Vilnius: Fizzling NATO Bets on Technology. War and the Weaponization of AI
As Ukraine goes down fast, all that NATO offers to Ukraine are crumbs.
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The Vilnius communiqué reveals that NATO is fizzling. See this.
The accession of Sweden into NATO was Biden’s last bid to avoid a complete embarrassment. Sweden is important not for Ukraine, but for the European security order after NATO’s loss of Ukraine.
Russia is NATO’s main enemy, and China is already next – words and bluster.
No promises to Ukraine. Zelensky is angry. See this.
Instant NATO-membership and intervention from the collective NATO was Zelensky’s last hope of survival.
As Ukraine goes down fast, all that NATO offers to Ukraine are crumbs.
12. The security of Ukraine is of great importance to Allies and the Alliance. To support Ukraine’s further integration with NATO, today we have agreed a substantial package of expanded political and practical support. We have decided to establish the NATO-Ukraine Council
Note the word “substantial”. Not an “unprecedented” package. Not even a “big” one.
To make sure everybody is clear that Ukraine will only get left-overs, Biden reiterates the NATO communiqué to give ”substantial” aid package to Ukraine. See this.
NATO is not only running out of stuff to give Ukraine. NATO is also running out of appetite to go on.
NATO Failures in Nice Packaging
Several words are put into the communiqué which reveal significant weaknesses in NATO. Reiteration of the “2% of GDP” for defense spending – revealing that spending is a serious issue, especially in Germany. Words about air defense – which NATO doesn’t have. Words about “energy” and “critical infrastructure” which NATO has a problem with. Words about “readiness” which NATO doesn’t have. Big plans for improving NATO, US, and EU defense industries, which have failed miserably. Big plans overall.
In spite of losing in Ukraine and not getting its act together in Europe, NATO does indeed want to rule the World.
Every region is becoming “strategic” for NATO. Including Africa, the Middle East, the Indian Ocean, the Pacific, and China.
NATO Bets on Technology
Special attention is worth putting on the paragraphs about TECHNOLOGY:
63. Emerging and disruptive technologies (EDTs) bring both opportunities and risks. They are altering the character of conflict, acquiring greater strategic importance and becoming key arenas of global competition. The operational importance of EDTs as well as of access to and adaptation of commercial technologies in current operations have been highlighted in the context of Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. NATO’s strategic competitors and potential adversaries are investing heavily in technologies that can be highly effective, particularly in malign hybrid activities, and decisive in conflict.
We are accelerating our own efforts to ensure that the Alliance maintains its technological edge in emerging and disruptive technologies to retain our interoperability and military edge, including through dual-use solutions. We are working together to adopt and integrate new technologies, cooperate with the private sector, protect our innovation ecosystems, shape standards, and commit to principles of responsible use that reflect our democratic values and human rights. We will ensure that we act in accordance with international law and seek to build public trust. NATO’s Defence Innovation Accelerator for the North Atlantic (DIANA) has now launched its first challenges to start-ups in NATO countries.
To further develop our transatlantic innovation ecosystem, the NATO Innovation Fund, the world’s first multi-sovereign venture capital fund, will begin to invest in deep-tech in the coming months. Complementing the recently agreed strategies on Artificial Intelligence and Autonomy, NATO will develop further strategies for key emerging and disruptive technologies, including on Quantum Technologies and on Biotechnology and Human Enhancement to address the opportunities and risks they present.
There you have it.
AI.
Autonomous weapons.
Quantum.
Biotechnology! (Yes, biochemical weapons, genetic engineering.)
Human enhancement. (What is that? Genetic re-engineering of soldiers?)
These are big and some of them horrifying perspectives.
Russia and China are left behind… because they are barred access to modern chip technology. As I have mentioned before, their chips are down.
67. Space plays a critical role for the security and prosperity of our nations. Space is also an increasingly contested domain, marked by irresponsible behaviour, malicious activities, and the growth of counterspace capabilities by NATO’s potential adversaries and strategic competitors. Maintaining secure use and unfettered access to space is key to effective deterrence and defence. As part of our work on space as an operational domain, we are accelerating the integration of space into planning, exercising and executing joint and multi-domain operations in peacetime, crisis, and conflict in order to ensure space effects are coordinated across all domains.
As I have written, the US is achieving Space dominance while Russia and China sleep.
This is the situation.
NATO is fizzling. Ukraine is lost for NATO. And NATO knows it. China has the upper hand around Taiwan. And NATO knows that too. But technology is NATO’s ace.
As long as China is not capable of producing modern chips, China and Russia will sink back into the stone-age in technology. Lack of IT was one of the main reasons why the Soviet Union fell.
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Karsten Riise is a Master of Science (Econ) from Copenhagen Business School and has a university degree in Spanish Culture and Languages from Copenhagen University. He is the former Senior Vice President Chief Financial Officer (CFO) of Mercedes-Benz in Denmark and Sweden.
He is a regular contributor to Global Research.
Featured image: US General Bets On Technology – Karsten Riise