production plants out of the country, which is in stark contrast to Trump’s protectionist “America First” approach.

“The Chinese government’s policies support some manufacturers, like Fuyao, to increase their competitiveness by better collaborating with foreign players [such as General Motors in this case],” Ba said. General Motors had encouraged Fuyao Glass to move some production facilities to the US in order to lower costs.

This is one example of a Chinese company bringing jobs to the US. However, it is unlikely to dissuade Trump from taking a tough line against China, even though economists say that the availability of cheaper labor elsewhere is not that critical in explaining the decrease of manufacturing jobs in the US.

As in other countries, the largest problem is the number of jobs deprived because of technological improvements, Michael Knoll, co-director of the University of Pennsylvania’s Center for Tax Law and Policy, told WhoWhatWhy.

Studies have found that US manufacturing lost 5.6 million jobs between 2000 and 2010, but only 13% of the loss resulted from international trade, while 85% was attributable to automation, according to the Financial Times.

These facts and China’s investments in the US might not prevent Trump, who has accused China of taking American jobs and manipulating its currency, from starting a trade war between the world’s two biggest economies. While that may have some short-term benefits for the US, it would likely harm both countries in the end.

“I think President Trump’s apparent decision to start a trade war with China and accuse it of currency manipulation is an enormous mistake made by someone with no training in economics,” said Kotlikoff from Boston University.

  • Posted in Uncategorized
  • Comments Off on Guess Who’s Moving Factories to America to Lower Costs… China Seeks A “Made in America” Label

When Donald Trump speaks about the barriers that US companies face, he often mentions a high corporate tax rate and the ability of other countries to produce more cheaply. Ironically, China, which most often draws Trump’s ire for doing so, is now facing many of the same problems.

In fact, in one case that attracted a lot of attention in China, an executive said it is more profitable for his company to produce goods in the US than domestically.

The label “Made in China” has long been associated with bulk goods manufactured cheaply in Asia. But even as Trump rails about China — while his own companies still produce products there — China’s dominant role as the “world’s factory” is already eroding.

Made in China

This is not only because of fierce competition from countries with even lower production costs, but because its companies are facing structural problems which are a drag on the domestic manufacturing sector.

Taxes on manufacturing, for example, can be up to 35% higher in China than in the US, Cho Tak Wong, founder and chairman of China’s largest auto glass manufacturer Fuyao Glass, told the Chinese business publication Yicai in December.

The interview attracted a lot of attention in China, with many business leaders echoing his sentiments. In particular, they complained about the burden of taxation and brought up other cost issues that are making the lives of Chinese manufacturers harder.

Cho noted that all of these reasons now make it more profitable for his company to produce goods in the US instead of manufacturing them in China, and exporting them. And he has put his money where his mouth is.

Having invested about $750 million in the US since 2014, including launching two factories in Illinois and Ohio, Fuyao Glass plans to open a third American plant in Michigan this year, bringing its investment in the US to a total of $1 billion, Reuters reported.

Speaking of other costs of his US factories, Cho said in the video, “land is basically free, the price of electricity is half of that in China, and the natural gas price is only one-fifth.”

For products sold in the US, Cho estimated that the profit is 10% higher by manufacturing there instead of exporting the same goods from China. He listed taxes, utilities and tariffs as factors contributing to his calculation.

Steve Chabot, Cho Tak Wong

Ohio Rep. Steve Chabot meeting with chairman of Fuyao Glass chairman, Cho Tak Wong. Photo credit: US House of Representatives

The Pain of Taxes

Cho attributed the higher taxes to China’s value-added tax (VAT) system. While the US only imposes taxes on a company’s income, the Chinese government collects taxes on income as well as each phase of the products’ circulation in the market, from buying to processing to reselling. For industrial manufacturers who turn raw materials into finished goods, the VAT is usually 17% of the value added.

To counter Cho’s complaints, the Chinese government has pointed out that it launched a tax reform scheme beginning in 2011. Its purpose is to gradually cancel the “business tax” on revenues. These new policies have cost the government about $17 billion in lost taxes from the manufacturing industry between May and November of last year, said Xiao Jie, the Minister of Finance, in a press conference.

Only about 1.5% of the taxpayers saw an actual increase in taxes under the new policies, Xiao added.

However, as the cooling economy makes it harder to generate profits, a manufacturer’s willingness to tolerate these taxes is reduced, and the extent of the tax cut does not make up for the lower profit, Chinese economist Ba Haiying told WhoWhatWhy.

“Businesses’ capacity to afford taxes is being weakened by oversupply, higher labor costs, lower added value and thinner profits in the market, as well as the hit of technology innovations like robots in the labor-intensive manufacturing industry,” said Ba Haiying, partner at Beijing-based ZhongHui Certified Tax Agents Company.

The modest tax reform implemented by the Chinese government stands in stark contrast to the plans offered by Trump on the campaign trail and the Republican-led House. The new president proposed to cut the corporate tax rate to 15% while some House Republicans want to see it reduced even more.

“Lowering our effective marginal corporate tax rate from its current value of 30%, if not higher, to 0% — as proposed in the House tax plan, will make the US the most tax-attractive developed country in which to invest,” Laurence Kotlikoff, an economics professor at Boston University, told WhoWhatWhy.

Fuyao Glass America

Fuyao Glass America Photo credit: FUYAO USA

Facing the Risk of a US-China Trade War

The possibility of more restrictions on the US-China trade is definitely wracking the nerves of Chinese manufacturers.

Part of what makes it more profitable to produce in the US for Fuyao Glass and other manufacturers is incentives offered by local governments.

In Ohio, for example, the company received a package of benefits that was worth $30 million and offset the $15 million it spent to purchase the 1.6 million-square foot facility in Ohio, and another $15 million in construction costs, Cho said in an interview with Xinhua.

In return, the factories added about 1,700 manufacturing jobs in the US, according to Fuyao Glass’ website.

It must be noted, however, that Fuyao Glass could not have built a facility in the US without the approval of the Chinese regulators, including the Ministry of Commerce and the National Development and Reform Commission. Chinese leaders see a benefit in moving some production plants out of the country, which is in stark contrast to Trump’s protectionist “America First” approach.

“The Chinese government’s policies support some manufacturers, like Fuyao, to increase their competitiveness by better collaborating with foreign players [such as General Motors in this case],” Ba said. General Motors had encouraged Fuyao Glass to move some production facilities to the US in order to lower costs.

This is one example of a Chinese company bringing jobs to the US. However, it is unlikely to dissuade Trump from taking a tough line against China, even though economists say that the availability of cheaper labor elsewhere is not that critical in explaining the decrease of manufacturing jobs in the US.

As in other countries, the largest problem is the number of jobs deprived because of technological improvements, Michael Knoll, co-director of the University of Pennsylvania’s Center for Tax Law and Policy, told WhoWhatWhy.

Studies have found that US manufacturing lost 5.6 million jobs between 2000 and 2010, but only 13% of the loss resulted from international trade, while 85% was attributable to automation, according to the Financial Times.

These facts and China’s investments in the US might not prevent Trump, who has accused China of taking American jobs and manipulating its currency, from starting a trade war between the world’s two biggest economies. While that may have some short-term benefits for the US, it would likely harm both countries in the end.

“I think President Trump’s apparent decision to start a trade war with China and accuse it of currency manipulation is an enormous mistake made by someone with no training in economics,” said Kotlikoff from Boston University.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Guess Who’s Moving Factories to America to Lower Costs… China Seeks A “Made in America” Label

[ The International Working Group on Video Surveillance (IWGVS) published an open letter to the Mayor of London Sadiq Kahn on 27th January 2017 [0], asking him to reverse a decision of his predecessor Boris Johnson.

This article lays out the back story to that letter. ]

On 27th January 2015, then Mayor of London signed an order increasing the data collection capability of the Metropolitan Police Service’s (MPS) number plate camera network by 300%. He achieved this without adding any cameras.

The story of how Johnson was able to sign away the liberties of millions of drivers in London illustrates the rise of a new administrative despotism, and a contempt for individual freedoms and values once cherished.

For the beginnings of this current wave of administrative despotism please bear with me for a few short paragraphs as we travel back to the latter part of the nineteenth century.

It was then that government began to increase its areas of concern, shifting from a non-interventionist attitude regarding many domestic affairs to the current position where there are few areas of public and even personal life in which they have no concern at all [1].

Whilst enjoying the increased reach of government, those in power still felt hampered by the normal legislative process and so looked for sneaky ways to circumvent it.

In 1896, John Theodore Dodd, a councillor and Poor Law guardian, wrote about the “almost insuperable” task of obtaining an Act of Parliament for the Poor Law reforms he wanted. He saw that reform by administrative processes was much swifter and was protected from the views of those who didn’t agree, whom he dubbed “the obstructive minority” [2].

Image by By Mariordo (Mario Roberto Duran Ortiz) (Own work)
[CC BY-SA 3.0], via Wikimedia Commons

Administrative Lawlessness

In 1929, further to inspiring a parliamentary committee to investigate Ministers’ Powers, then Lord Chief Justice, Lord Hewart coined the phrase “Administrative Lawlessness” to describe a worrying trend in English politics – the exercise of arbitrary power, where decisions are made in the shadows, not based on evidence and without proper scrutiny. Hewart wrote [3]:

“Arbitrary power is certain in the long run to become despotism, and there is danger, if the so-called method of administrative “law”, which is essentially lawlessness, is greatly extended, of the loss of those hardly won liberties which it has taken centuries to establish.”

In 2017 Hewart’s language may seem antiquated but in our not so distant past words like “liberty”, “constitution” and “freedoms” were in common usage. Liberty was at the heart of the constitution, that is to say that the importance of liberty to the way of life in England went before the laws and the laws were built upon that foundation.

Now the constitution is considered merely a dry academic topic and the spirit of liberty is all but forgotten. Amidst this historic amnesia the surveillance state is able to flourish and a renewed assault on administrative processes is going unnoticed.

Johnson’s part-work manifesto

Back to the Mayor’s story. In 2012, Johnson published a multi-volume part-work manifesto. Issued over several weeks this collection contained gripping editions such as ‘Investing in Transport’, ‘Value from the Olympics’ and many more. Hidden deep within the one on crime [4], Johnson stated he would ensure that Automatic Number Plate Recognition (ANPR) cameras would be used across London to “help identify and track down the vehicles of criminals”. This, he said, he would do by getting the police and Transport for London (TfL) to share their high tech tracking toys, seeing as TfL already had a load of congestion charge and low-emission zone cameras which were practically standing idle whilst criminals drove around the capital with impunity – or words to that effect.

The problem with part-works, as we all know, is that after the first edition with the free gift on the front it’s difficult to keep up the enthusiasm and in the case of Johnson’s manifesto there wasn’t even a free gift. So alas not much attention was paid to the prose style of the ANPR section on page 14 of the crime edition, nor for that matter what it actually meant for the freedoms of the people of London.

When Johnson was re-elected in May 2012 he did get a free gift, the job of Police and Crime Commissioner for London which now comes as an added extra to the mayoral job. Johnson palmed the job off immediately (via delegation of powers) to his deputy, Stephen Greenhalgh.

In the months after Johnson’s re-election it seemed that the TfL/MPS camera sharing idea had been forgotten. But deep within London’s back offices administrators, police and transporty people were punching keys on their keyboards, sending emails, having meetings in rooms and generally getting things done, in private, away from the harsh glare of the public eye.

In August 2013, Greenhalgh signed an order [5] requesting a quarter of a million pounds to conduct a “consultation” exercise (and to asses the signage required to facilitate ANPR camera sharing between TfL and MPS – not to pre-empt the consultation’s outcome or anything).

Poll, Poll

Greenhalgh’s “consultation” was launched in February 2014 on the ‘Talk London’ website [6], which allowed registered users to take part in an exhaustive four question survey containing gems like:

“TfL have around 1400 cameras on major roads in London, collecting vehicle number plate data which is currently used to enforce congestion and low emission zone charges.[…] Do you think the police should or should not have access to data collected by these cameras to help them tackle crime?”

You might notice the question doesn’t state that most of the data collected will be of vehicles in no way whatsoever connected with crime, as the police use ANPR cameras to capture the details of every passing car, storing this and journey details in a national database for at least two years [7]. But most people would know that, no? Well, doctoral research undertaken by the University of Huddersfield in collaboration with West Yorkshire Police [8] found that:

“although the majority of people indicate awareness of ANPR (i.e. 66%), they seem to have inadequate understanding of the aims and consequences of ANPR surveillance to make reasonable judgements about ANPR’s effectiveness in tackling crime.”

The TfL/MPS camera sharing survey was completed by 2,315 people, almost 8 out of 10 of whom, we are told, agreed definitely or probably with the policy. That is to say 1,805.7 people. The population of London is over 8 million but there are, we are told, 1.3 million drivers who will be affected by the policy. So we’re talking about approximately 0.15% of affected drivers who support the policy.

That might not look very impressive. But it doesn’t include the 4,000 people who took part in further online surveys in February/March 2014, plus the consultation report also added some polling from 2013 (before the consultation) to help boost the number surveyed to a more respectable 8,315. Ultimately the best they can do is a total figure surveyed equivalent to 0.69% of the drivers affected by the policy – surely a quorum in anyone’s book.

It certainly is in Johnson’s book. In response to a Mayor’s Question in 2015 [9] he said:

“In 2014, I carried out an extensive and wide-ranging public consultation with Londoners around my manifesto pledge to direct TfL to share access to ANPR cameras with the MPS for crime fighting.”

Interestingly, the polling company who analysed the survey data found that [10]:

“very few thought that the police didn’t already have full or partial access to TfL’s ANPR data (3% in September 2013 and 4% in February 2014).”

So to summarise, of the 0.001% of Londoners surveyed, almost 8 out of 10 people who mostly thought the police already had access to TfL’s ANPR cameras were in favour of a policy that would allow their somewhat inaccurate view of reality to become more accurate. That’s the headline figure for the consultation report, surely.

The mayoral decision

Following the consultation there was another long period of what looked like nothing happening until Johnson quietly signed the Mayoral Decision [11] enacting the ANPR sharing policy in January 2015.

This Johnson did using powers under section 30 of the Greater London Authority (GLA) Act 1999, which allows the Authority to “do anything which its considers will further any one of its principal purposes”. He picked the purpose “promoting social development in Greater London”.

One can describe Johnson’s decision as quasi-judicial (as defined by the 1929 committee referenced above) in that it had some of the attributes of a judicial decision, but not all, and it ended in an exercise of discretion (by Johnson).

In 1945 an Oxford academic pre-empted this part of my article when he wrote [12]:

“It may be asked why, if a quasi-judicial process ends only in an exercise of discretion, it is worth while insisting on the strict presentation of rival claims and the proper ascertainment of evidence! The answer is that a discretion which is demonstrably groundless, or exercised in ignorance or at random, is not, in the eyes of the law, discretion at all, but mere caprice.”

The desire to present administrative decisions as more than “mere caprice” can be seen in the so-called “consultations” and the contrived justifications administrators use to explain their actions.

Disturbingly, the police now act as though they too are administrators – through their central role in decision making and the equally contrived justifications they give for their actions. Emails released under the Freedom of Information Act (FOI) reveal a veritable jamboree of such prestidigitatory justifications constructed by the police. These, along with other key documents [13] that help understand the policy, were not released until months after the consultation ended. And it required an anorak wearing FOI spotter to notice the releases and wade through the reams of redacted paperwork to reveal anything…

One such revelation was that Johnson wasn’t in fact the author of the policy. An email from 2012 reveals that it had been “the subject of dialogue between TfL and the MPS at an operational level for a while” [14] and, reading between the lines in the released emails, it isn’t hard to see that it wasn’t TfL’s idea either.

Another document shows that the police had wanted access to TfL’s cameras for general policing purposes for some time, at least since 2007 when they had indicated they were waiting for a “change in the law” to occur [15]. This suggests that the police were waiting for an actual change in legislation – maybe they were hoping for the ‘Police can now do whatever the hell they like Act 2008’. But by the time we get to Johnson’s manifesto pledge the police have decided to opt for an administrative route that would avoid their reforms being spoilt by an “obstructive minority”.

Rather intriguingly, almost three years before Johnson’s camera sharing policy, the police were already using TfL camera data for “general policing” purposes [16]. This despite the only permission they had being very limited (and already controversial) access to the data for “national security” purposes alone [17]. The justification they gave for this apparent misdemeanour was [18]:

“The MPS receive a copy of the Transport for London (TfL) data under Section 28 of the Data protection Act 1998 for use with National Security. Then, being in lawful possession of the data, the MPS rely on Section 29 of the DPA to enable us to use it for ‘Crime’ matters.”

In other words, having obtained the data “lawfully”, the police claimed they could then do whatever they liked with it.

A similar display of prestidigitatory justification is evidenced in the 2015 documents published alongside the mayoral decision. According to Assistant Commissioner Dick [19]:

“The Met has examined the benefits of having access to TfL ANPR camera data and concluded that this proposal meets the requirements of a pressing social need that includes national security, public safety, the economic well-being of the country, the prevention of disorder or crime, the protection of health and morals, or the protection of the rights and freedoms of others. Having access to this data will help to solve crime and have a positive impact on Londoners’ quality of life.”

Here they decided to draw on European Court of Human Rights jurisprudence [20], copied out wholesale the qualifications in article 8 of the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR), before adding an unsubstantiated claim to bolster the principal purpose of the GLA Act used by Johnson to enact the policy.

What is even more galling is the almost exclusive focus by police and administrators on transplanted legal principles [21] and recent legislation deriving from the ECHR, as though no other body of law exists and there were no history of liberties and freedoms to draw upon.

A recent paper on the impact of the Human Rights Act (HRA) on policing [22] found that:

“far from constraining police work, the HRA is regarded as a development that enables and facilitates policing, allowing officers to justify their decision making and, in doing so, providing them with a safety net in the event that they are asked to account for their actions.”

Pick’n’Mix Law

The HRA forms just part of the administrative armoury used to contrive justifications and legislative labyrinths, which might better be described as ‘Pick’n’Mix Law’ (or what the IWGVS termed a legal “dark web” [0]). This is a way of using a pick and mix of statutes, statutory frameworks, powers, duties and quasi-legal constructs that are devoid of any moral code or tradition. Pick’n’Mix Law is used to create legal narratives that follow the letter of the law but ignore issues of right and wrong, allowing decision-makers to hide behind a vacuous proposition that if a policy can be shoe-horned into a state of alleged compliance with legislation then it must be good.

So now we can see that a multi-volume part work facilitated the manufacture of consent; that Pick’n’Mix Law was used to create what looks to the untrained eye like legal narratives; that a system of cameras introduced to reduce congestion was turned into a mass surveillance tool without any evidence that such a perversion of traffic cameras would “make London safer” or promote “social development”. And the majority of the public will remain satisfied that it’s all done in accordance with codes of practice and is standards compliant.

Or in the words of Neil Postman [23]:

“The bureaucrat considers the implications of a decision only to the extent that the decision will affect the efficient operations of the bureaucracy, and takes no responsibility for its human consequences.”

Endnotes:

[ 0] Open Letter to Sadiq Kahn from International Working Group on Video Surveillance (IWGVS), Jan 2017 http://iwgvs.org/open-letter-to-london-mayor-jan-2017/
[ 1] ‘Royal Commission on the Constitution’. 1969-1973, Cmnd. 5460, paragraph 227>

[ 2] Dodd, J. Theodore, ‘Administrative Reform And the Local Government Board’, P. S. King, Preface, http://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=coo1.ark:/13960/t9474zt6p;view=1up;seq=9
[ 3] ‘The New Despotism’, Lord Hewart, 1929, page 52, https://archive.org/details/LordHewart-TheNewDespotism1929
[ 4] ‘Fighting Crime in London, Boris Johnson’s Crime Manifesto, 2012, http://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/Boris-Johnson-2012-Crime-Manifesto.pdf
[ 5] ‘DMPCD 2013 110 Automatic Number Plate Recognition’, https://web.archive.org/web/20150912174232/http://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/DMPCD%202013%20110%20Automatic%20Number%20Plate%20Recognition%20Part%201.pdf
[ 6] https://web.archive.org/web/20140308200350/http://www.london.gov.uk/priorities/policingcrime/consultations/cutting-crime-with-road-cameras
[ 7] ‘What’s wrong with ANPR?’, No CCTV 2013, http://www.no-cctv.org.uk/whats_wrong_with_anpr.asp
[ 8] Haines, Alina (2009) ‘The role of automatic number plate recognition surveillance within policing and public reassurance. Doctoral thesis, University of Huddersfield, p218, http://eprints.hud.ac.uk/8760/
[ 9] Mayor’s Question Time, 15/7/15, Jenny Jones, ‘MPS – ANPR’, http://questions.london.gov.uk/QuestionSearch/searchclient/questions/question_282836
[10] Consultation Report, published 2015, https://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/gla_migrate_files_destination/Appendix%20A%20%20Automatic%20Number%20Plate%20Recognition%20consultation%20report.pdf
[11] ‘MD1439 Delegation to Transport for London (TfL) to grant the Metropolitan Police Service (MPS) direct access to Automatic Number Plate Recognition (ANPR) data’, https://www.london.gov.uk/decisions/md1439-delegation-transport-london-tfl-grant-metropolitan-police-service-mps-direct-access
[12] p72, ‘Law and Orders. An Inquiry into the nature and scope of Delegated Legislation and Executive Powers in England’, C. K. Allen, Stevens and Sons Ltd, 1945

[13] IWGVS Evidence Pack 01 http://iwgvs.org/press/IGWVS_Evidence_pack_ANPR_CAMERA_SHARING-01.pdf
James Bridle’s Freedom of Information Requests, https://www.whatdotheyknow.com/user/james_bridle?user_query=anpr
[14] p119, IG Emails 2014 05 20 REDACTED.PDF, FOI, Transport for London, released June 2014, part of FOI ‘General Policing use of ANPR data from CCZ/LEZ’, IWGVS Evidence Pack 02 http://iwgvs.org/press/IGWVS_Evidence_pack_ANPR_CAMERA_SHARING-02.pdf
[15] p4, ‘Briefing Note for the Information Commissioner’, released December 2013, part of FOI ‘Congestion Charge ANPR Certificate of Access’ https://www.whatdotheyknow.com/request/175160/response/462279/attach/12/Briefing%20Note%20for%20the%20Information%20Commissioner.pdf.pdf
[16] p4, ‘Redacted Fifth Annual ICO report.pdf.pdf.tif.pdf ‘, released December 2013, FOI ‘Congestion Charge ANPR Certificate of Access’https://www.whatdotheyknow.com/request/175160/response/462279/attach/5/Redacted%20Fifth%20Annual%20ICO%20report.pdf.pdf.tif.pdf
[17] 2007, ‘Document setting out the reasons for granting a Certificate under section 28 of Data Protection Act’ http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20130128103514/http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/about-us/freedomof-information/released-information/foi-archive-crime/7393-DPA-real-time-cameras/7393-Certificate?view=Binary
[18] FOIA Complaints Decision email to journalist James Bridle from Met Police, 26th June 2014

[19] 2014 ‘Letter of response from AC Cressida Dick’, MPS, published 2015 https://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/gla_migrate_files_destination/Appendix%20C%20-%20Letter%20of%20Response%20from%20Cressida%20Dick.pdf
[20] Handyside v. United Kingdom 1976, http://hudoc.echr.coe.int/eng?i=001-57499
[21] Margit Cohn, ‘Legal Transplant Chronicles: The Evolution of Unreasonableness and Proportionality Review of the Administration in the United Kingdom’ (May 3, 2010). American Journal of Comparative Law, Vol. 58, pp. 583-629, http://ssrn.com/abstract=1619864
[22] ‘The Impact of the Human Rights Act 1998 on Policing in England and Wales’, Karen Bullock and Paul Johnson http://bjc.oxfordjournals.org/content/52/3/630.full
[23] p86, ‘Technopoly the surrender of culture to technology’,Neil Postman, Vintage Books 1993

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Mass Surveillance and Britain’s Legal “Dark Web”: “The Pick ‘n’ Mix Law”

There are several reasons why the progressive Tulsi Gabbard stands an extraordinarily good likelihood of repeating the extraordinary achievement of the progressive Abraham Lincoln.

The electoral defeat of a liberal Hillary Clinton in 2016, and the widespread recognition of the fact that a progressive Bernie Sanders as the Democratic candidate would have stood a far higher probability of beating Donald Trump than Clinton did, combines with an equally widespread recognition that the Democratic Party’s corrupted leadership by Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton brought enormous harm to the Democratic Party by actually cheating the stronger and more progressive candidate Sanders out of the Party’s nomination, so that competition has already begun within the Democratic Party, to determine whom the Party should nominate in 2020 to run against President Donald Trump.

There is no longer an incumbent (such as Obama), nor his chosen successor (such as was the former Secretary of State, Clinton), to dominate the Democratic field in 2020 (as was the case in 2016); and yet even Sanders himself — who in 2016 was more preferred to become President than was any other of the twenty major-Party candidates — would likely be too old for some of his 2016 voters to support again in 2020. Many Democratic voters will be looking for «new blood» — a progressive like Sanders, but one whose remaining life-expectancy will extend well beyond two terms as the U.S. President.

Clinton is simply out of the running because of her failure and because of the clear harms that she has already done to the Party (losing across-the-board: Presidency, Senate, House, governorships, and state houses); and yet Sanders is still considered as a possibility, although he would be 79 years old in 2020 and is therefore unlikely to be chosen. The field is wide open this time around, not at all like it was in 2016.

Attention thus has begun to be focused upon the young progressive who nominated Sanders at the Democratic National Convention on 26 July 2016: U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii. One of the chief arguments that are presented against her as being a Presidential candidate in 2020 (if she won’t already by that time have become a U.S. Senator) is that she is «only» a member of the large U.S. House of Representatives, and not a member of the far smaller, and yet more powerful, U.S. Senate — nor is she a state governor (which post, along with that of being a Senator, have traditionally been the two preferred springboards into the White House). But her being «only» a Representative is not actually a disqualifier.

There were two U.S. Representatives who ran for the White House and who won, and one of those two was possibly the greatest U.S. President ever: the progressive Abraham Lincoln in 1860. (The other was James Garfield, 20 years later.) Also like Lincoln, who staked out and led a stunningly courageous progressive political position on the central political issue of his time, Tulsi Gabbard has staked out and led a stunningly courageous progressive political position on what is perhaps the central political issue of our time.

This young progressive might therefore repeat what Lincoln did.

Abraham Lincoln went from being one of Illinois’ Representatives in Congress, directly to becoming (according to historians in our time) tied with the progressive Franklin Delano Roosevelt as having been the greatest American President.

The progressive Illinois Representative Lincoln became a U.S. President because he displayed the extraordinarily rare moral courage, as a U.S. Presidential candidate, to condemn the most evil conservative tradition in his time, slavery, that had been cursing this country for decades, ever since America’s founding in the Constitution of 1787 — the nation’s founding document that accepted slavery, and that thus granted slave-owners an additional three-fifths or 60% of representation in Congress, for each and every slave that they owned; or, as wikipedia describes the net impact of the Constitution’s Three-Fifths Clause, «The effect was to give the southern states a third more seats in Congress and a third more electoral votes than if slaves had been ignored, but fewer than if slaves and free persons had been counted equally, allowing the slaveholder interests [the slave-owners] to largely dominate the government of the United States until 1861».

Lincoln broke the stranglehold that the slaveholding Southern aristocracy (and their backers amongst the northern aristocrats) had held, during the nation’s early decades, over the U.S. government. Lincoln broke the dictatorship of the slave-owners (and of their northern bankers and slave-merchants — after all, those suppliers to the slave-market had benefited considerably from the added clout that the Three-Fifths Clause was providing to their customers, and which had helped continue and even expand the slaving tradition: the buying of slaves, from those slavers).

The progressive Hawaii Representative Tulsi Gabbard similarly displays extraordinarily rare moral courage, hers being to condemn the most evil conservative tradition of our time: she condemns the U.S. military-industrial complex’s decades-long stranglehold, ever since the end of the Soviet Union in 1991, over the U.S. government — the dictatorship that the weapons-corporations such as Lockheed Martin have over the U.S. federal government after the Cold War had ended on the Russian side, in 1991, and after Russia’s communism had ended and its Warsaw Pact military alliance to defend against America’s NATO alliance, also both ended in 1991, on Russia’s side, but the Cold War did not really end on America’s side. The Cold War continues, even today, on the American side, because of the stranglehold of the U.S. military-industrial complex over our government, which expands (instead of ends) its anti-Russian military alliance, NATO, even after that alliance’s very reason-for-being — the communist threat — had ceased a full quarter-century ago.

As Gabbard has courageously expressed this matter, regarding specifically the very hot issue of America’s participation in the war in Syria, when speaking on the floor of the U.S. House of Representatives, on 8 December 2016:

Ms. GABBARD. Mr. Speaker, under U.S. law, it is illegal for you or me or any American to provide any type of assistance to al Qaeda, ISIS, or other terrorist groups. If we broke this law, we would be thrown in jail. Yet the U.S. Government has been violating this law for years, directly and indirectly supporting allies and partners of groups like al Qaeda and ISIS with money, weapons, intelligence, and other support in their fight to overthrow the Syrian Government.

A recent New York Times article confirmed that «rebel groups» supported by the U.S. «have entered into battlefield alliances with the affiliate of al Qaeda in Syria, formerly known as Al Nusra».

The Wall Street Journal reports that rebel grounds are «doubling down on their alliance» with al Qaeda. This alliance has rendered the phrase «moderate rebels» meaningless. We must stop this madness. We must stop arming terrorists.

I am introducing the Stop Arming Terrorists Act today to prohibit taxpayer dollars from being used to support terrorists.

She would refocus our military against jihadists, instead of against Russians.

Rather than asserting such a hateful conservative lie as «Russia, this is, without question, our number one geopolitical foe», Gabbard was saying that jihadists in all countries (and implicitly thereby, the aristocracies, such as the Sauds, that fund them) are that. (But, of course, America’s military-industrial complex sells lots more weapons if nuclear war is the goal than if killing terrorists is the goal — so, they can’t support a candidate such as Gabbard, who prefers to defend the American people, instead of to sell weapons.) And not only was she asserting that Russia’s ally Syria was defending itself against the jihadists, as the U.S. itself is, but she was asserting that our country, the United States, has actually been supporting those jihadists because they’re trying to overthrow Syria’s anti-jihadist government, which is supported by Russia. She was interviewed hostilely by both the liberal newsmedia and the conservative newsmedia — both Democrats and Republicans — and was condemned especially by the Democratic Party’s leadership — for her leading this anti-aristocratic position, and for her displaying this moral courage, even in the face of the aristocracy who buy ‘electoral’ wins, such as seats in Congress, and ultimately buy even America’s Presidencies, the people who occupy the U.S. White House.

(As regards Presidential candidate Mitt Romney’s famous assertion that «Russia, this is, without question, our number one geopolitical foe», the only sense in which that statement is even conceivably realistic is that the settlement at the end of the Soviet Union in 1991 was for the U.S. and Russia to have a balanced level of mutual-deterrence nuclear forces: the concept of maintaining Mutually Assured Destruction, or «MAD», which had prevented another world war, was to continue, to the mutual benefits of both sides, and of the entire world. But that is very different from continued mutual hostility and a nuclear-arms race, such as the neoconservatives (all the way from John McCain to Hillary Clinton) want. After the end of the Soviet Union, that costly arms-race wasn’t supposed to continue. George Herbert Walker Bush and his agents all assured Mikhail Gorbachev that the Cold War would be over if communism ended and the Warsaw Pact ended. The U.S. aristocracy just doesn’t want to fulfill its side of that bargain — they lied; they want conquest.)

As I look at the viewer-comments that are posted on all of those videos of Gabbard presenting this position — a position which is rejected by all of the U.S. Establishment — I get the impression that her position wins such broad public support, that Representative Gabbard would, if she becomes the Democratic Party’s nominee for President in 2020, sweep the White House and the Senate and the House, and become, as Abraham Lincoln was in the 1860s, a President who would, temporarily, conquer America’s aristocracy, which this time owns the giant ‘defense’ oligopoly firms, instead of owns the most slaves.

Here, for example, was a typical statement from Lincoln — the first and only progressive Republican President (the only one, because his Party got taken over by the U.S. aristocracy immediately after he was shot dead in 1865); it’s dated 3 December 1861:

Labor is prior to, and independent of, capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration. Capital has its rights, which are as worthy of protection as any other rights. Nor is it denied that there is, and probably always will be, a relation between labor and capital, producing mutual benefits. The error is in assuming that the whole labor of community exists within that relation. A few men own capital, and that few avoid labor themselves, and, with their capital, hire or buy another few to labor for them. A large majority belong to neither class — neither work for others, nor have others working for them. In most of the southern States, a majority of the whole people of all colors are neither slaves nor masters; while in the northern a large majority are neither hirers nor hired. Men with their families — wives, sons, and daughters — work for themselves, on their farms, in their houses, and in their shops, taking the whole product to themselves, and asking no favors of capital on the one hand, nor of hired laborers or slaves on the other. It is not forgotten that a considerable number of persons mingle their own labor with capital — that is, they labor with their own hands, and also buy or hire others to labor for them; but this is only a mixed, and not a distinct class. No principle stated is disturbed by the existence of this mixed class.

Again: as has already been said, there is not, of necessity, any such thing as the free hired laborer being fixed to that condition for life. Many independent men everywhere in these States, a few years back in their lives, were hired laborers. The prudent, penniless beginner in the world, labors for wages awhile, saves a surplus with which to buy tools or land for himself; then labors on his own account another while, and at length hires another new beginner to help him. This is the just, and generous, and prosperous system, which opens the way to all — gives hope to all, and consequent energy, and progress, and improvement of condition to all. No [Page  53] men living are more worthy to be trusted than those who toil up from poverty — none less inclined to take, or touch, aught which they have not honestly earned. Let them beware of surrendering a political power which they already possess, and which, if surrendered, will surely be used to close the door of advancement against such as they, and to fix new disabilities and burdens upon them, till all of liberty shall be lost.

Here was a typical statement from Gabbard, this one condemning the then Democratic President Barack Obama’s hyper-conservative (or extremely pro-aristocracy) proposed TPP commercial treaty with Pacific-Rim countries:

gabbard.house.gov

Rep. Tulsi Gabbard: ITC’s Report Confirms TPP is A Bad Deal for the American People

May 20, 2016 Press Release

Washington, DC — Today, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (HI-02), a member of the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific, released the following statement after the International Trade Commission (ITC) released a report on the Trans-Pacific Partnership’s (TPP) projected impact on the U.S. economy:

«The International Trade Commission report confirms what we have known all along—the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement is a bad deal for the American people.  We’ve heard from TPP proponents how the TPP will boost our economy, help American workers, and set the standards for global trade.  The ITC’s report tells us the opposite is true. In exchange for just 0.15 percent boost in GDP by 2032, the TPP would decimate American manufacturing capacity, increase our trade deficit, ship American jobs overseas, and result in losses to 16 of the 25 U.S. economic sectors. These estimates don’t even account for the damaging effects of currency manipulation, which is not addressed in the deal, environmental impacts, and the agreement’s deeply flawed Investor State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) process that empowers foreign corporations to supersede our sovereignty and domestic rule of law. This report further proves that the TPP is worse than we thought, and will benefit Wall Street banks and multinational corporations on the backs of hard-working Americans and our economy».

Rep. Tulsi Gabbard strongly opposed «fast-track» Trade Promotion Authority when it came before the House last year and has continued to speak out against the TPP.  Earlier this year, Reps. Tulsi Gabbard, Rosa DeLauro and other lawmakers released a joint op-ed on why the American people deserve better than the TPP.

Gabbard’s anti-TPP position, and her anti anti-Russia position, happen actually to be intimately connected, because a major motivation for Obama’s geostrategy behind all three of his mega-‘trade’ deals — TPP, TTIP, and TISA, all three of which were greatly facilitated by Congress’s passage of «Fast Track» — had also been designing it so as to exclude both Russia and China (as well as the other BRICS countries) from belonging to any of these proposed huge trading-blocs. TPP, TTIP, and TISA, were thus intended actually as huge collective acts of «trade war». For example: «TISA involves 51 countries, including every advanced economy except the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa)». The U.S. aristocracy are like a giant boa-constrictor, with an unlimited appetite for conquest, and they cannot succeed without their alliances with the aristocracies of other nations. Gabbard repeatedly has said that she wants to do everything she can to help «ending our country’s interventionist regime-change war policies». A progressive believes that being more aggressive isn’t necessarily being stronger, but can (and often does) cause a nation to become weaker, and less prosperous — even if not for its aristocrats, who thrive by invading other lands.

Both Lincoln and Gabbard are Representatives (and, in Lincoln’s case, subsequently a President) who courageously waged ideological battle for the public, against the aristocracy — they were/are progressives. The main difference between them is that the aristocracy today wages its warfare against the public differently than it did in 1860. Whereas nowadays it derives the biggest source of its power from selling weaponry and energy and disease-care products and financial services (including to U.S. soldiers), in Lincoln’s time it was selling slaves and the products of slaves. So, today’s government has been designed for the ‘defense’ firms, whereas until 1860 it was designed for the slaving firms.

Though the times have changed, the basic ideological struggle remains basically the same as it always has been: the aristocracy versus the public. And, like Representative Abraham Lincoln did in the 1850s,  Representative Tulsi Gabbard in our time has been making very clear, by her courageous actions and statements, on which side of the ideological divide she stands. It’s the same side that Sanders himself stood on: the progressive side. He would be terrific — in her Cabinet, or in her White House: like William H. Seward was, to Abraham Lincoln.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Tulsi Gabbard: The US Politician Who Could Become A Second Abraham Lincoln

President Donald Trump has chosen an ultra-right acolyte of the late Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia to fill the vacancy created by Scalia’s death a year ago, nominating Neil Gorsuch, a federal appellate judge from the Tenth Circuit Court of Appeals, based in Denver, Colorado.

Trump unveiled the nomination in a prime-time television production Tuesday night that had been hyped for several days but seemed anticlimactic, lasting only 15 minutes. The former reality television impresario sought to build suspense for the event by inviting the two “finalists” to Washington for the occasion, although he did not complete the degrading spectacle by forcing the runner-up, Judge Thomas Hardiman of the Third Circuit in Pennsylvania, to make an appearance.

Gorsuch has all the right-wing credentials to be Trump’s selection. He is a reliable vote against abortion and for all manner of legal privileges and exemptions for religious groups and institutions; he is a proven defender of the police against democratic rights; and he has sided with businesses against consumers and workers in the vast majority of such cases he heard.

The judge comes from right-wing Republican stock. His mother, Anne Gorsuch Burford, was appointed administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency in 1981 by Ronald Reagan, and given the task of dismantling antipollution regulations. When the Democratic-controlled House of Representatives sought EPA records of how money in the so-called Superfund for cleaning up toxic waste was being spent, Gorsuch defied congressional subpoenas, was cited for contempt and was eventually forced to resign.

The newly nominated justice describes himself as an “originalist” and a “textualist,” both terms embraced by Scalia, the longtime leader of the reactionary bloc on the Supreme Court. These terms were employed to give Scalia’s ultra-right jurisprudence a constitutional gloss, but they did not denote any intellectually consistent approach.

Scalia’s method was entirely arbitrary: in cases of critical importance to the ruling class, he would start from the desired outcome, and work backwards to the necessary premises, while claiming to discern in the original text of the constitution, written in 1789, a literal meaning applicable to issues in a vastly more complex, mass society.

The most notorious example of this cynical approach was the 5-4-majority decision in Bush v. Gore, which halted the vote counting in Florida and awarded the 2000 presidential election to the Republican. Scalia invented an “equal protection” argument, supposedly rooted in the 14th Amendment but not raised by lawyers for either side, and which the court majority declared should be applied only once.

The result of Scalia’s initiative was to install as president the candidate who lost the popular vote by half a million votes. Now Scalia’s replacement is being selected by a president who lost the popular vote by a much wider margin, nearly three million votes.

Besides his professed admiration for Scalia, Gorsuch has another, equally reactionary judicial mentor. In his brief remarks accepting the nomination, he cited the great honor of having clerked for appellate court judge David Sentelle, now semi-retired. Sentelle was named to the Circuit Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia, the second-highest US court, by Ronald Reagan, with arch-reactionary US Senator Jesse Helms as his principal sponsor.

Sentelle would go on to form part of the 2-1 decision in 1990 quashing all charges against the two main conspirators in the Iran-Contra affair, Lt. Col. Oliver North and Admiral John Poindexter, who ran and oversaw the illegal Reagan administration effort to arm the Contra terrorists fighting the Sandinista government in Nicaragua.

Four years later, Sentelle headed a three-member special judicial panel that decided to remove independent counsel Robert Fiske, who had been appointed to investigate charges against President Bill Clinton involving the Whitewater real estate deal, and had found no basis for any criminal prosecution. Fiske was replaced by Kenneth Starr, former Reagan solicitor general and a ferocious ultra-right partisan, who transformed the independent counsel probe into a five-year witch-hunt that culminated in Clinton’s impeachment.

By citing both Scalia and Sentelle in his remarks, Gorsuch was sending a clear message to the ultra-right wing of the Republican Party: He may have spoken softly and diplomatically to the television audience in accepting the nomination, but he has learned his trade at the feet of experienced and deeply reactionary judicial operatives.

In his ten years on the appeals court, Gorsuch has had several cases involving bogus claims of religious exemption from the Affordable Care Act mandate that employers provide health plans that include birth-control coverage. He was part of the right-wing majority in the Hobby Lobby case, later upheld 5-4 by the Supreme Court, in which the evangelical family that owned the company claimed that it would violate their religious beliefs to allow their employees to have insurance coverage that included birth control.

The Supreme Court has been operating with only eight justices instead of nine for the past year because Senate Republicans refused to hold hearings or take a vote on the nomination of Circuit Court Judge Merrick Garland, the right-wing Democrat nominated by Barack Obama last March. Their purpose was to keep the vacancy open in case a Republican should win the presidential election and be able to fill it.

Neither Obama nor the Democratic presidential candidate, Hillary Clinton, made any serious effort to force a vote on Garland and, given his right-wing, pro-business record, there was little popular support or even interest in the issue.

Senate Democrats are expected to proceed in a similarly spineless and cowardly fashion in relation to the Gorsuch nomination. He will receive all the courtesies of the Senate, including private meetings with key Democrats, a rubber stamp from the Judiciary Committee, and enough Democratic votes to insure his installation as the ninth member of the court.

While Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer has threatened a filibuster, and the rhetoric has been amplified in the wake of mass protests against Trump’s executive order banning refugees and visitors from seven majority-Muslim countries, this is entirely for show. When George W. Bush nominated Gorsuch for a seat on the Tenth Circuit in 2006, not a single Democratic senator voted against him.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Trump Nominates Ultra-Right Justice Neil Gorsuch to US Supreme Court

Below, we bring to the consideration of our readers The Draft of Syria’s New Constitution prepared by Moscow.  

It was presented by Russia’s Foreign Minister in Astana to  opposition leaders who rejected it.

What remains unclear is how this initiative emerged and what mechanisms of consultation prevailed between Moscow and Damascus. It is highly unlikely that the Syrian government would accept this initiative. 

Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov acknowledged that the draft was based on the input of “the Syrian government, opposition and regional powers.” The Syrian authorities have not made any official statement regarding this mysterious document.

“We have handed the Syrian armed opposition a draft constitution of Syria prepared by Russian specialists for them to study,” Russia’s envoy for Syria, Alexander Lavrentiev, told reporters. “We did this exclusively to accelerate the process to end the war.”

One of the conditions mentioned in the draft included that the word “Arab” be removed from the official name of the country “Syrian Arab Republic”.

The draft from the Russian delegation also proposed the dropping of religion as criteria for electing a president. Article 3 of the current Syrian constitution stipulates that the president has to be part of the Muslim faith.

Moreover, the draft new constitution also presented that the Syrian president would be elected for one term of seven years, without the right to re-election.

It also suggests that the country will have a parliament with two chambers and rejects Islamic sharia as the basis for law.

The peace talks in Astana held earlier this week were the first time the opposition and regime representatives have come together since United Nations-brokered talks in Geneva were suspended early last year.

Turkey, which played a major role in Astana alongside Russia, said they were unaware of the proposal for a draft new Syrian constitution that would also see Syrian Kurds gain autonomy. (Al Arabiya, January 26, 2017

It should be noted that a new constitution for the Syrian Arab Republic was adopted in 2012 (link to complete text) and was endorsed in a nationwide referendum.

 

Screenshot of Articles 1 and 2 of the 2012 Constitution

Alexander Lavrentyev, the head of Russian delegation to the Astana talks, said on Tuesday: “I want to emphasize, we have done this solely for the reason that we want to accelerate this process and to give it some additional pacing. We are in no way interfering in the process of consideration and adoption of the constitution.”

Echoing this sentiment, Konstantin Kosachev, the chairman of the Russian parliament’s Foreign Affairs Committee, told Sputnik on Thursday: “Syria’s constitution will be created and accepted by the Syrian people themselves, it is their sovereign right. The task is not to do this important work on behalf of them, but to end a stalemate.”

On the same day, however, Syrian opposition representatives rejected consideration of Russia’s proposals out of hand, arguing that the constitution being drafted by a foreign power was reason enough not to adopt it.(News Deeply, January 30, 2017)

The question is why has Moscow taken this initiative? Is it motivated by geopolitical and strategic considerations?

Below is the full text of the Draft Constitution prepared by Moscow.

Syrian Constitution, Page 1
Syrian Constitution, Page 1
Syrian Constitution, Page 2
Syrian Constitution, Page 2
Syrian Constitution, Page 3
Syrian Constitution, Page 3
Syrian Constitution, Page 4
Syrian Constitution, Page 4
Syrian Constitution, Page 5
Syrian Constitution, Page 5
Syrian Constitution, Page 6
Syrian Constitution, Page 6
Syrian Constitution, Page 7
Syrian Constitution, Page 7
Syrian Constitution, Page 8
Syrian Constitution, Page 8
Syrian Constitution, Page 9
Syrian Constitution, Page 9
Syrian Constitution, Page 10
Syrian Constitution, Page 10
Syrian Constitution, Page 11
Syrian Constitution, Page 11
Syrian Constitution, Page 12
Syrian Constitution, Page 12
Syrian Constitution, Page 13
Syrian Constitution, Page 13
Syrian Constitution, Page 14
Syrian Constitution, Page 14
Syrian Constitution, Page 15
Syrian Constitution, Page 15
Syrian Constitution, Page 16
Syrian Constitution, Page 16
Syrian Constitution, Page 17
Syrian Constitution, Page 17
Syrian Constitution, Page 18
Syrian Constitution, Page 18
Syrian Constitution, Page 19
Syrian Constitution, Page 19
Syrian Constitution, Page 20
Syrian Constitution, Page 20
Syrian Constitution, Page 21
Syrian Constitution, Page 21
Syrian Constitution, Page 22
Syrian Constitution, Page 22
Syrian Constitution, Page 23
Syrian Constitution, Page 23
Syrian Constitution, Page 24
Syrian Constitution, Page 24
Syrian Constitution, Page 25
Syrian Constitution, Page 25
Syrian Constitution, Page 26
Syrian Constitution, Page 26
Syrian Constitution, Page 27
Syrian Constitution, Page 27
Syrian Constitution, Page 28
Syrian Constitution, Page 28
Syrian Constitution, Page 29
Syrian Constitution, Page 29
Syrian Constitution, Page 30
Syrian Constitution, Page 30
Syrian Constitution, Page 31
Syrian Constitution, Page 31
Syrian Constitution, Page 32
Syrian Constitution, Page 32
Syrian Constitution, Page 33
Syrian Constitution, Page 33
Syrian Constitution, Page 34Michel Chossudovsky contributed to this report
  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on “Syria’s Draft Constitution” Prepared by Moscow, Without the Approval of Damascus?

In summarizing environmental issues from the previous year, I would like to say that Donald Trump’s wining of the presidential race was the most significant eco-event of 2016. And all other events, regardless of their apparent importance (from the merger of GMO giants Bayer and Monsanto to the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Marrakesh) pale in comparison when you imagine the possible consequences.

To put it mildly, Trump is famous for his skepticism on global climate change, which he has many times called “Chinese mystification,” and has confessed that he does not believe in the “human-caused nature of global warming,” and many of his teammates share these views.

Thus, Oklahoma Attorney General Scott Pruitt was nominated for the head of EPA, who is a tough critic of green economy and sued the Obama Administration regarding its Clean Energy Incentive Program for reducing greenhouse gases. One American journalist sneered, “If there has ever been a person in the United States to be called an environmentalists’ nightmare, Trump has found him. It is Pruitt.”

But Pruitt is only the tip of the iceberg. Trump’s relationships with brothers David H. and Charles G. Koch, American tycoons and key sponsors of far-right wing of the GOP, in particular the Tea Party movement, bring more sense in understanding his “environmental agenda.” They uphold libertarian “anarchist and capitalist” views and believe that the role of government in all social areas, including environmental protection, should be minimized.

Being worshippers of the oeuvre of Ayn Rand (Atlas Shrugged) and economist Friedrich von Hayek (The Road to Serfdom), the Koch brothers dream of a society with the ruling “invisible hand of the market” and “entrepreneurial genius.” In this worldview, genuine businessmen are “the heroes of the present-day Wild West.” Such problems like the greenhouse effect, groundwater contamination during shale gas extraction and harm from GMOs should not worry them any more than the fate of the American Indians worried the Old World colonists.

Newly elected US Vice-president Michael Pence’s ties with the Koch brothers have been widely covered in the US Mass Media. But one should not forget Michael Pompeo, a Republican and a member of the Tea Party whom Trump appointed as CIA Director. A congressman from Kansas, Pompeo was one of the central figures for a lobbying campaign by Koch Industries, Inc. and Monsanto against mandatory GMO labeling in the United States.

By the way, it would be interesting to know whether the US intelligence agency will increase its role in pushing GMOs on the world market and regime change in resistant countries?

The status of affairs is seemingly clear with Trump and his chemists, oilmen, industrial tycoons and worshippers of Ayn Rand, obsessed by the demon of wealth and ignorant of environmental threats, standing on one side, and the greens, environmentalists, and supporters of sustainable development on the other.

But is it really so unequivocal? And would a victory by Hilary Clinton, who actively courted the Green movement, have been a better option for environmentalists?

It seems to me that it is time to discard the simplified attitude towards political aspects of environment. The true contrast between environmentalists and industrialists no longer reflects the varied reality of the global economy.

Unfortunately, the era of lone idealists like Rachel Carson, whose “Silent Spring” published in 1960 led to the prohibition of the DDT pesticide, is declining rapidly. Nowadays, we live under hybrid conflicts, where any idea, any action taken out of informational context may be used contrary to its initial meaning.

Let’s face the truth. A significant part of the Western environmental movement long ago lost its independence and commonplace ardent idealism, and has been transformed into a specific tool for lobbying newly-shaped corporate interests. By criticizing the oil mafia and industrial (black) development model based on hydrocarbons, environmentalists have indeed taken the side of rival multibillion super corporations in the so-called “green economy.”

The adoption of alternative sources of energy, biofuel and power-saving technologies would be impossible because of their high cost without parallel marketing and the propaganda of anti-global warming measures. By this non-market method, green corporations force national governments to increase the share of eco-innovations in their economies.

Members of the John Birch Society, established and funded by the Koch family, go further and claim that the actions of the greens along with communists and Masons are part of a “global illuminati agenda to create a New Global Order.” No matter how absurd and funny the thesis on “green conspiracy” is, it became part of the political mythology in the United States long ago, and a person supporting them, at least by word of mouth, will step into the White House literally in several days.

Apart from conspiracy science, there are other more objective reasons for concerns about the green economy. As has become evident recently, the positive effect of many environmental eco-innovations is invisible. In particular, the expanding volume GM crops sown to produce biofuel is associated with the use of dangerous pesticides (for instance, glyphosate), leads to the destruction of the traditional agricultural lifestyle and irreparably damages organic ecosystems.

Independent studies say that energy-saving lamps may be conducive to cancer and their improper recycling leads to mercury entering the environment with all of its negative consequences. Even simple wind electric generators (windmills) in their industrial use lead to a rapid increase in the death rates for birds and bats, along with the fragmentation of wildlife.

In no way do I wish to suggest that humanity does not need to develop alternative energy sources and implement power-saving programs. It needs to, and how!

But it would be naive to think that the green economy in its present-day form is an adequate response to modern environmental challenges. If you ignore the principles of sustainable development, such an approach may not be any less destructive for the Earth’s ecosystems than the industrialization.

Then, the final ratio of green and black officials in the new U.S. administration is not specific enough for fair judgment. More important is the victory of a candidate like Donald Trump, which highlights the crisis in the existing world order and paves the way for global transformations.

What will the new paradigm of human-to-nature relationships be in the future post-liberal world? This is, perhaps, the most important environmental issue, which indeed bothers me after Trump’s victory. Norwegian alpinist and extraordinary philosopher Arne Næss called such a view of political problems as “deep ecology.”

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Donald Trump and “Deep Ecology”. Pushing GMOs, Minimizing Environmental Protection

Eva Bartlett shares her reporting on Syria with audiences in the Canadian Prairies!

February 2nd: Winnipeg

Reporting the War in Syria

11:30am-12:45pm 

Tier building, room 206 (Tier is next to the Dafoe library)

https://www.facebook.com/events/1835677816715498/

What Really is Going on in Syria

7:00pm-9:00pm

Carol Shields Auditorium

2nd Floor, Millennium Library

251 Donald St.

https://www.facebook.com/events/456145108108286/?active_tab=discussion

February 3: Regina

Time: 7:00 pm

Location: Knox Metropolitan Church, Lower Hall, 2340 Victoria Ave.

(Entry is through the glass doors on the Victoria Avenue side of the building. Come early as seating is limited. For more information call Ed Lehman – 306-718-8010).

 
What has really brought most non-terrorist groups to negotiate a path to peace?

What are the prospects for Syria to maintain its sovereignty in the face of Western threats of regime change and massive bombing campaigns?

The mainstream U.S. and Canadian media present only half the facts about this war-torn country, and too often it is the wrong half.

Independent journalist Eva Bartlett is from Fergus, Ontario and has visited Syria and covered the war there on six separate occasions since 2014, including two months in summer 2016 and one month at the end of 2016. She writes for and speaks on different media outlets but always maintains her blog, In Gaza, which she started some years ago while living for a period of three years in Gaza.

This talk is intended to help clear up any confusion about what actually transpired during the liberation of Aleppo, in particular, and during the past five years in Syria, in general.

Sponsored by: Manitoba Peace Council, CKUW 95.9FM,  Canadian Dimension, and Regina Peace Council.

This interview with Prof Michel Chossudovsky was first broadcast in June 2016 at the outset of Operation Anaconda, leading to the militarization of Russia’s Doorstep.

The entire transcript is provided below.
This interview examines:

The significance of Anaconda 2016, NATO’s massive war games underway in Eastern Europe;

Global warfare and non-conventional warfare; Iran and the Middle East; nuclear weapons reclassified for conventional use; the Oded Yinon Plan for greater Israel; 

The structure of military alliances as an instrument of conquest;

The strategic alliance between Russia and China within a larger global geopolitical framework;

the criminalization of high office.

Full Transcript:

This is Guns and Butter.

I think that there’s been a lot of analysis with regard to Iran to the extent that the Syrian War in a sense is part of the roadmap. As some analysts have underscored, the road to Tehran goes through Damascus, and consequently, the outcome of the Syrian war is crucial in defining the next stage of this broader Middle East agenda.

I’m Bonnie Faulkner. Today on Guns and Butter, Michel Chossudovsky (image left). Today’s show: Global Warfare:  Is the US-NATO Going to Attack Russia? Michel Chossudovsky is an economist and the founder, director and editor of the Centre for Research on Globalization based in Montreal, Quebec. He is the author of 11 books including The Globalization of Poverty and the New World OrderWar and Globalization: The Truth Behind September 11thAmerica’s War on Terrorism and The Globalization of War: America’s Long War Against Humanity. Today we discuss the significance of NATO’s large-scale military exercises underway in Eastern Europe. Global warfare and nonconventional warfare, Iran and the Middle East, the Oded Yinon Plan and the strategic alliance between Russia and China within a larger global geopolitical framework.

Bonnie Faulkner: Michel Chossudovsky, welcome.

Michel Chossudovsky: Delighted to be on the program.

Bonnie Faulkner: You have talked about Anaconda 2016, NATO’s large-scale military exercises underway in Poland. The war games, launched on Monday, June 6, will run until June 17th. How significant are these war games?

Michel Chossudovsky: They’re certainly significant but they shouldn’t be interpreted as war preparations against the Russian Federation. They’re there to threaten Russia but, in fact, we must understand that we’re in the framework of global warfare, and by threatening Russia on its western frontier with the European Union doesn’t signify necessarily that NATO and, of course, the United States are intent upon attacking Russia using conventional military hardware.

There are many reasons for that. First of all, Russia is involved in the Middle East. The United States and its allies are threatening Russia, China and Iran. The United States and its allies are involved in a war in the Middle East in which, of course, Iran and Russia are involved, directly involved – I’m talking about Syria. So that by putting pressure on Russia and Eastern Europe, the United States is also in effect manipulating the geopolitical environment.

I should mention, and that’s very important, that history tells us that war is based on deceit and intelligence, and you don’t amass significant weapons systems on the border with an historical enemy, namely the Russian Federation, and then send out press releases of what you’re doing. If we compare this particular exercise to World War II and Operation Barbarossa, which was launched on the 22nd of June 1941, well in fact, this was a secret operation.

It was decided upon on December 10th 1940 at a time when the relations between the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany were in fact normal and in fact quite good. The Nazi government had in fact approached Russia and asked them if they wanted to have some kind of relationship to the Axis powers. That was subsequently abandoned but there was trade, there was diplomatic relations between Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union and, of course, that dated back to the non-aggression pact signed in 1938 between Molotov and Ribbentrop.

click bookcover to order Michel Chossudovsky’s  Book

So if we look at history, first of all, deception is ultimately the guiding light. You deceive your enemy and you do not reveal your war plans – although, in fact, the war plans are known because there’s intelligence. The Russians have intelligence, Americans have intelligence. And with regard to Operation Barbarossa there was intelligence that the Axis powers, namely Nazi Germany, was preparing a massive invasion, but somehow Stalin did not take it seriously. It was communicated to him and he didn’t take it seriously. And then Germany started deploying massive amounts of military hardware on Russia’s border starting in May and then the campaign was launched on the 22nd of June.

But what I think is significant with regard to these war games on Russia’s doorstep is that they coincide with the 75th anniversary of Operation Barbarossa. They started in early June and they are to be completed somewhere towards the 18th of June, and then in early July there’s going to be a major NATO conference which will underscore strategic alliance as well as war plans in relation to the Russian Federation.

But bear in mind, we’re in a different era. It is very unlikely that a war with Russia would involve an onslaught of conventional warfare with tanks and armored cars as occurred, let’s say, in previous wars, so we’re not talking about the conventional war theater, per se. In all likelihood, if such a war were to be launched it would involve non-conventional weapons systems, including the paralysis let’s say of communication systems. It would include financial warfare, the freezing of financial transactions and trade. And there are many other advanced weapons systems such as climatic warfare, the geo-engineering, which are fully operational and which could be used.

So what I’m saying here is that in this particular era, it’s these nonconventional endeavors which are being implemented, and some of them may involve the deployment of conventional forces in some cases; in other cases, it’s special forces, it’s the war on terrorism, it’s the financing of insurgencies, it’s the manipulation of commodity and financial markets. We saw it in relation to the oil market, how that collapsed ultimately conducive to the destabilization of several oil-producing economies such as Venezuela. And very often these non-conventional mechanisms are combined with regime change, the financing of protest movements and so on so forth. So we’re in a very different environment, but we are within the environment of global warfare and this is part of a military agenda which is certainly formulated.

And in fact, World War III has been formulated by the Pentagon for years now. Every year they have war games which have as a paradigm World War III. Some of the scenarios actually have been made public; others not. Most of them are secret undertakings if we’re talking about military planning, but we know, for instance, that the Pentagon is simulating essentially a global military agenda directed against four countries at this stage: the Russian Federation, the People’s Republic of China, Iran and North Korea. Those four countries are identified, and they’re identified in war games.

Click to order Michel Chossudovsky’s book 

I recall, for instance, a war game which involved four fictitious countries and it was made public. It’s a Pentagon project, Churya, Ruebek, Nemazee and Irmingham – so Churya, China; Ruebek, Russia; Irmingham, Iran; and Nemazee, North Korea. And there were other such war games.

Now, I think what is very important, that people must understand, is that World War III is an option. It is an option. And the use of nuclear weapons on a pre-emptive basis is also an option. In other words, we’re dealing with military assumptions, which potentially could lead humanity to complete destruction. It’s not to say that this would take place immediately, but if there is a nuclear war this spells a worldwide catastrophe, and nuclear weapons are on the table. Hillary Clinton has said that she wants to use them, and she wants to use them against Iran.

Screenshot: Excerpt from article in Global Research, original in WP no longer available 

Now, to summarize, if we’re looking at a chronology of what’s going to happen, I think that the next step in this military agenda is not Russia but it is Iran. It would involve, of course, America’s various allies in the Middle East. Of course, NATO is involved but here we have major actors Israel, Turkey and Saudi Arabia, and in effect, if we look at the Syrian war theater we see that these various actors are already there. Iran is assisting the Syrian government forces and so is Russia, and Turkey and Saudi Arabia are assisting the terrorists in liaison with the United States. So from my understanding we might say that Word War III has already commenced.

But as far as the roadmap, the World War III roadmap is concerned, I think that the next stage is Iran. And notice that the United States is not actually threatening Iran at this particular juncture. Well, one can’t say at the same time that there’s been normalization since the agreement on nuclear energy, but if we’re looking at where the threats are most visible from the propaganda point of view, it’s in Eastern Europe and the Baltic states.

What I’m saying essentially is that this massive deployment of military hardware is not there for military purposes; it’s there for propaganda purposes. It’s there to intimidate, and it’s also there to intimidate the Russian people. But the Russian military planners are not so stupid. They know that when a war is being planned it’s usually a secret operation, and they also have their own intelligence services that are indicating to them as to what the next step of this war is going to be, and the next step of this war is in the Middle East and not in Western Europe.

Bonnie Faulkner: Well, Michel, you have just pointed out that history tells us that war plans are based on deceit but that in the case of Anaconda 2016, these deployments in Eastern Europe and the Baltics are public, and that their main goal is to “essentially to give leeway to the United States to wage its wars in other regions of the world, particularly in the Middle East.” How large are these military drills in Poland?

Michel Chossudovsky: We’re talking about very substantial deployments of military hardware with a large number of countries which are participating in these war games, and from that point of view it’s symbolic. But in effect, this has been the ploy. It’s essentially to intimidate and it doesn’t signify that this is going to result in an actual confrontation with the Russian Federation, which from the point of view of NATO would be absolute suicide because the Russian Federation’s conventional forces are very advanced and so are their strategic capabilities, so they’re not really going to – unless somebody makes some stupid mistake.

And I should mention that mistakes are often the cause of war. It’s not necessarily logistics and geopolitics and so on. We’re dealing with a military planning process which is very sophisticated, which is very intricate in terms of networks. We have to look at US Strategic Command in Omaha, Nebraska, which coordinates.  Then you have the command structures. Then you have your allies. Then you have your air defense system. Israel’s air defense system is integrated into that of the United States and NATO. There’s a very structured decision-making process with many different actors. But it is also under those circumstances that errors occur, and some of the errors will occur because the decision-makers believe their own propaganda. I’ll give you an example.

For instance, now the US Senate in 2002 – so it goes back. It’s a post-9/11 decision, when Rumsfeld was Secretary of Defense. At that time, and it’s not known to the public, nuclear weapons were reclassified and they can be used in the conventional war theater without the green light from the commander-in-chief, namely the president of the United States. And this applied to a category of weapons which are called mini-nukes, but they have an explosive capacity between one-third and six times the Hiroshima bomb. They’re deployed in Western Europe, Turkey has them, several allies of the United States who are non-nuclear states have them and they’re deployed against Iran, but also against the Russian Federation, and they can be used on a pre-emptive basis, in other words, for self-defense, without approval at the highest level of government. They are categorized as harmless to the surrounding civilian population because the explosion is underground, so to speak.

This is now written up in the military manuals. So if a three-star general in let’s say Central Command in the Middle East is going to follow the military manual and he says, “Oh, the bunker buster B61-12 tactical nuclear weapon is harmless to civilians. Let’s go ahead and use it.” So what I’m saying is people believe their propaganda, and particularly people like Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump believe their own propaganda. Hillary Clinton has made the statement that nuclear weapons are on the table, and she has intimated that Iran would be “obliterated.” I’m using the same words as Hillary Clinton. And so mistakes combined with stupidity, paranoia and ignorance.

There are two types of mistakes.

There are those which are dependent on technical or logistical errors, namely a nuclear weapon might be sent off by mistake due to some technical weaknesses, and there’ve been many cases of this nearly happening, which have been amply documented.

But there are other types of so-called mistakes which have to do with political paranoia, and stupidity and ignorance of officials in high office, and that we have to be very careful.

Can we trust somebody like Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump to make seasoned and wise decisions not only on behalf of the United States but on behalf of the world, because we’re talking about World War III. And from their statements, I’d say we have to be very careful. These people are very dangerous. They should not accede to the highest office of the land, namely presidency of the United States of America.

Bonnie Faulkner: Michel, according to your analysis, the next phase of this global war is Iran and the Middle East, not Russia, and that the build-up in Europe serves that purpose. What is the evidence for that?

Michel Chossudovsky: Well, the evidence is really very much based on statements and war plans and timelines which have been released by the Pentagon. We can refer to Wesley Clark’s famous statement of seven countries in five years, where he lists – it’s based on testimony from a Pentagon official where he actually says that seven countries in five years and these are the countries.

Now, I can tell you that back in the ‘90s already, Central Command headquarters had identified their enemies, and that was well before the Iraq war. Back in the mid-90s, let’s say, the Gulf War had already been implemented, in ’91. But what this Central Command document says is textually, first Iraq, then Iran. The rationale was to ensure unimpeded access to Middle East oil, so it’s part of the battle for oil. And it’s also part of a battle to prevent competing powers from having alliances in the Middle East with countries like Iraq and Iran. And so it really is the hegemony of the Anglo-American oil companies, which is sought.

Now, to get back to general Wesley Clark, who is currently a retired four-star Army general who was Supreme Allied Commander of NATO during the 1999 war in Yugoslavia. What he says, and he’s quoting a Pentagon official with whom he had a conversation when I think he was still serving – this goes back to a statement made in 2007 and the quote is, “We’re going to take out seven countries in five years starting with Iraq and then Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan and finishing up with Iran.”

Now, we can see that several of those countries have already been invaded, including, of course, Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia – well, in fact, all of them except Iran. If we go by the testimony of General Wesley Clark, the next country which has not been attacked by the United States and its allies is Iran. All the others have, in one form or another. And of course, we still have Yemen, which is not in the list, but we now have an extended war theater in the Middle East. We started out with Iraq and, of course, we have Afghanistan which is pretty much sort of at the other end. It’s not really part of the Middle East from a geographic, geopolitical point of view, but it’s Central Asia. So Central Asia and the Middle East is the broader region.

And what we have seen since the US-led war in Afghanistan, both the earlier as well as the subsequent attacks in 2001, is a road map which has extended, which has led to escalation – Afghanistan in 2001, Iraq in 2003 and of course, then you have Syria and Libya in 2011 and then you have Yemen and then, of course, you also have the drone attacks in Pakistan. It’s not a declared war but it’s still a war against a sovereign nation. It’s drone attacks within Pakistan’s territory and is an act of aggression.

So ultimately what’s building up is military escalation extending from the eastern Mediterranean and the Maghreb all the way through to Afghanistan and Pakistan and bear in mind that Afghanistan has a border with China, so we’re extending this regional war right to the western frontier of the People’s Republic of China. I should also mention that in China and in the Xinjiang Uyghur autonomous region there are al Qaeda affiliated groups which are supported covertly by Pakistani intelligence in liaison with the CIA.

So that is the perspective and I think that there’s been a lot of analysis with regard to Iran to the extent that the Syrian war, in a sense, is part of the roadmap. As some analysts have underscored, the road to Tehran goes through Damascus, and consequently, the outcome of the Syrian war is crucial in defining the next stage of this broader Middle East agenda, which essentially consists in breaking up countries, establishing spheres of influence, transforming countries into territories. It’s not necessarily to win the war militarily, but you destroy Libya, you destroy Iraq, you undermine the institutions and you create territories, and these territories of course have tremendous resources, particularly in oil.

Islamophobia

And then you wage a demonization campaign against the Muslims, and it just so happens that Muslim countries have approximately between 60 and 70% of the world’s reserves of crude oil. I’m not talking about the other forms of oil such as tar sands. And if those countries had been inhabited by Buddhists, we would be demonizing the Buddhists but we are now demonizing the inhabitants of the countries that we want to conquer, which have tremendous resources in terms of oil.

And then, of course, there are other actions taken in Sub-Saharan Africa against Nigeria, for instance, with Boko Haram. Boko Haram is known to be an asset as well, linked up to the al Qaeda affiliated organizations which are CIA-sponsored. So that is the nature of the broader war. It’s an extension of this military agenda within the Middle East, the breakup of countries, the establishment of new borders. It’s what some US military analysts call the New Middle East.

Bonnie Faulkner: You’ve mentioned oil as an objective of these Middle Eastern wars, but what is the overall objective of all of these wars in the Middle East? Is it part of the Oded Yinon plan for Greater Israel?

Michel Chossudovsky: Well, I think the Greater Israel plan can be used by the United States and NATO as an instrument of conquest. I think, from my standpoint, Israel is not a partner in the same way as the other Western powers are partners with the United States. It’s a small country. It has certainly very important capabilities and it’s very much dependent on US military aid, but it serves a geopolitical purpose in the Middle East. In the pursuit of conquest in the Middle East, Israel is absolutely, of course, essential.

I recall that going back to the 2000s – I can’t recall. It was at least ten years ago. It was during the Bush administration. Dick Cheney intimated that Israel might do the work for us, and he was talking about the bombing of Iran. And I think that’s still the case, that Israel would be an instrument on behalf of the United States and NATO. In other words, we see this pattern of the United States using its allies to do the dirty work. Well, Israel would do the dirty work and in exchange for that they would get Greater Israel, or at least they’d be able to expand their territory.

Certainly the policies of the Netanyahu government are in fact geared towards that. It’s ultimately the appropriation of Palestinian lands, the ultimate policy of genocide and exodus of the Palestinians from their homeland. That is part of it. And it’s being used as a mechanism to incite this broadening of the Middle East conflict, so that you have Israel and you have Turkey and Saudi Arabia. I think these are the three countries which are starting to play a major role in the Middle East war.

And I should mention that they also have very important bilateral relations. Turkey and Israel have an agreement which goes back some 20, 30 years, goes back to the ‘90s. Namely, it’s a relationship of cooperation in military and intelligence, in defense production, in intelligence, very close bilateral relations, and there may be ups and downs in that relationship but it is still standing. Israel is also building bilateral relations with Saudi Arabia. So these countries are going to be used. And I should mention that both Turkey and Israel have territorial – they have certain plans to extend their territory. We see it with Turkey at this very moment. Their plan is to annex a portion of, in other words, the northern part of Syria and similarly Israel wants to extend its territory.

So these partners are playing a key role, but ultimately they are subordinate to the Pentagon. They don’t call the shots. They don’t call the shots. They may call the shots in some regards, but broadly, from a broad military planning point of view, they are integrated within US Pentagon and NATO decision-making processes, and I should say that NATO is dominated by United States. I think that’s the background. It’s not to say that the plan of Greater Israel is the objective of this war, but in fact it’s a byproduct of this war, and it is very useful for the Western military alliance to use it with a view to reaching its broader objective, which is to recolonize, so to speak, the Middle East and Central Asian regions.

Once Iran – at least from the point of view of military planners, I’m not suggesting it’s going to happen – but once Iran implements some form of regime change and succumbs to the powers of NATO and the United States, this changes the geopolitical balance. Because, as I mentioned, there are four countries which are identified and they’re also identified in war games scenarios, which are considered to be on the target list. Those are Russia, China, Iran and North Korea.

I think the other dimension, which is absolutely crucial, is that the structure of military alliances is also an instrument of conquest. We’ve seen it in all previous major world conflicts. In World War I, the Triple Alliance and the Triple Entente – the shift in the structure of alliances was ultimately decided in the onslaught of World War I. And similarly in World War II, the alliances of the Axis with Italy and also subsequently with Japan.

But in this particular context, in the context of global warfare, the major thrust of the United States has been to weaken the strategic relationship between Russia and China, and they’ve been doing that for quite some time. The signing of the Shanghai Cooperation Agreement in 1972 with Kissinger and, of course, Richard Nixon who negotiated that, was a preamble to the restoration of capitalism in China. Deng Xiaoping, who was ultimately serving US interests and who was very much anti-Soviet at the time, that would sort of bring China into the orbit of the Western military alliance. And, of course, China is integrated as an industrial economy into producing made-in-China. The United States is the biggest market for China.

So there’s a cross-cutting alliance there. China is allied with Russia but at the same time China has extensive trade agreements with the United States. It has a bilateral agreement that was signed in 2001 which was prior to its entry into the World Trade Organization, which allows for US banks and Western banks to enter into the Chinese financial landscape. And so they’re all there: Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup – they all have their subsidiaries there. They even have access to domestic banking, which was provided to them, and in that regard we can’t simply say that China is a firm ally of the Russian Federation. It may be at a certain level in military and strategic affairs, but from an economic standpoint we cannot ignore the fact that the United States has very close bilateral relations with the People’s Republic of China.

Bonnie Faulkner: You have said that the United States wants to break the strategic alliance between Russia and China by co-opting China. How, in your opinion, does the US propose to achieve breaking this alliance?

Michel Chossudovsky: Well, I’m not clear as to whether the United States is undertaking this in the right way because, in effect, in recent years they have been threatening China with regard to its territorial waters. The relationship is quite aggressive, at least from the military strategic point of view. But as I mentioned, the economic relations are relatively good, and there are people within the leadership which are very pro-American.

South China Sea

I’ve experienced this on recent trips to China, when I addressed the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and I pointed out the fact that China’s borders were surrounded with US military facilities and that they were being threatened, but that was a couple of years back. The reaction was rather negative. They said, “Well, no. We have good relations with the United States,” and they essentially accused me. They took the side of the United States and said, “Professor, you have given us a left-leaning perspective.”

But that’s just to indicate that the people in government and people in the universities and the think tanks in China tend to be pro-American. On the other hand, people in the military are on the whole anti-American. So there’s a situation which I would describe as, well, it’s contradictory but you have cross-cutting alliances. On the one hand, Russia and China have a strategic alliance under the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. On the other hand, the United States has trade and investment alliance with China, which is extensive due to the volume of that trade.

And bear in mind another important factor is that these countries are now capitalist countries. So they’re not upholding an alternative economic system as in the heyday of the Cold War. There’s no more so-called socialism in the People’s Republic of China or in the Russian Federation and in fact, quite the opposite. China is certainly not a model of social democracy by any means. It’s the most oppressive form of capitalism one can possibly imagine, with sweat labor conditions extending to millions of people, with 275 million migrant workers, and those are official figures, who are integrated into a cheap-labor economy and that in turn feeds the Western consumer economy. We have to understand that. So there are very important vested interests on both sides to maintain that relationship.

And the Chinese government is in fact also responding to the interests of the Chinese capitalist class, to the traders and so on forth. But what is distinct to China is they do not have – at least at this particular juncture they do not have an imperial agenda. So when they send their companies to Libya or to other countries in Sub-Saharan Africa they’re essentially there to make money. They don’t come in with a Chinese integrated command, which is going to protect their investments. That’s the US model. US AFRICOM is there essentially to recolonize Africa. And of course, when the Chinese come into Africa, they’re not within their own sphere of influence. They’re within the sphere of influence which is essentially Western, and this is something, of course, which is feared by the United States and its allies.

Bonnie Faulkner: You have recently been talking about global warfare in several regions of the world. First of all, what do you mean by global warfare, and in that context, could you talk at more length about what you refer to as non-conventional warfare? You mentioned this in the beginning and I was wondering if you could elaborate a little bit on that.

Michel Chossudovsky: Well, global warfare is a project defined at the level of US foreign policy but also in terms of US military doctrine. It is also reflected by the fact that the United States has military bases and facilities all over the world. It has its regional command structures – I can’t give you the exact numbers from memory but we’re talking about military bases in over 100 countries and deployment worldwide, not to mention the star wars, the high-tech dimensions, which make it global, that they can strike anywhere in the world within very short notice.

So that is what is meant by global warfare. It has to do with the organizational structures of the military on the one hand. It has to do with the fact that we’re dealing with a globalized economy which is protected by military intelligence operations, and it has to do with the weapons systems of long-range missiles and so on and so forth, but also other methods of intervention, as I mentioned, the so-called environmental modification techniques, climatic warfare and so on, is very vast. And of course, the communications system that we have worldwide, the surveillance system, the satellite technologies. So that is what is meant by global warfare.

It’s a very scary context because, first of all, public opinion may have some understanding of some dimensions of this particular framework but they are not aware of the sort of global implications. And I should say that within the realm of decision-making, even the decision-makers are not entirely aware of the global ramifications of their actions, and that’s why I also stress the fact that there’s an  historical role of mistakes and errors and human factors, paranoia and so on so forth, which can insert itself within the framework of decision-making.

In other words, we are certainly at perhaps the most serious crossroads in world history. It’s the dangers of a third world war. It’s certainly looming. I don’t think we should neglect that, and I’m not suggesting it will take place. What we have to do is to formulate strategies which will enable us to undermine this agenda when Hillary Clinton says that “Nuclear war is on the table. I want Iranians to know if I’m the president we will attack Iran. We will obliterate them.” That’s what she said, and it was part of her previous election campaign, but nonetheless she made that statement, and she’s made other statements.

Now, what we’re dealing with is in fact the outright criminalization of politics and then there’s a question of sanity and honesty in US foreign policy. Well, there is no sanity and there is no honesty and if you want to be president of the United States you almost have to have some kind of a criminal record. Otherwise, you’re not going to be elected or you’re not going to be supported by the lobby groups. And why is that? Because people who have very fraudulent backgrounds, such as Hillary Clinton, are easily manipulated. In fact, we noticed that many of the regime changes are precisely that.

Now, you raise the issue of conventional warfare. The non-conventional warfare forms of intervention are part of that agenda, so that when you have a regime change in Brazil or in Argentina or in Venezuela, it’s part of that agenda. The mechanisms may not be military but they’re certainly intelligence and they also have an economic dimension.

Bonnie Faulkner: Russia is taking NATO’s saber-rattling in Eastern Europe very seriously and has said that it will do whatever it takes to secure Russia’s borders. The launching of the European missile defense system, Aegis, by the United States in May has repeatedly been criticized by Russia as an attempt by the US to perhaps be able to pre-emptively strike Russia. Now, Russia has deployed an Iskander missile system, which would be in response to this Aegis system. What is your view of Russia’s military capabilities?

Michel Chossudovsky: This Iskander – it’s called the SS-26 Stone Tactical Missile System – has been around for quite some time. I don’t think that we are necessarily in an entirely new environment (see image below). Russia has, or at least claims to have, the capabilities of confronting any kind of so-called missile defense system, which in effect is a system of attack missiles. But I think certainly Russia is concerned, rightly concerned, first of all, regarding the military buildup even though that doesn’t necessarily signify outright war, but of course, it could lead to incidents. And it has sent a message to the West that it intends to protect its borders and its territories and it is not intent upon any kind of negotiation, e.g., with regard to Ukraine or with regard to Crimea.

And at the same time, it has demonstrated to the West, particularly since its intervention in Syria, that it has very advanced aerospace capabilities, which would respond if US-NATO were to attack the Russian Federation.

But if this were to occur we are in a World War III scenario – particularly in view of the fact that the diplomatic relationship which existed during the Cold War is no longer there. During the Cold War there was the hotline, there was dialogue, there were persistent exchanges between the West and the East. We don’t have that anymore. And we also have a different leadership. When we’ve got heads of state and heads of government who are bordering onto paranoia, and I’m talking about not only in the United States but also in Western Europe, so that the situation is potentially dangerous.

But as I underscored, I don’t think that this buildup is intended to attack Russia on its western frontier. It’s more an issue of threatening Russia and using these threats to force Russia into making concessions to the West, or accepting the West’s hegemony.

And I think that US policymakers must understand that Russia will never do that. They have fought several wars, starting with Napoleon, then World War I and then World War II, and in World War II they lost ten percent of their population defending their homeland. So there is absolutely no feasible possibility that the United States and its allies could actually conquer this vast country.

But again, within the realm of non-conventional warfare they could certainly destabilize the Russian economy. They could create divisions – or they have, in fact, been creating divisions within the Russian Federation. And we have to look at the map. Russia and China and the various republics of the former Soviet Union, which still have alliances with the Russian Federation—it’s a mass. It extends from Eastern Europe right to the Far East, and that is, of course, the area which is sought for conquest. You can read the text of Zbigniew Brzezinski with regard to US foreign policy. In fact, Zbigniew Brzezinski’s most recent proposal is to weaken the relationship between China and Russia, and in fact, they’re doing that. If that relationship were to crumble for some reason, I think that then Russia would be very much isolated and much more vulnerable to US endeavors in terms of military conquest and so on.

But I should mention there’s another important thing.  It is that the Russians are playing a very careful diplomacy. They are establishing bilateral relations with some of America’s staunchest allies, including Israel and Saudi Arabia, and they are attempting to maintain their relationship with their partners in western Europe, particularly Germany and France. That, I think, is very significant. This global military agenda and this global economic agenda with its concurrent trade agreements, the TTIP and the TPP, which essentially establish the contours of a colonial economic system, it’s an imperial project. The trade agreements are part of the imperial project.

At the same time, there’s a lot of resistance to that within the European Union and there are also historical ties of Western Europe to Russia, which go back several centuries, and this is not something you can necessarily erase just with a stroke of US foreign policy.

So the Russians are very astute diplomats and they are also very experienced in strategic and military affairs, and that’s something which US decision-makers have to take into account because if they don’t, they are in fact precipitating the world into the unthinkable World War III scenario, which in a real sense of the world, threatens the future of humanity. The stakes, stupidity, lack of judgment in the implementation of a so-called imperial design, could certainly lead the world into a global conflict.

Bonnie Faulkner: Michel Chossudovsky, thank you very much.

Michel Chossudovsky: Well, thank you for a very constructive analytical discussion. Delighted to be on the program.

I’ve been speaking with Michel Chossudovsky. Today’s show has been Global Warfare – Is the US-NATO Going to Attack Russia? Michel Chossudovsky is the founder, director and editor for the Centre for Research on Globalization based in Montreal, Quebec. The Global Research website, GlobalResearch.ca, publishes news articles, commentary, background research and analysis. Michel Chossudovsky is the author of 11 books including The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order, War and Globalization: The Truth Behind September 11th, America’s War on Terrorism, as well as co-editor of the anthology, The Global Economic Crisis: The Great Depression of the 21st Century. All books are available at GlobalResearch.ca.

Guns and Butter is produced by Bonnie Faulkner, Yarrow Mahko and Tony Rango. Visit us at gunsandbutter.org to listen to past programs, comment on shows, or join our email list to receive our newsletter that includes recent shows and updates. Email us at [email protected]. Follow us on Twitter at gandbradio.

This transcript is a project of globalresearch.ca and gunsandbutter.org.

  • Posted in English
  • Comments Off on Global Warfare: Militarization of Russia’s Doorstep, Is US-NATO Going to Attack Russia or Iran?